What drives Argentina's risk?

Argentina's highest pressures are governance (66, high) and adaptation (63). Its strongest area is social (25).

How might Argentina's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 15% of Argentina's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 70 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Argentina warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Argentina is on track to warm by +2.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Argentina's coast?

Coastal sea level along Argentina is projected to rise by +0.63 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.44 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Argentina?

The share of Argentina under high water stress is projected to move from 7.2% today to 16% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Argentina?

The share of Argentina exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.6% today to 1.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Argentina's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Argentina Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Americas
Subregion: South America
Income: Upper middle income
ISO: ARG

Argentina: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Argentina, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 49 / 100

55 Climate Medium
36 Nature +0.0 Low
25 Social Low
66 Governance High
63 Adaptation +0.3 High

Which hazards threaten Argentina most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

7.7FloodHigh
5.0DRR capacityMedium

Argentina in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

South America

#5 of 12 · median 50

Americas

#21 of 35 · median 44

Upper middle income

#37 of 53 · median 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Argentina: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Argentina is projected to warm +2.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing +24 mm.

+2.6 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +1.7 °C → +2.6 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.3 °C → +1.8 °C

Hottest month +3.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+24 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +11 mm → +24 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +4 mm → +12 mm

Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

16%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 16% → 16%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 18% → 19%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 7.2% today.

1.4%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 1.5% → 1.4%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 1.5% → 1.7%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.6% today.

Sea level

Argentina: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 6 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.18 m → +0.63 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.15 m → +0.44 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Renewable Energy Share	9.20 % of total energy	2021	90.4	+15.0	+10.0
Fossil Fuel Consumption	87.0 % of total	2022	86.4	+13.7	+10.5
Flood Risk	7.70 0-10	2026	77.0	+25.0	+35.0
Renewable Electricity Share	25.5 % of total	2021	74.5	-0.6	+6.4
Energy Imports	1.97 % of energy use	2022	69.0	-2.1	-1.2
Land Surface Temperature	25.3 deg C change	2021	60.8	-3.9	-4.5
Drought Index (SPEI)	-1.27 index	2021	30.3	-16.1	-12.7
N2O Emissions Per Capita	1.13 kt CO2e per capita	2020	26.4	+19.4	+19.2
Methane Emissions Per Capita	2.90 kt CO2e per capita	2020	23.6	+15.5	+6.0
Heating Degree Days	3441 degree days	2020	23.6	+22.2	+23.6
Cooling Degree Days	1419 degree days	2020	19.4	-32.4	-46.7
Energy Intensity	3.29 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	18.1	-1.1	+2.5
PM2.5 Air Pollution	14.9 ug/m3	2020	12.5	-6.7	-6.1
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	3.42 metric tons	2020	10.8	+3.1	+3.9
Energy Use Per Capita	1809 kg oil eq per capita	2022	10.5	+2.2	+4.8
Coal Electricity Share	1.82 % of total	2022	1.9	-14.8	-4.3
Heat Index	1.85 index	2020	1.4	+1.3	+1.2
Access to Clean Fuels	99.9 % population	2022	0.1	-10.2	-5.4

