Climate risk in Buenos Aires
Buenos Aires F.D., Argentina · 12.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Buenos Aires most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Argentina
Buenos Aires had 11 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
Córdoba: 7 days.
Buenos Aires's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Buenos Aires's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Rosario (Argentina).
+1°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.9°C
Lowest in the coldest month
0%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Buenos Aires would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 0.9 σ away. How close the match is: 6.3 σ to the climate of Rosario today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Buenos Aires
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Buenos Aires | Among large cities | In Argentina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 2 days | Among large cities: above 43% | In Argentina: 3 of 3 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 86 days | Among large cities: above 44% | In Argentina: 1 of 3 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 35.4°C | Among large cities: above 41% | In Argentina: 3 of 3 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.1°C | Among large cities: above 3% | In Argentina: 3 of 3 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 11 days | Among large cities: above 57% | In Argentina: 2 of 3 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 187 mm | Among large cities: above 17% | |
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Argentina: 1 of 3 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Argentina: 1 of 3 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.13 m/s² | Among large cities: above 15% | In Argentina: 3 of 3 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Buenos Aires on the live map
See the hot days around Buenos Aires on the live map
2 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Buenos Aires
- Montevideo · Uruguay
- Rosario · Argentina
- Córdoba · Argentina
- Porto Alegre · Brazil
Large cities in Argentina
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Buenos Aires, Argentina: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/ARG/buenos-aires BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_ARG_buenos_aires_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Buenos Aires, Argentina: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/ARG/buenos-aires},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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