Criora

Albania

Region Europe Subregion Southern Europe Income Lower middle income ISO ALB

Albania sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Albania, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
45 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    36 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    45 / 100
    ▼ -2.7 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    26 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    61 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    58 / 100
    ▼ -2.0 5y
Climate futures

Albania: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Albania is projected to warm +3.9 °C, with annual rainfall changing -60 mm.

Temperature

+3.9 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+3.0 °C → +3.9 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+2.3 °C → +2.6 °C

Hottest month +6.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-60 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-27 mm → -60 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
-16 mm → -23 mm

Driest month -7 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Albania: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 3 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.23 m → +0.73 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.20 m → +0.53 m

Water stress

75%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
58% → 75%
Current path SSP3-7.0
58% → 58%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 58% today.

River flooding

2.2%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.6% → 2.2%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.6% → 2.2%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.8% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Albania.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Albania most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Medium
4.6 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
3.5 / 10
Peers

Albania in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Southern Europe
#12 of 14median 42
  1. 5SloveniaLow 38
  2. 6MontenegroLow 40
  3. 7SpainMedium 41
  4. 8GreeceMedium 43
  5. 9CroatiaMedium 43
  6. 10North MacedoniaMedium 43
  7. 11ItalyMedium 44
  8. 12AlbaniaMedium 45
  9. 13SerbiaMedium 47
  10. 14Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49
region
Europe
#38 of 43median 38
  1. 34North MacedoniaMedium 43
  2. 35BulgariaMedium 43
  3. 36ItalyMedium 44
  4. 37RomaniaMedium 44
  5. 38AlbaniaMedium 45
  6. 39MoldovaMedium 46
  7. 40RussiaMedium 46
  8. 41SerbiaMedium 47
  9. 42UkraineMedium 48
  10. 43Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49
income group
Lower middle income
#12 of 53median 49
  1. 8BelizeMedium 43
  2. 9São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  3. 10ArmeniaMedium 44
  4. 11ParaguayMedium 45
  5. 12AlbaniaMedium 45
  6. 13MongoliaMedium 45
  7. 14TongaMedium 46
  8. 15KiribatiMedium 46
  9. 16Sri LankaMedium 46
  10. 17MoldovaMedium 46

Put two countries head to head

Compare Albania against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Albania?
Albania sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 45 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Albania's risk?
Albania's highest pressures are governance (61, high) and adaptation (58). Its strongest area is social (26).
How might Albania's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 21% of Albania's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Albania warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Albania is on track to warm by +3.9 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -60 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Albania's coast?
Coastal sea level along Albania is projected to rise by +0.73 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Albania?
The share of Albania under high water stress is projected to move from 58% today to 75% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Albania?
The share of Albania exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.8% today to 2.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Albania's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.