		Year		vs world	vs region
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+62.8	+53.2
Agricultural Capacity	0.92 0-1	2023	92.0	+0.2	+1.0
Urban Concentration	0.92 0-1	2023	91.9	+34.5	+24.8
Protected Areas	9.60 % of land	2023	90.3	+1.4	+0.3
Forest Area	10.4 % of land	2022	89.0	+22.7	+36.4
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.84 0-1	2023	84.2	-2.3	-9.9
Water Bodies Extent	18.0 % of land	2020	82.0	+60.4	+50.1
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.73 0-1	2023	73.0	-11.2	-9.3
Projected Warm Period Change	0.69 0-1	2023	69.0	+1.3	+17.0
Paved Roads	0.68 0-1	2023	68.3	+13.3	+1.3
Water Dependency Ratio	0.67 0-1	2023	66.7	+59.8	+64.8
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.65 0-1	2023	64.7	+7.1	+8.8
Food Production Index	109 index	2022	64.0	-3.1	-6.3
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.56 0-1	2023	56.4	-5.8	-5.1
Freshwater Withdrawal	12.9 % of internal resources	2021	56.4	+6.1	+19.8
Earthquake Risk	5.50 0-10	2026	55.0	+20.0	-4.0
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.54 0-1	2023	54.4	+15.1	0.0
Agricultural Land	43.4 % of land	2022	51.7	+4.4	+17.3
Age Dependency Ratio	0.50 0-1	2023	49.8	-3.0	+3.0
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.49 0-1	2023	49.1	+9.5	-0.3
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.49 0-1	2023	49.0	-27.3	-25.9
Projected Hydropower Change	0.43 0-1	2023	43.4	-0.3	+0.2
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.30 0-1	2023	30.3	0.0	0.0
Protected Biome Areas	0.27 0-1	2023	27.1	-13.9	-8.7
Dam Capacity	0.27 0-1	2023	26.8	-66.5	-59.8
Disaster Preparedness	0.25 0-1	2023	25.0	-5.0	0.0
Projected Groundwater Change	0.25 0-1	2023	24.9	-1.3	+3.0
Ecological Footprint	0.22 0-1	2023	22.0	-0.6	+0.1
Projected Population Change	0.21 0-1	2023	21.3	-1.0	+1.3
Threatened Mammal Species	38.0 count	2018	19.9	+14.7	+14.7
Food Import Dependency	0.16 0-1	2023	16.5	-5.2	-8.6
Agriculture GDP Share	5.93 % of GDP	2023	16.5	-2.4	0.0
Slum Population	0.16 0-1	2023	16.1	-0.4	+0.6
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.11 0-1	2023	11.0	+3.5	+7.6
Rural Population	0.08 0-1	2023	8.1	-34.5	-24.8
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.07 0-1	2023	7.1	-6.4	-10.8
Child Malnutrition	0.07 0-1	2023	7.0	-6.8	-0.9
Tree Cover Loss	201882 hectares	2021	6.7	+6.6	+6.4
Natural Capital Dependency	0.06 0-1	2023	6.4	-15.4	-13.8
Population Below 5m	0.06 0-1	2023	6.2	-8.6	-7.9
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.05 0-1	2023	4.8	-13.6	-28.9
Dependency Ratio	0.04 0-1	2023	4.1	-2.7	+2.6
Natural Resource Depletion	2.05 % of GNI	2021	3.6	+1.5	+1.3
Energy Import Dependency	0.02 0-1	2023	2.0	-23.7	-13.5
Water Stress	10.5 %	2021	0.3	0.0	+0.1
Tsunami Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-11.0	-37.0
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	-0.2
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	-0.1

