+2.5 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.8 °C → +2.5 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.5 °C → +1.9 °C
Hottest month +2.6 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Bahamas Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Americas
- Subregion
- Caribbean
- Income
- High income, non-OECD
- ISO
- BHS
Bahamas: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Bahamas, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 35 / 100
5y
- 17 Climate Very low
- 23 Nature +0.0 Low
- 21 Social Low
- 59 Governance Medium
- 57 Adaptation -1.0 Medium
Which hazards threaten Bahamas most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 0.0FloodVery low
Bahamas in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
3
Caribbean
#3 of 13 · median 383
Americas
#3 of 35 · median 447
High income: nonOECD
#7 of 20 · median 36Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Bahamas: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Bahamas is projected to warm +2.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing -24 mm.
-24 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +26 mm → -24 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +31 mm → +19 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
0%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0% → 0%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.
Sea level
Bahamas: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 1 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.27 m → +0.83 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.25 m → +0.65 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Energy Share | 1.10 % of total energy | 99.8 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 0.48 % of total | 99.5 |
Land Surface Temperature | 28.0 deg C change | 66.5 |
Cooling Degree Days | 4836 degree days | 66.2 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.84 index | 40.4 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 54.1 % coast | 40.4 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 6.20 metric tons | 19.7 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 18.9 ug/m3 | 17.5 |
Energy Intensity | 2.42 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 11.3 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 0.56 kt CO2e per capita | 3.9 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.09 kt CO2e per capita | 2.0 |
Heat Index | 2.57 index | 1.9 |
Heating Degree Days | 1.75 degree days | 0.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Flood Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.93 0-1 | 92.8 |
Protected Areas | 8.60 % of land | 91.3 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.89 0-1 | 89.4 |
Urban Concentration | 0.82 0-1 | 82.4 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.80 0-1 | 80.1 |
Population Below 5m | 0.78 0-1 | 77.7 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.76 0-1 | 75.7 |
Food Production Index | 99.2 index | 73.6 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.64 0-1 | 64.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.62 0-1 | 62.1 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.50 0-1 | 49.7 |
Forest Area | 50.9 % of land | 46.1 |
Paved Roads | 0.43 0-1 | 43.3 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.41 0-1 | 41.2 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.38 0-1 | 38.2 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.35 0-1 | 34.9 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.35 0-1 | 34.7 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Projected Population Change | 0.23 0-1 | 22.8 |
Rural Population | 0.18 0-1 | 17.6 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.15 0-1 | 15.5 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 5.00 count | 2.6 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.01 0-1 | 1.5 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 0.45 % of GDP | 1.3 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1549 hectares | 0.1 |
Forest Depletion | 0.02 % of GNI | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.02 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Agricultural Land | 1.30 % of land | 0.0 |
Overweight Adults | 75.8 % adults | 81.6 |
Hospital Beds | 2.68 per 1,000 | 81.3 |
Primary School Enrollment | 77.9 % gross | 57.0 |
Education Expenditure | 11.6 % of govt | 55.2 |
Net Migration | 1001 persons | 55.1 |
Food Security | 5.20 0-10 | 52.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.94 0-100 | 49.9 |
GDP Growth | 3.05 % annual | 48.6 |
Life Expectancy | 74.6 years | 32.8 |
Aging Population | 11.5 % population | 28.5 |
Unemployment Rate | 8.64 % | 24.4 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 85.3 ratio F/M | 19.9 |
Uprooted People | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 10.7 % | 14.7 |
Labor Participation | 80.5 % (15+) | 12.8 |
Fertility Rate | 1.37 births per woman | 12.0 |
Children Under 5 | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 12.7 per 1,000 | 10.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Internet Users | 94.8 % population | 5.8 |
Aid Dependency | 0.50 0-10 | 5.0 |
Population Density | 39.7 people/km2 | 0.2 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Scientific Articles | 17.8 count | 100.0 |
Women in Parliament | 17.9 % seats | 70.7 |
Legal Rights Strength | 6.00 0-12 | 50.0 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.01 -2.5 to +2.5 | 49.9 |
Rule of Law | 0.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 46.4 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.27 -2.5 to +2.5 | 44.6 |
INFORM Governance Index | 3.60 0-10 | 36.0 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.86 -2.5 to +2.5 | 32.8 |
Political Stability | 1.01 -2.5 to +2.5 | 29.8 |
Healthcare Access | 2.90 0-10 | 29.0 |
Control of Corruption | 1.27 -2.5 to +2.5 | 24.7 |
Physical Infrastructure | 2.10 0-10 | 21.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.00 0-10 | 20.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.05 0-1 | 95.1 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.08 0-1 | 91.5 |
Doing Business Score | 0.42 0-1 | 58.2 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 49.4 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.54 0-1 | 45.6 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.62 0-1 | 37.7 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.72 0-1 | 28.4 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.74 0-1 | 25.7 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Bahamas →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Bahamas.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Bahamas?
Bahamas: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 35 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bahamas's risk?
Bahamas's highest pressures are governance (59, medium) and adaptation (57). Its strongest area is climate (17).
How might Bahamas's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 12% of Bahamas's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Bahamas warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Bahamas is on track to warm by +2.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Bahamas's coast?
Coastal sea level along Bahamas is projected to rise by +0.83 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.65 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Bahamas?
The share of Bahamas under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bahamas?
The share of Bahamas exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bahamas's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.