What drives Albania's risk?

Albania's highest pressures are governance (61, high) and adaptation (58). Its strongest area is social (27).

How might Albania's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 21% of Albania's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Albania warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Albania is on track to warm by +3.9 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -60 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Albania's coast?

Coastal sea level along Albania is projected to rise by +0.73 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Albania?

The share of Albania under high water stress is projected to move from 58% today to 75% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Albania?

The share of Albania exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.8% today to 2.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Albania's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Albania Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Europe
Subregion: Southern Europe
Income: Lower middle income
ISO: ALB

Albania: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Albania, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 45 / 100

36 Climate Low
45 Nature -2.7 Medium
27 Social Low
61 Governance High
58 Adaptation -2.0 Medium

Which hazards threaten Albania most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

4.6FloodMedium
3.2DRR capacityLow

Albania in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Southern Europe

#12 of 14 · median 42

Europe

#38 of 43 · median 38

Lower middle income

#13 of 53 · median 49

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Albania: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Albania is projected to warm +3.9 °C, with annual rainfall changing -60 mm.

+3.9 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +3.0 °C → +3.9 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +2.3 °C → +2.6 °C

Hottest month +6.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-60 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -27 mm → -60 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -16 mm → -23 mm

Driest month -7 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

75%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 58% → 75%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 58% → 58%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 58% today.

2.2%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.6% → 2.2%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.6% → 2.2%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.8% today.

Sea level

Albania: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 3 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.23 m → +0.73 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.20 m → +0.53 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Energy Imports	32.3 % of energy use	2022	71.4	+0.3	-1.8
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.01 index	2021	59.7	+13.3	+5.3
Renewable Energy Share	41.9 % of total energy	2021	56.5	-18.9	-21.3
Fossil Fuel Consumption	55.1 % of total	2022	53.2	-19.5	-15.5
Land Surface Temperature	19.4 deg C change	2021	48.8	-15.9	+10.4
Flood Risk	4.60 0-10	2026	46.0	-6.0	-13.0
Heating Degree Days	4051 degree days	2020	27.8	+26.4	-9.0
Access to Clean Fuels	84.6 % population	2022	15.4	+5.2	+15.4
PM2.5 Air Pollution	15.7 ug/m3	2020	13.5	-5.7	+5.6
Cooling Degree Days	810 degree days	2020	11.1	-40.7	+7.4
Energy Intensity	2.06 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	8.5	-10.7	-6.0
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.36 kt CO2e per capita	2020	8.4	+1.4	-2.2
Methane Emissions Per Capita	0.95 kt CO2e per capita	2020	7.1	-1.0	0.0
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	1.54 metric tons	2020	4.8	-2.9	-10.2
Energy Use Per Capita	781 kg oil eq per capita	2022	4.3	-4.0	-11.1
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	-7.9

