+3.2 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.2 °C → +3.2 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.6 °C → +2.1 °C
Hottest month +3.6 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Paraguay Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Americas
- Subregion
- South America
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- PRY
Paraguay: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Paraguay, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 45 / 100
5y
- 42 Climate Medium
- 23 Nature -0.2 Low
- 27 Social Low
- 70 Governance High
- 64 Adaptation -0.2 High
Which hazards threaten Paraguay most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.6FloodMedium
- 6.3DRR capacityHigh
Paraguay in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
3
South America
#3 of 12 · median 5019
Americas
#19 of 35 · median 4411
Lower middle income
#11 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Paraguay: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Paraguay is projected to warm +3.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing +66 mm.
+66 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +22 mm → +66 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +29 mm → +20 mm
Driest month -4 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
3.5%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 3.5% → 3.5%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
3.9%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 3.6% → 3.9%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 2.8% → 4.8%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.4% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Land Surface Temperature | 30.7 deg C change | 71.9 |
Energy Imports | 5.65 % of energy use | 69.3 |
Cooling Degree Days | 4606 degree days | 63.1 |
Flood Risk | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 1.70 kt CO2e per capita | 39.8 |
Renewable Energy Share | 58.8 % of total energy | 38.9 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 34.8 % of total | 32.1 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 68.5 % population | 31.5 |
Energy Intensity | 3.40 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 13.1 |
Heat Index | 15.7 index | 11.5 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 10.1 ug/m3 | 6.5 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 1045 kg oil eq per capita | 5.9 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 1.15 metric tons | 3.6 |
Heating Degree Days | 317 degree days | 2.2 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.96 0-1 | 95.8 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.96 0-1 | 95.7 |
Food Production Index | 85.4 index | 86.5 |
Protected Areas | 14.3 % of land | 85.7 |
Paved Roads | 0.85 0-1 | 85.1 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.82 0-1 | 81.9 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.76 0-1 | 75.7 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.70 0-1 | 69.8 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.65 0-1 | 64.5 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.64 0-1 | 64.1 |
Urban Concentration | 0.60 0-1 | 60.3 |
Forest Area | 39.3 % of land | 58.5 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.55 0-1 | 55.3 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.52 0-1 | 51.7 |
Agricultural Land | 42.0 % of land | 49.4 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.49 0-1 | 48.9 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.45 0-1 | 45.3 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.43 0-1 | 42.7 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.40 0-1 | 40.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.40 0-1 | 39.9 |
Rural Population | 0.40 0-1 | 39.7 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.36 0-1 | 36.3 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 11.6 % of GDP | 32.2 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.29 0-1 | 28.5 |
Water Bodies Extent | 71.6 % of land | 28.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 2.06 % of internal resources | 26.2 |
Projected Population Change | 0.25 0-1 | 24.9 |
Slum Population | 0.15 0-1 | 15.2 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.11 0-1 | 11.3 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.08 0-1 | 8.4 |
Forest Depletion | 1.31 % of GNI | 7.5 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.06 0-1 | 5.7 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 10.0 count | 5.2 |
Tree Cover Loss | 277165 hectares | 4.3 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.04 0-1 | 4.1 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 1.38 % of GNI | 2.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.02 0-1 | 1.8 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.2 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Water Stress | 1.84 % | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.01 per 1,000 | 93.5 |
Overweight Adults | 69.1 % adults | 73.2 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 5.10 % | 72.1 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -1.24 % annual | 70.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 44.4 0-100 | 64.4 |
Net Migration | -12500 persons | 54.6 |
Sanitation Access | 55.2 % population | 46.1 |
Primary School Enrollment | 92.4 % gross | 46.0 |
GDP Growth | 5.00 % annual | 45.5 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 24.7 % population | 41.2 |
Life Expectancy | 73.8 years | 39.3 |
Development and Deprivation | 3.90 0-10 | 39.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 64.2 % population | 38.1 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 71.4 ratio F/M | 34.1 |
Uprooted People | 3.20 0-10 | 32.0 |
Fertility Rate | 2.42 births per woman | 31.4 |
Internet Users | 78.1 % population | 24.6 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.30 0-100 | 23.0 |
Labor Participation | 74.2 % (15+) | 22.3 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 14.0 % | 19.8 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.79 % | 16.2 |
Education Expenditure | 22.0 % of govt | 15.1 |
Health Conditions | 1.50 0-10 | 15.0 |
Aid Dependency | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Aging Population | 6.37 % population | 13.8 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 17.0 per 1,000 | 13.8 |
Food Security | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Children Under 5 | 0.80 0-10 | 8.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 95.0 % | 7.2 |
Undernourishment | 4.50 % population | 4.1 |
Recent Shocks | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Access to Electricity | 99.8 % population | 0.2 |
Population Density | 17.1 people/km2 | 0.1 |
Patent Applications | 10.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 209 count | 100.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.12 % of GDP | 98.6 |
Legal Rights Strength | 1.00 0-12 | 91.7 |
Control of Corruption | -1.06 -2.5 to +2.5 | 71.2 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.70 0-10 | 67.0 |
Women in Parliament | 22.5 % seats | 63.3 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 6.30 0-10 | 63.0 |
Rule of Law | -0.58 -2.5 to +2.5 | 61.6 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.46 -2.5 to +2.5 | 59.2 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.08 -2.5 to +2.5 | 51.6 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.04 -2.5 to +2.5 | 49.2 |
Political Stability | 0.08 -2.5 to +2.5 | 48.4 |
Physical Infrastructure | 2.90 0-10 | 29.0 |
Healthcare Access | 2.30 0-10 | 23.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.70 0-10 | 17.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.01 0-1 | 99.3 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.18 0-1 | 81.8 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.23 0-1 | 77.4 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.31 0-1 | 69.4 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.39 0-1 | 60.5 |
Doing Business Score | 0.41 0-1 | 59.1 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.49 0-1 | 51.1 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.51 0-1 | 49.0 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.58 0-1 | 41.6 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Paraguay →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Paraguay.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Paraguay?
Paraguay: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 45 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Paraguay's risk?
Paraguay's highest pressures are governance (70, high) and adaptation (64). Its strongest area is nature (23).
How might Paraguay's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 41% of Paraguay's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 73 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Paraguay warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Paraguay is on track to warm by +3.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +66 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Paraguay?
The share of Paraguay under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Paraguay?
The share of Paraguay exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.4% today to 3.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Paraguay's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.