		Year		vs world	vs region
Shared Prosperity Growth	-2.69 % annual	2023	100.0	+46.1	+43.6
Hospital Beds	3.34 per 1,000	2021	75.9	-8.0	-11.2
Overweight Adults	68.4 % adults	2022	72.4	+16.4	+5.9
Income Share Bottom 20%	5.10 %	2023	72.1	+6.5	0.0
Education Expenditure	12.7 % of govt	2022	66.5	+1.6	+5.3
Poverty Rate (National)	41.7 % population	2023	62.0	+36.2	+20.8
Uprooted People	6.00 0-10	2026	60.0	+1.0	0.0
Gini Coefficient	42.4 0-100	2023	56.9	+5.6	-7.5
GDP Growth	-1.61 % annual	2023	56.0	+7.1	+7.3
Net Migration	4133 persons	2023	55.2	+0.2	+0.2
Primary School Enrollment	109 % gross	2022	53.7	-9.9	-9.3
School Gender Parity	1.02 ratio	2020	49.1	-7.8	-8.2
Gender Labor Ratio	73.6 ratio F/M	2023	31.8	+4.8	-2.3
Aging Population	12.2 % population	2023	30.6	+14.2	+8.3
Labor Participation	70.9 % (15+)	2023	27.4	-2.7	-2.8
Communicable Disease Deaths	17.6 %	2019	25.5	+9.4	+9.0
Life Expectancy	77.4 years	2023	22.9	-16.6	-12.9
ESG Performance Score	2.32 0-100	2018	21.5	-3.5	-3.0
Unmet Contraception Need	12.5 %	2020	19.6	-33.4	0.0
Unemployment Rate	6.14 %	2023	17.2	+3.0	+0.2
Fertility Rate	1.50 births per woman	2023	14.4	-8.9	-3.8
Recent Shocks	1.40 0-10	2026	14.0	+13.0	+8.0
Internet Users	89.2 % population	2023	12.1	-8.8	-12.2
Food Security	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-10.0	-10.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	9.60 per 1,000	2023	7.2	-5.0	-3.4
Development and Deprivation	0.70 0-10	2026	7.0	-23.0	-22.0
Children Under 5	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	-5.0	-4.0
Health Conditions	0.40 0-10	2026	4.0	-4.0	-4.0
Undernourishment	3.20 % population	2022	1.4	-4.4	-3.1
Population Density	16.6 people/km2	2022	0.1	-0.4	-0.2
Aid Dependency	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-25.0	-25.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	-0.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	406 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Scientific Articles	9122 count	2022	99.0	-0.9	-1.0
R&D Expenditure	0.55 % of GDP	2022	91.4	+3.4	-4.2
Legal Rights Strength	2.00 0-12	2019	83.3	+33.3	+25.0
Physical Infrastructure	8.20 0-10	2026	82.0	+52.0	+53.0
Regulatory Quality	-0.48 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	59.7	+7.0	+9.8
Rule of Law	-0.41 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	58.2	+5.3	+2.0
Government Effectiveness	-0.38 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	57.6	+5.9	+6.1
Control of Corruption	-0.36 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	57.2	+1.6	0.0
INFORM Governance Index	5.50 0-10	2026	55.0	-1.0	-1.0
Political Stability	-0.13 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	52.6	+2.8	+6.9
Disaster Risk Reduction	5.00 0-10	2026	50.0	+8.5	+13.0
Voice and Accountability	0.53 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	39.3	-9.6	0.0
Women in Parliament	43.2 % seats	2023	29.5	-28.7	-23.4
Healthcare Access	1.50 0-10	2026	15.0	-22.0	-14.0
Communication Infrastructure	1.10 0-10	2026	11.0	-9.0	-9.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.04 0-1	2023	95.7	+1.0	-2.1
Doing Business Score	0.29 0-1	2023	71.5	+13.1	+10.1
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.34 0-1	2023	65.8	+1.5	0.0
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.34 0-1	2023	65.7	+14.2	-2.6
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.41 0-1	2023	59.1	+6.5	+9.7
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.43 0-1	2023	57.2	+5.3	+2.0
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.55 0-1	2023	45.2	+2.1	+5.9
ICT Infrastructure	0.60 0-1	2023	39.6	-8.1	-5.3
Education (Readiness)	0.64 0-1	2023	35.8	-37.3	-33.2

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Argentina?
Argentina: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 49 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Argentina's risk?
Argentina's highest pressures are governance (66, high) and adaptation (63). Its strongest area is social (25).
How might Argentina's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 15% of Argentina's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 70 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Argentina warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Argentina is on track to warm by +2.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Argentina's coast?
Coastal sea level along Argentina is projected to rise by +0.63 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.44 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Argentina?
The share of Argentina under high water stress is projected to move from 7.2% today to 16% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Argentina?
The share of Argentina exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.6% today to 1.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Argentina's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.