Chile: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 44 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

What drives Chile's risk?

Chile's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and nature (47). Its strongest area is social (27).

How might Chile's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 15% of Chile's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 65 to 68 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Chile warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Chile is on track to warm by +2.7 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -82 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Chile's coast?

Coastal sea level along Chile is projected to rise by +0.56 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.39 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Chile?

The share of Chile under high water stress is projected to move from 22% today to 24% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Chile?

The share of Chile exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.5% today to 0.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Chile's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Chile Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Americas
Subregion: South America
Income: Upper middle income
ISO: CHL

Chile: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Chile, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 44 / 100

42 Climate Medium
47 Nature -0.2 Medium
27 Social Low
55 Governance Medium
47 Adaptation +1.1 Medium

Which hazards threaten Chile most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

5.5FloodMedium
2.4DRR capacityLow

Chile in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

South America

#2 of 12 · median 50

Americas

#16 of 35 · median 44

Upper middle income

#23 of 53 · median 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Chile: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Chile is projected to warm +2.7 °C, with annual rainfall changing -82 mm.

+2.7 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +1.8 °C → +2.7 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.4 °C → +1.8 °C

Hottest month +3.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-82 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -49 mm → -82 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -33 mm → -47 mm

Driest month -4 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

24%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 22% → 24%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 22% → 22%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 22% today.

0.5%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.5% → 0.5%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.5% → 0.5%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.5% today.

Sea level

Chile: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 6 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.15 m → +0.56 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.12 m → +0.39 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Energy Imports	63.5 % of energy use	2023	95.0	+1.8	+8.5
Renewable Energy Share	24.2 % of total energy	2021	74.9	-0.5	-5.5
Fossil Fuel Consumption	66.7 % of total	2023	65.4	-0.6	-9.9
Flood Risk	5.50 0-10	2026	55.0	+3.0	+13.0
Renewable Electricity Share	48.1 % of total	2021	51.9	-23.2	-16.2
Land Surface Temperature	17.3 deg C change	2021	44.3	-20.4	-21.0
Heating Degree Days	5940 degree days	2020	40.8	+39.3	+40.8
Coal Electricity Share	17.3 % of total	2023	37.2	+22.6	+18.6
PM2.5 Air Pollution	23.3 ug/m3	2020	22.9	+3.7	+4.3
Energy Intensity	3.19 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	17.3	-1.9	+1.7
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	4.38 metric tons	2020	13.9	+6.2	+7.0
Energy Use Per Capita	1960 kg oil eq per capita	2023	12.3	-4.4	+3.0
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.34 kt CO2e per capita	2020	8.0	+1.0	+0.8
Methane Emissions Per Capita	0.61 kt CO2e per capita	2020	4.3	-3.8	-13.3
Drought Index (SPEI)	-2.44 index	2021	3.0	-43.4	-40.0
Cooling Degree Days	124 degree days	2020	1.7	-50.1	-64.4
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2022	0.0	-10.3	-5.5
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	-0.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Earthquake Risk	9.60 0-10	2026	96.0	+61.0	+37.0
Urban Concentration	0.87 0-1	2023	87.1	+29.7	+20.0
Tsunami Risk	8.60 0-10	2026	86.0	+75.0	+49.0
Dam Capacity	0.83 0-1	2023	82.9	-10.4	-3.6
Paved Roads	0.77 0-1	2023	76.8	+21.8	+9.8
Agricultural Capacity	0.75 0-1	2023	75.0	-16.8	-16.0
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.74 0-1	2023	74.0	-10.2	-8.3
Forest Area	24.8 % of land	2022	73.7	+7.4	+21.1
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.71 0-1	2023	70.9	+33.7	+24.1
Food Production Index	105 index	2022	67.8	+0.7	-2.5
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Energy Import Dependency	0.64 0-1	2023	63.5	+37.8	+48.0
Protected Areas	37.9 % of land	2023	61.8	-27.1	-28.2
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.56 0-1	2023	56.5	-1.1	+0.6
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.56 0-1	2023	56.4	-5.8	-5.1
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.54 0-1	2023	53.9	+14.3	+4.5
Projected Warm Period Change	0.49 0-1	2023	49.1	-18.6	-2.9
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.46 0-1	2023	46.1	-30.2	-28.8
Projected Hydropower Change	0.43 0-1	2023	43.4	-0.3	+0.2
Age Dependency Ratio	0.41 0-1	2023	41.4	-11.4	-5.4
Freshwater Withdrawal	4.00 % of internal resources	2021	37.2	-13.1	+0.6
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.30 0-1	2023	30.3	0.0	0.0
Protected Biome Areas	0.30 0-1	2023	30.0	-11.0	-5.8
Projected Groundwater Change	0.26 0-1	2023	26.1	-0.1	+4.3
Natural Capital Dependency	0.22 0-1	2023	22.0	+0.2	+1.8
Projected Population Change	0.20 0-1	2023	20.0	-2.3	0.0
Ecological Footprint	0.19 0-1	2023	19.0	-3.6	-2.9
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.19 0-1	2023	19.0	+0.6	-14.7
Food Import Dependency	0.18 0-1	2023	18.4	-3.3	-6.8
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.18 0-1	2023	18.1	-68.4	-76.0
Natural Resource Depletion	9.42 % of GNI	2021	16.4	+14.3	+14.0
Water Bodies Extent	84.0 % of land	2020	16.0	-5.6	-15.9
Agricultural Land	14.3 % of land	2022	16.0	-31.3	-18.4
Rural Population	0.13 0-1	2023	12.9	-29.7	-20.0
Disaster Preparedness	0.10 0-1	2023	10.0	-20.0	-15.0
Threatened Mammal Species	19.0 count	2018	9.9	+4.7	+4.7
Agriculture GDP Share	3.49 % of GDP	2023	9.7	-9.2	-6.8
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.08 0-1	2023	8.0	-5.5	-9.9
Population Below 5m	0.06 0-1	2023	5.8	-8.9	-8.3
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.05 0-1	2023	4.7	-34.5	-49.7
Water Dependency Ratio	0.04 0-1	2023	4.1	-2.8	+2.2
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.03 0-1	2023	3.4	-4.1	0.0
Tree Cover Loss	71610 hectares	2021	2.4	+2.3	+2.1
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.01 0-1	2023	1.2	-19.2	-33.1
Water Stress	8.98 %	2021	0.2	-0.1	0.0
Child Malnutrition	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-13.8	-7.9
Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.8	-1.5
Slum Population	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-16.5	-15.6
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	-0.2
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	-0.1

