Criora

Trinidad and Tobago

Region Americas Subregion Caribbean Income High income: nonOECD ISO TTO

Trinidad and Tobago sits mid-pack overall, with adaptation the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

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Standing risk

How risky is Trinidad and Tobago, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
42 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    25 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    31 / 100
    ▲ + 0.6 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    28 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    62 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    66 / 100
    ▼ -0.3 5y
Climate futures

Trinidad and Tobago: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Trinidad and Tobago is projected to warm +2.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing -361 mm.

Temperature

+2.2 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.6 °C → +2.2 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.3 °C → +1.6 °C

Hottest month +2.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-361 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-168 mm → -361 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
-119 mm → -84 mm

Driest month -12 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Trinidad and Tobago: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.26 m → +0.82 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.23 m → +0.61 m

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0% → 0%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Trinidad and Tobago most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Very low
0.0 / 10
DRR capacity
Medium
4.9 / 10
Peers

Trinidad and Tobago in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Caribbean
#10 of 13median 38
  1. 4GrenadaLow 36
  2. 5St. Vin. and Gren.Low 37
  3. 6DominicaLow 38
  4. 7Saint LuciaLow 38
  5. 8Antigua and Barb.Low 38
  6. 9JamaicaMedium 40
  7. 10Trinidad and TobagoMedium 42
  8. 11CubaMedium 43
  9. 12Dominican Rep.Medium 48
  10. 13HaitiHigh 62
region
Americas
#13 of 35median 44
  1. 9Saint LuciaLow 38
  2. 10Antigua and Barb.Low 38
  3. 11JamaicaMedium 40
  4. 12United States of AmericaMedium 40
  5. 13Trinidad and TobagoMedium 42
  6. 14CubaMedium 43
  7. 15Costa RicaMedium 43
  8. 16BelizeMedium 43
  9. 17ChileMedium 44
  10. 18PanamaMedium 44
income group
High income: nonOECD
#17 of 20median 36
  1. 11MaltaLow 36
  2. 12AndorraLow 37
  3. 13CyprusLow 37
  4. 14BruneiLow 39
  5. 15Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  6. 16OmanMedium 41
  7. 17Trinidad and TobagoMedium 42
  8. 18CroatiaMedium 43
  9. 19KuwaitMedium 44
  10. 20Eq. GuineaMedium 49

Put two countries head to head

Compare Trinidad and Tobago against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Trinidad and Tobago?
Trinidad and Tobago sits mid-pack overall, with adaptation the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 42 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Trinidad and Tobago's risk?
Trinidad and Tobago's highest pressures are adaptation (66, high) and governance (62). Its strongest area is climate (25).
How might Trinidad and Tobago's climate change by 2080?
Trinidad and Tobago's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Trinidad and Tobago warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Trinidad and Tobago is on track to warm by +2.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -361 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Trinidad and Tobago's coast?
Coastal sea level along Trinidad and Tobago is projected to rise by +0.82 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.61 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Trinidad and Tobago?
The share of Trinidad and Tobago under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Trinidad and Tobago?
The share of Trinidad and Tobago exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Trinidad and Tobago's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.