Criora

Netherlands

Region Europe Subregion Western Europe Income High income: OECD ISO NLD

Netherlands runs low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Netherlands, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
38 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    High
    62 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    26 / 100
    ▲ + 0.8 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    22 / 100
  4. Governance
    Medium
    46 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Low
    33 / 100
    ▲ + 1.1 5y
Climate futures

Netherlands: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Netherlands is projected to warm +2.9 °C, with annual rainfall changing +20 mm.

Temperature

+2.9 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.5 °C → +2.9 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.4 °C → +2.1 °C

Hottest month +4.8 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+20 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+5 mm → +20 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+32 mm → +16 mm

Driest month +2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Netherlands: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 8 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.27 m → +0.81 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.24 m → +0.60 m

Water stress

19%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
19% → 19%
Current path SSP3-7.0
19% → 19%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 18% today.

River flooding

0.7%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0.7%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.7% → 0.8%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.7% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Netherlands.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Netherlands most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Critical
8.6 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
3.8 / 10
Peers

Netherlands in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Western Europe
#7 of 9median 35
  1. 1LiechtensteinLow 28
  2. 2LuxembourgLow 30
  3. 3SwitzerlandLow 32
  4. 4MonacoLow 33
  5. 5AustriaLow 35
  6. 6GermanyLow 37
  7. 7NetherlandsLow 38
  8. 8BelgiumLow 38
  9. 9FranceLow 38
region
Europe
#22 of 43median 38
  1. 18AndorraLow 37
  2. 19CzechiaLow 37
  3. 20GermanyLow 37
  4. 21LatviaLow 38
  5. 22NetherlandsLow 38
  6. 23BelgiumLow 38
  7. 24FranceLow 38
  8. 25SloveniaLow 38
  9. 26PolandLow 39
  10. 27MontenegroLow 40
income group
High income: OECD
#20 of 31median 37
  1. 16South KoreaLow 37
  2. 17CzechiaLow 37
  3. 18CanadaLow 37
  4. 19GermanyLow 37
  5. 20NetherlandsLow 38
  6. 21BelgiumLow 38
  7. 22FranceLow 38
  8. 23SloveniaLow 38
  9. 24PolandLow 39
  10. 25United States of AmericaMedium 40

Put two countries head to head

Compare Netherlands against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Netherlands?
Netherlands runs low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 38 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Netherlands's risk?
Netherlands's highest pressures are climate (62, high) and governance (46). Its strongest area is social (22).
How might Netherlands's climate change by 2080?
Netherlands's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Netherlands warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Netherlands is on track to warm by +2.9 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +20 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Netherlands's coast?
Coastal sea level along Netherlands is projected to rise by +0.81 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.60 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Netherlands?
The share of Netherlands under high water stress is projected to move from 18% today to 19% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Netherlands?
The share of Netherlands exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.7% today to 0.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Netherlands's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.