Criora

Argentina

Region Americas Subregion South America Income Upper middle income ISO ARG

Argentina sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Argentina, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
49 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    55 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    36 / 100
    ▲ + 0.0 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    25 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    65 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    63 / 100
    ▲ + 0.3 5y
Climate futures

Argentina: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Argentina is projected to warm +2.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing +24 mm.

Temperature

+2.6 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.7 °C → +2.6 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.3 °C → +1.8 °C

Hottest month +3.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+24 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+11 mm → +24 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+4 mm → +12 mm

Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Argentina: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 6 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.18 m → +0.63 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.15 m → +0.44 m

Water stress

16%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
16% → 16%
Current path SSP3-7.0
18% → 19%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 7.2% today.

River flooding

1.4%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.5% → 1.4%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
1.5% → 1.7%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.6% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Argentina.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Argentina most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
High
7.7 / 10
DRR capacity
Medium
5.0 / 10
Peers

Argentina in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
South America
#5 of 12median 50
  1. 1UruguayLow 37
  2. 2ChileMedium 44
  3. 3ParaguayMedium 45
  4. 4BrazilMedium 48
  5. 5ArgentinaMedium 49
  6. 6GuyanaMedium 50
  7. 7SurinameMedium 50
  8. 8BoliviaMedium 51
  9. 9ColombiaMedium 52
  10. 10PeruMedium 52
region
Americas
#22 of 35median 44
  1. 18PanamaMedium 44
  2. 19ParaguayMedium 45
  3. 20BrazilMedium 48
  4. 21Dominican Rep.Medium 48
  5. 22ArgentinaMedium 49
  6. 23GuyanaMedium 50
  7. 24SurinameMedium 50
  8. 25El SalvadorMedium 51
  9. 26BoliviaMedium 51
  10. 27ColombiaMedium 52
income group
Upper middle income
#39 of 53median 44
  1. 35BrazilMedium 48
  2. 36Dominican Rep.Medium 48
  3. 37AzerbaijanMedium 49
  4. 38Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49
  5. 39ArgentinaMedium 49
  6. 40TurkeyMedium 49
  7. 41AlgeriaMedium 49
  8. 42SurinameMedium 50
  9. 43ThailandMedium 50
  10. 44LibyaMedium 51

Put two countries head to head

Compare Argentina against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Argentina?
Argentina sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 49 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Argentina's risk?
Argentina's highest pressures are governance (65, high) and adaptation (63). Its strongest area is social (25).
How might Argentina's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 15% of Argentina's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 70 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Argentina warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Argentina is on track to warm by +2.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Argentina's coast?
Coastal sea level along Argentina is projected to rise by +0.63 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.44 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Argentina?
The share of Argentina under high water stress is projected to move from 7.2% today to 16% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Argentina?
The share of Argentina exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.6% today to 1.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Argentina's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.