		Year		vs world	vs region
Projected Hydropower Change	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+56.3	+54.6
Agricultural Capacity	0.93 0-1	2023	93.0	+1.2	+10.3
Protected Areas	14.2 % of land	2023	85.7	-3.2	+3.6
Earthquake Risk	8.30 0-10	2026	83.0	+48.0	+51.5
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.81 0-1	2023	81.0	-5.5	+50.2
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.79 0-1	2023	79.3	+3.0	+33.2
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.75 0-1	2023	75.3	-8.9	+15.4
Forest Area	28.8 % of land	2022	69.5	+3.2	+4.9
Tsunami Risk	6.80 0-10	2026	68.0	+57.0	+68.0
Food Production Index	105 index	2022	67.7	+0.6	-4.6
Projected Warm Period Change	0.67 0-1	2023	66.6	-1.2	-6.9
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Dam Capacity	0.64 0-1	2023	64.0	-29.3	-27.5
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.62 0-1	2023	62.4	+4.8	-3.5
Urban Concentration	0.62 0-1	2023	61.9	+4.5	-10.3
Paved Roads	0.61 0-1	2023	61.5	+6.5	+51.4
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.59 0-1	2023	59.0	-3.1	+20.5
Population Below 5m	0.55 0-1	2023	55.3	+40.5	+45.7
Agricultural Land	41.4 % of land	2022	49.3	+2.0	-1.7
Age Dependency Ratio	0.47 0-1	2023	47.1	-5.6	-5.0
Agriculture GDP Share	16.2 % of GDP	2023	45.1	+26.2	+39.0
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.44 0-1	2023	44.1	+4.9	+33.7
Rural Population	0.38 0-1	2023	38.1	-4.5	+10.3
Protected Biome Areas	0.34 0-1	2023	34.5	-6.5	+15.0
Freshwater Withdrawal	2.96 % of internal resources	2021	31.4	-18.9	-18.9
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.30 0-1	2023	30.1	-7.1	-9.5
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.30 0-1	2023	29.7	+9.3	+27.6
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.26 0-1	2023	26.4	+12.9	+16.0
Food Import Dependency	0.25 0-1	2023	25.2	+3.5	+8.4
Natural Capital Dependency	0.24 0-1	2023	23.9	+2.1	-4.6
Energy Import Dependency	0.23 0-1	2023	22.7	-3.0	-26.2
Projected Groundwater Change	0.20 0-1	2023	20.2	-6.0	-5.4
Ecological Footprint	0.20 0-1	2023	19.8	-2.8	+15.8
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.12 0-1	2023	12.0	-27.6	-11.7
Dependency Ratio	0.11 0-1	2023	11.4	+4.6	+11.4
Water Dependency Ratio	0.11 0-1	2023	10.9	+4.0	-4.3
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.11 0-1	2023	10.8	-7.6	+1.2
Disaster Preparedness	0.10 0-1	2023	10.0	-20.0	-22.5
Projected Population Change	0.09 0-1	2023	8.6	-13.7	0.0
Child Malnutrition	0.07 0-1	2023	6.6	-7.2	+6.6
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.06 0-1	2023	6.1	-24.2	+3.1
Slum Population	0.03 0-1	2023	2.8	-13.7	+2.8
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.03 0-1	2023	2.5	-5.0	-5.3
Threatened Mammal Species	3.00 count	2018	1.6	-3.6	-0.5
Natural Resource Depletion	0.80 % of GNI	2021	1.4	-0.7	+1.1
Forest Depletion	0.14 % of GNI	2021	0.8	+0.7	+0.8
Tree Cover Loss	1686 hectares	2021	0.1	0.0	-0.1
Water Stress	4.78 %	2021	0.1	-0.2	-0.1
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Education Expenditure	9.83 % of govt	2021	79.8	+9.8	+3.0
Hospital Beds	2.91 per 1,000	2020	78.4	-0.6	+12.5
Overweight Adults	62.2 % adults	2022	64.5	+8.5	+7.1
Net Migration	-25357 persons	2023	54.2	-0.8	-1.0
GDP Growth	3.94 % annual	2023	47.2	-1.7	-3.1
Primary School Enrollment	93.7 % gross	2023	45.0	+3.0	+1.0
Sanitation Access	56.3 % population	2022	44.9	+4.9	+34.6
Aging Population	16.3 % population	2023	42.3	+25.9	-11.1
Uprooted People	4.20 0-10	2026	42.0	-17.0	-27.5
Poverty Rate (National)	22.0 % population	2020	39.1	+4.9	+11.2
Aid Dependency	3.90 0-10	2026	39.0	+14.0	+33.0
School Gender Parity	1.03 ratio	2021	35.5	-5.5	-5.4
Unmet Contraception Need	15.2 %	2018	32.6	-16.9	-10.6
Safe Drinking Water	70.7 % population	2022	31.2	+9.7	+29.1
Unemployment Rate	10.1 %	2023	28.5	+14.3	+13.4
Gender Labor Ratio	78.3 ratio F/M	2023	27.0	0.0	+5.7
Labor Participation	71.3 % (15+)	2023	26.8	-3.3	+8.3
Income Share Bottom 20%	8.40 %	2020	26.4	-16.7	-5.5
ESG Performance Score	2.34 0-100	2018	19.6	-5.4	+6.4
Internet Users	83.1 % population	2023	19.0	-1.9	+9.4
Gini Coefficient	29.4 0-100	2020	18.3	-17.3	-4.4
Development and Deprivation	1.70 0-10	2026	17.0	-13.0	+17.0
Life Expectancy	79.6 years	2023	15.3	-24.2	+0.1
Food Security	1.40 0-10	2026	14.0	-4.0	+6.5
Fertility Rate	1.35 births per woman	2023	11.6	-11.7	-1.7
Under-5 Mortality Rate	9.40 per 1,000	2023	7.1	-5.1	+5.3
Children Under 5	0.50 0-10	2026	5.0	-6.0	+2.0
Shared Prosperity Growth	2.36 % annual	2020	4.6	-11.6	+4.6
Undernourishment	4.50 % population	2022	4.1	-1.7	+4.1
Communicable Disease Deaths	3.02 %	2019	2.7	-13.4	-2.7
Adult Literacy Rate	98.5 %	2022	2.1	-19.2	0.0
Health Conditions	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-6.0	0.0
Population Density	101 people/km2	2022	0.5	0.0	0.0
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	0.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Scientific Articles	239 count	2022	100.0	+0.1	+1.0
Patent Applications	23.0 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Control of Corruption	-0.33 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	56.6	+1.0	+22.0
Rule of Law	-0.16 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	53.3	+0.3	+24.7
INFORM Governance Index	5.10 0-10	2026	51.0	-5.0	+14.5
Regulatory Quality	0.17 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	46.6	-6.1	+15.2
Voice and Accountability	0.17 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	46.6	-2.3	+18.1
Political Stability	0.18 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	46.3	-3.5	+8.3
Government Effectiveness	0.25 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	45.0	-6.7	+15.7
Women in Parliament	35.7 % seats	2023	41.7	-16.5	-1.8
Legal Rights Strength	8.00 0-12	2019	33.3	-16.7	-16.7
Disaster Risk Reduction	3.20 0-10	2026	32.0	-9.5	-3.0
Healthcare Access	3.00 0-10	2026	30.0	-7.0	+24.5
Communication Infrastructure	1.90 0-10	2026	19.0	-1.0	+5.0
Physical Infrastructure	1.40 0-10	2026	14.0	-16.0	+13.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.04 0-1	2023	96.1	+1.4	+21.6
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.35 0-1	2023	65.1	+0.8	+25.3
Doing Business Score	0.36 0-1	2023	63.7	+5.3	+19.5
Education (Readiness)	0.39 0-1	2023	61.2	-11.8	+6.3
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.48 0-1	2023	52.3	+0.3	+24.2
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.54 0-1	2023	46.1	-6.5	+15.0
ICT Infrastructure	0.57 0-1	2023	43.5	-4.2	+10.3
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.60 0-1	2023	39.9	-3.2	+7.2
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.66 0-1	2023	33.6	-17.9	-4.5

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Albania?
Albania: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 45 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Albania's risk?
Albania's highest pressures are governance (61, high) and adaptation (58). Its strongest area is social (27).
How might Albania's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 21% of Albania's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Albania warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Albania is on track to warm by +3.9 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -60 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Albania's coast?
Coastal sea level along Albania is projected to rise by +0.73 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Albania?
The share of Albania under high water stress is projected to move from 58% today to 75% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Albania?
The share of Albania exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.8% today to 2.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Albania's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.