Criora

Bosnia and Herz.

Region Europe Subregion Southern Europe Income Upper middle income ISO BIH

Bosnia and Herz. sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

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Standing risk

How risky is Bosnia and Herz., overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
49 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    49 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    32 / 100
    ▲ + 0.4 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    31 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    68 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    63 / 100
    ▼ -0.1 5y
Climate futures

Bosnia and Herz.: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Bosnia and Herz. is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing -8 mm.

Temperature

+3.8 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+3.2 °C → +3.8 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+2.3 °C → +2.6 °C

Hottest month +6.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-8 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-4 mm → -8 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+13 mm → +4 mm

Driest month -5 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.21 m → +0.68 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.19 m → +0.50 m

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

0.7%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1% → 0.7%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
1% → 0.9%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Bosnia and Herz. most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Medium
5.9 / 10
Peers

Bosnia and Herz. in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Southern Europe
#14 of 14median 42
  1. 5SloveniaLow 38
  2. 6MontenegroLow 40
  3. 7SpainMedium 41
  4. 8GreeceMedium 43
  5. 9CroatiaMedium 43
  6. 10North MacedoniaMedium 43
  7. 11ItalyMedium 44
  8. 12AlbaniaMedium 45
  9. 13SerbiaMedium 47
  10. 14Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49
region
Europe
#43 of 43median 38
  1. 34North MacedoniaMedium 43
  2. 35BulgariaMedium 43
  3. 36ItalyMedium 44
  4. 37RomaniaMedium 44
  5. 38AlbaniaMedium 45
  6. 39MoldovaMedium 46
  7. 40RussiaMedium 46
  8. 41SerbiaMedium 47
  9. 42UkraineMedium 48
  10. 43Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49
income group
Upper middle income
#38 of 53median 44
  1. 34GabonMedium 48
  2. 35BrazilMedium 48
  3. 36Dominican Rep.Medium 48
  4. 37AzerbaijanMedium 49
  5. 38Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49
  6. 39ArgentinaMedium 49
  7. 40TurkeyMedium 49
  8. 41AlgeriaMedium 49
  9. 42SurinameMedium 50
  10. 43ThailandMedium 50

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Bosnia and Herz.?
Bosnia and Herz. sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 49 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bosnia and Herz.'s risk?
Bosnia and Herz.'s highest pressures are governance (68, high) and adaptation (63). Its strongest area is social (31).
How might Bosnia and Herz.'s climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 38% of Bosnia and Herz.'s land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Bosnia and Herz. warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Bosnia and Herz. is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -8 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Bosnia and Herz.'s coast?
Coastal sea level along Bosnia and Herz. is projected to rise by +0.68 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.50 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Bosnia and Herz.?
The share of Bosnia and Herz. under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bosnia and Herz.?
The share of Bosnia and Herz. exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1% today to 0.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bosnia and Herz.'s risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.