+3.8 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.2 °C → +3.8 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.3 °C → +2.6 °C
Hottest month +6.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Bosnia and Herz. Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Southern Europe
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- BIH
Bosnia and Herz.: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Bosnia and Herz., overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 49 / 100
5y
- 49 Climate Medium
- 32 Nature +0.4 Low
- 35 Social Low
- 67 Governance High
- 63 Adaptation -0.1 High
Which hazards threaten Bosnia and Herz. most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.9FloodMedium
Bosnia and Herz. in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
14
Southern Europe
#14 of 14 · median 4243
Europe
#43 of 43 · median 3839
Upper middle income
#39 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Bosnia and Herz.: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Bosnia and Herz. is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing -8 mm.
-8 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -4 mm → -8 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +13 mm → +4 mm
Driest month -5 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
0.7%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1% → 0.7%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1% → 0.9%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1% today.
Sea level
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.21 m → +0.68 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.19 m → +0.50 m
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 78.8 % of total | 77.9 |
Energy Imports | 26.4 % of energy use | 70.9 |
Coal Electricity Share | 67.4 % of total | 70.1 |
Renewable Energy Share | 36.6 % of total energy | 62.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 39.3 % of total | 60.7 |
Flood Risk | 5.90 0-10 | 59.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 41.1 % population | 58.9 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.53 index | 47.6 |
Land Surface Temperature | 16.6 deg C change | 42.9 |
Energy Intensity | 5.53 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 35.5 |
Heating Degree Days | 5136 degree days | 35.3 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 26.6 ug/m3 | 27.1 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 6.35 metric tons | 20.2 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 2271 kg oil eq per capita | 13.3 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.39 kt CO2e per capita | 9.1 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 1.11 kt CO2e per capita | 8.5 |
Cooling Degree Days | 395 degree days | 5.4 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Protected Areas | 4.10 % of land | 95.9 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.88 0-1 | 88.5 |
Dam Capacity | 0.77 0-1 | 77.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.75 0-1 | 75.3 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.75 0-1 | 74.9 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.72 0-1 | 72.1 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.70 0-1 | 69.9 |
Water Bodies Extent | 30.6 % of land | 69.4 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.62 0-1 | 62.4 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.62 0-1 | 61.5 |
Food Production Index | 113 index | 60.2 |
Earthquake Risk | 6.00 0-10 | 60.0 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.60 0-1 | 59.8 |
Forest Area | 42.7 % of land | 54.8 |
Rural Population | 0.54 0-1 | 53.6 |
Agricultural Land | 44.2 % of land | 52.6 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.51 0-1 | 51.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.49 0-1 | 49.4 |
Urban Concentration | 0.46 0-1 | 46.4 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.46 0-1 | 46.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.30 0-1 | 30.4 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.26 0-1 | 26.4 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.26 0-1 | 25.7 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.23 0-1 | 22.7 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.22 0-1 | 21.9 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 0.86 % of internal resources | 13.4 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.13 0-1 | 13.2 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 4.65 % of GDP | 12.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.10 0-1 | 9.6 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.10 0-1 | 9.5 |
Paved Roads | 0.08 0-1 | 8.0 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.07 0-1 | 7.4 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.06 0-1 | 6.1 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.05 0-1 | 5.3 |
Projected Population Change | 0.04 0-1 | 4.2 |
Slum Population | 0.04 0-1 | 4.0 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 4.00 count | 2.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.01 0-1 | 0.7 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.00 0-1 | 0.2 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.1 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.07 % of GNI | 0.1 |
Water Stress | 2.03 % | 0.1 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1019 hectares | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 2.34 per 1,000 | 82.9 |
Education Expenditure | 10.4 % of govt | 78.0 |
Uprooted People | 7.10 0-10 | 71.0 |
Overweight Adults | 56.9 % adults | 57.8 |
Aging Population | 21.6 % population | 57.7 |
Net Migration | -485 persons | 55.0 |
Aid Dependency | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
GDP Growth | 1.99 % annual | 50.3 |
Primary School Enrollment | 87.2 % gross | 49.9 |
Sanitation Access | 54.6 % population | 46.6 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 65.2 ratio F/M | 40.5 |
Labor Participation | 62.7 % (15+) | 40.0 |
Unemployment Rate | 10.7 % | 30.1 |
Life Expectancy | 77.8 years | 21.4 |
Development and Deprivation | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Internet Users | 83.4 % population | 18.7 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.38 0-100 | 16.9 |
Fertility Rate | 1.49 births per woman | 14.1 |
Safe Drinking Water | 87.0 % population | 13.9 |
Food Security | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Children Under 5 | 0.50 0-10 | 5.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 6.00 per 1,000 | 4.1 |
Recent Shocks | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 98.3 % | 2.3 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 1.81 % | 0.8 |
Population Density | 62.6 people/km2 | 0.3 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 53.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 1039 count | 99.9 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.19 % of GDP | 90.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.97 -2.5 to +2.5 | 69.4 |
Women in Parliament | 19.0 % seats | 68.9 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.50 0-10 | 65.0 |
Control of Corruption | -0.58 -2.5 to +2.5 | 61.6 |
Political Stability | -0.35 -2.5 to +2.5 | 57.1 |
Rule of Law | -0.35 -2.5 to +2.5 | 57.0 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.32 -2.5 to +2.5 | 56.4 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.14 -2.5 to +2.5 | 52.8 |
Legal Rights Strength | 7.00 0-12 | 41.7 |
Healthcare Access | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.50 0-10 | 15.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.08 0-1 | 92.2 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.27 0-1 | 73.1 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.29 0-1 | 70.9 |
Doing Business Score | 0.30 0-1 | 69.6 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.44 0-1 | 56.0 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 52.3 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 49.1 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.56 0-1 | 44.0 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.61 0-1 | 39.3 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
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Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Bosnia and Herz.?
Bosnia and Herz.: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 49 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bosnia and Herz.'s risk?
Bosnia and Herz.'s highest pressures are governance (67, high) and adaptation (63). Its strongest area is nature (32).
How might Bosnia and Herz.'s climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 38% of Bosnia and Herz.'s land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Bosnia and Herz. warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Bosnia and Herz. is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -8 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Bosnia and Herz.'s coast?
Coastal sea level along Bosnia and Herz. is projected to rise by +0.68 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.50 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Bosnia and Herz.?
The share of Bosnia and Herz. under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bosnia and Herz.?
The share of Bosnia and Herz. exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1% today to 0.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bosnia and Herz.'s risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.