Criora

Canada

Region Americas Subregion Northern America Income High income: OECD ISO CAN

Canada runs low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Canada, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
37 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    55 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    34 / 100
    ▼ -0.3 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    23 / 100
  4. Governance
    Low
    39 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Low
    36 / 100
    ▲ + 0.5 5y
Climate futures

Canada: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Canada is projected to warm +5.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing +61 mm.

Temperature

+5.8 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+4.1 °C → +5.8 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+3.3 °C → +4.0 °C

Hottest month +3.8 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+61 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+42 mm → +61 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+37 mm → +45 mm

Driest month +2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Canada: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 6 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.07 m → +0.29 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.06 m → +0.16 m

Water stress

3.5%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
2.9% → 3.5%
Current path SSP3-7.0
2% → 2.3%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.7% today.

River flooding

0.4%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.3% → 0.4%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.3% → 0.4%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.4% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Canada.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

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Pinpoint on the map Map of Canada Open the map →
Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Canada most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
High
7.1 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
2.9 / 10
Peers

Canada in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Northern America
#1 of 2median 39
  1. 1CanadaLow 37
  2. 2United States of AmericaMedium 40
region
Americas
#7 of 35median 44
  1. 3BahamasLow 35
  2. 4GrenadaLow 36
  3. 5St. Vin. and Gren.Low 37
  4. 6UruguayLow 37
  5. 7CanadaLow 37
  6. 8DominicaLow 38
  7. 9Saint LuciaLow 38
  8. 10Antigua and Barb.Low 38
  9. 11JamaicaMedium 40
  10. 12United States of AmericaMedium 40
income group
High income: OECD
#18 of 31median 37
  1. 14AustriaLow 35
  2. 15PortugalLow 36
  3. 16South KoreaLow 37
  4. 17CzechiaLow 37
  5. 18CanadaLow 37
  6. 19GermanyLow 37
  7. 20NetherlandsLow 38
  8. 21BelgiumLow 38
  9. 22FranceLow 38
  10. 23SloveniaLow 38

Put two countries head to head

Compare Canada against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare ↗ Score a site here
Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Canada?
Canada runs low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 37 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Canada's risk?
Canada's highest pressures are climate (55, medium) and governance (39). Its strongest area is social (23).
How might Canada's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 15% of Canada's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 66 to 69 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Canada warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Canada is on track to warm by +5.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +61 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +4.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Canada's coast?
Coastal sea level along Canada is projected to rise by +0.29 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.16 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Canada?
The share of Canada under high water stress is projected to move from 1.7% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Canada?
The share of Canada exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.4% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Canada's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.