		Year		vs world	vs region
Hospital Beds	1.97 per 1,000	2021	87.0	+3.1	-0.1
Overweight Adults	78.8 % adults	2022	85.4	+29.4	+18.9
Uprooted People	8.50 0-10	2026	85.0	+26.0	+25.0
Shared Prosperity Growth	2.17 % annual	2022	74.9	+15.1	+7.0
School Gender Parity	0.98 ratio	2020	66.1	+9.2	+8.8
Primary School Enrollment	100 % gross	2022	63.2	-0.4	+0.2
Education Expenditure	14.9 % of govt	2021	62.7	-7.3	-0.1
Income Share Bottom 20%	5.90 %	2022	62.5	+18.1	-6.9
Gini Coefficient	43.0 0-100	2022	61.6	+30.9	+4.3
Net Migration	62679 persons	2023	57.2	+2.2	+2.2
GDP Growth	0.52 % annual	2023	52.6	+3.7	+3.9
Aging Population	13.7 % population	2023	34.8	+18.4	+12.5
Gender Labor Ratio	72.9 ratio F/M	2023	32.6	+5.6	-1.5
Labor Participation	69.5 % (15+)	2023	29.6	-0.5	-0.6
Unemployment Rate	9.01 %	2023	25.4	+11.2	+8.4
Food Security	1.80 0-10	2026	18.0	0.0	0.0
ESG Performance Score	2.45 0-100	2018	12.0	-13.0	-12.5
Life Expectancy	81.2 years	2023	9.9	-29.6	-25.9
Communicable Disease Deaths	7.11 %	2019	9.1	-7.0	-7.4
Fertility Rate	1.17 births per woman	2023	8.2	-15.1	-10.0
Internet Users	94.5 % population	2023	6.2	-14.7	-18.1
Health Conditions	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	-2.0	-2.0
Recent Shocks	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	+5.0	0.0
Poverty Rate (National)	6.50 % population	2022	5.1	-27.4	-39.9
Under-5 Mortality Rate	7.20 per 1,000	2023	5.1	-7.1	-5.5
Sanitation Access	95.3 % population	2022	4.8	-35.2	-49.8
Development and Deprivation	0.40 0-10	2026	4.0	-26.0	-25.0
Adult Literacy Rate	97.2 %	2022	3.9	-17.4	-2.9
Aid Dependency	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-22.0	-22.0
Children Under 5	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-8.0	-7.0
Safe Drinking Water	98.8 % population	2022	1.3	-20.2	-34.8
Population Density	26.3 people/km2	2022	0.1	-0.4	-0.2
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	-0.2
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2022	0.0	-5.8	-4.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	402 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Scientific Articles	9058 count	2022	99.0	-0.9	-1.0
R&D Expenditure	0.36 % of GDP	2021	94.4	+7.6	-1.5
Legal Rights Strength	4.00 0-12	2019	66.7	+16.7	+8.4
Political Stability	0.14 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	47.3	-2.5	+1.6
Women in Parliament	35.5 % seats	2023	42.1	-16.1	-10.8
Rule of Law	0.63 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	37.5	-15.5	-18.7
Government Effectiveness	0.72 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	35.6	-16.1	-15.9
INFORM Governance Index	3.40 0-10	2026	34.0	-22.0	-22.0
Regulatory Quality	0.93 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	31.5	-21.3	-18.4
Control of Corruption	0.97 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	30.6	-25.0	-26.6
Voice and Accountability	1.02 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	29.6	-19.3	-9.7
Physical Infrastructure	2.80 0-10	2026	28.0	-2.0	-1.0
Disaster Risk Reduction	2.40 0-10	2026	24.0	-17.5	-13.0
Communication Infrastructure	1.20 0-10	2026	12.0	-8.0	-8.0
Healthcare Access	1.00 0-10	2026	10.0	-27.0	-19.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.10 0-1	2023	90.1	-4.6	-7.7
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.34 0-1	2023	66.4	+14.9	-1.9
Doing Business Score	0.54 0-1	2023	45.5	-12.9	-15.9
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.59 0-1	2023	40.7	-2.4	+1.4
Education (Readiness)	0.60 0-1	2023	40.4	-32.6	-28.6
ICT Infrastructure	0.60 0-1	2023	39.9	-7.8	-5.0
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.63 0-1	2023	36.8	-15.2	-18.4
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.65 0-1	2023	35.2	-29.1	-30.6
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.69 0-1	2023	31.2	-21.4	-18.2

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Chile?
Chile: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 44 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Chile's risk?
Chile's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and nature (47). Its strongest area is social (27).
How might Chile's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 15% of Chile's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 65 to 68 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Chile warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Chile is on track to warm by +2.7 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -82 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Chile's coast?
Coastal sea level along Chile is projected to rise by +0.56 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.39 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Chile?
The share of Chile under high water stress is projected to move from 22% today to 24% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Chile?
The share of Chile exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.5% today to 0.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Chile's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.