+3.1 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.2 °C → +3.1 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.8 °C → +2.3 °C
Hottest month +4.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Dominican Rep. Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Americas
- Subregion
- Caribbean
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- DOM
Dominican Rep.: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Dominican Rep., overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 49 / 100
5y
- 31 Climate Low
- 48 Nature +0.7 Medium
- 37 Social Low
- 67 Governance High
- 64 Adaptation -2.1 High
Which hazards threaten Dominican Rep. most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 2.2FloodLow
Dominican Rep. in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
12
Caribbean
#12 of 13 · median 3822
Americas
#22 of 35 · median 4441
Upper middle income
#41 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Dominican Rep.: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Dominican Rep. is projected to warm +3.1 °C, with annual rainfall changing -169 mm.
-169 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -85 mm → -169 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -77 mm → -75 mm
Driest month -5 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
1.8%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 2.2% → 1.8%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.9% → 1.8%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.9% today.
Sea level
Dominican Rep.: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 4 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.25 m → +0.81 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.23 m → +0.62 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Coastal Protection Needed | 96.5 % coast | 95.4 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 89.4 % of total | 88.9 |
Renewable Energy Share | 14.8 % of total energy | 84.6 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 18.5 % of total | 81.5 |
Energy Imports | 94.4 % of energy use | 76.4 |
Land Surface Temperature | 28.7 deg C change | 67.8 |
Cooling Degree Days | 4215 degree days | 57.7 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.68 index | 42.6 |
Coal Electricity Share | 33.4 % of total | 34.8 |
Flood Risk | 2.20 0-10 | 22.0 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 19.8 ug/m3 | 18.6 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.31 kt CO2e per capita | 7.2 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 92.8 % population | 7.2 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 2.08 metric tons | 6.5 |
Energy Intensity | 2.11 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 5.8 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 950 kg oil eq per capita | 5.3 |
Heat Index | 0.62 index | 0.5 |
Heating Degree Days | 1.38 degree days | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.95 0-1 | 94.9 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.94 0-1 | 94.4 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.94 0-1 | 93.9 |
Earthquake Risk | 9.20 0-10 | 92.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.92 0-1 | 91.9 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.86 0-1 | 86.3 |
Urban Concentration | 0.83 0-1 | 83.2 |
Protected Areas | 18.7 % of land | 81.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 30.4 % of internal resources | 75.6 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.73 0-1 | 73.3 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.72 0-1 | 71.8 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.9 |
Agricultural Land | 50.4 % of land | 59.4 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.59 0-1 | 59.0 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.58 0-1 | 57.5 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.56 0-1 | 55.9 |
Forest Area | 44.8 % of land | 52.6 |
Tsunami Risk | 5.20 0-10 | 52.0 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.52 0-1 | 51.8 |
Paved Roads | 0.51 0-1 | 51.4 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.50 0-1 | 50.0 |
Food Production Index | 128 index | 46.6 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.46 0-1 | 46.1 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.43 0-1 | 43.5 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.41 0-1 | 41.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.38 0-1 | 38.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.33 0-1 | 33.2 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Water Bodies Extent | 70.6 % of land | 29.4 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.27 0-1 | 27.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.26 0-1 | 26.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.25 0-1 | 25.3 |
Projected Population Change | 0.22 0-1 | 22.1 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.18 0-1 | 17.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.18 0-1 | 17.6 |
Rural Population | 0.17 0-1 | 16.8 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.14 0-1 | 14.2 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.13 0-1 | 13.3 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 4.29 % of GDP | 11.9 |
Slum Population | 0.11 0-1 | 11.4 |
Population Below 5m | 0.11 0-1 | 11.1 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.09 0-1 | 9.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 7.00 count | 3.7 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 1.44 % of GNI | 2.5 |
Water Stress | 39.6 % | 1.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.4 |
Tree Cover Loss | 14182 hectares | 0.2 |
Forest Depletion | 0.03 % of GNI | 0.2 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 10.0 0-10 | 100.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.42 per 1,000 | 90.3 |
Overweight Adults | 63.3 % adults | 65.9 |
Uprooted People | 6.10 0-10 | 61.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 44.9 % population | 58.7 |
Sanitation Access | 43.1 % population | 58.4 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -0.01 % annual | 57.8 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 6.20 % | 54.1 |
Net Migration | -34915 persons | 53.9 |
GDP Growth | 2.19 % annual | 50.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 94.7 % gross | 44.3 |
Gini Coefficient | 38.4 0-100 | 41.9 |
Life Expectancy | 73.7 years | 39.6 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 68.7 ratio F/M | 36.9 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.12 0-100 | 36.3 |
School Gender Parity | 1.02 ratio | 36.2 |
Aid Dependency | 3.50 0-10 | 35.0 |
Labor Participation | 68.7 % (15+) | 30.8 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 23.0 % population | 30.2 |
Development and Deprivation | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 15.3 % | 29.3 |
Fertility Rate | 2.24 births per woman | 28.1 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 31.4 per 1,000 | 26.5 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 12.6 % | 17.7 |
Internet Users | 84.6 % population | 17.3 |
Aging Population | 7.58 % population | 17.3 |
Children Under 5 | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.55 % | 15.5 |
Education Expenditure | 22.0 % of govt | 14.9 |
Health Conditions | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Food Security | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 95.5 % | 6.2 |
Undernourishment | 4.60 % population | 4.3 |
Population Density | 233 people/km2 | 1.2 |
Access to Electricity | 99.6 % population | 0.4 |
Scientific Articles | 110 count | 100.0 |
Patent Applications | 7.00 count | 100.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 1.00 0-12 | 91.7 |
Control of Corruption | -0.45 -2.5 to +2.5 | 59.0 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.70 0-10 | 57.0 |
Women in Parliament | 27.9 % seats | 54.5 |
Rule of Law | -0.13 -2.5 to +2.5 | 52.6 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.13 -2.5 to +2.5 | 47.4 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.17 -2.5 to +2.5 | 46.6 |
Political Stability | 0.24 -2.5 to +2.5 | 45.2 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.33 -2.5 to +2.5 | 43.5 |
Healthcare Access | 3.50 0-10 | 35.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.00 0-10 | 20.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.00 0-1 | 99.7 |
Doing Business Score | 0.29 0-1 | 71.2 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.32 0-1 | 67.8 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.33 0-1 | 67.0 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 62.7 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 51.6 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.53 0-1 | 47.2 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.54 0-1 | 46.1 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.61 0-1 | 38.9 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Dominican Rep. →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Dominican Rep..
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Dominican Rep.?
Dominican Rep.: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 49 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Dominican Rep.'s risk?
Dominican Rep.'s highest pressures are governance (67, high) and adaptation (64). Its strongest area is climate (31).
How might Dominican Rep.'s climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 11% of Dominican Rep.'s land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Dominican Rep. warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Dominican Rep. is on track to warm by +3.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -169 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Dominican Rep.'s coast?
Coastal sea level along Dominican Rep. is projected to rise by +0.81 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.62 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Dominican Rep.?
The share of Dominican Rep. under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Dominican Rep.?
The share of Dominican Rep. exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.9% today to 1.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Dominican Rep.'s risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.