Criora

Paraguay

Region Americas Subregion South America Income Lower middle income ISO PRY

Paraguay sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Paraguay, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
45 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    42 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    23 / 100
    ▼ -0.2 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    25 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    70 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    64 / 100
    ▼ -0.2 5y
Climate futures

Paraguay: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Paraguay is projected to warm +3.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing +66 mm.

Temperature

+3.2 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.2 °C → +3.2 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.6 °C → +2.1 °C

Hottest month +3.6 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+66 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+22 mm → +66 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+29 mm → +20 mm

Driest month -4 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

3.5%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
3.5% → 3.5%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

3.9%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
3.6% → 3.9%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
2.8% → 4.8%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.4% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Paraguay most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Medium
5.6 / 10
DRR capacity
High
6.3 / 10
Peers

Paraguay in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
South America
#3 of 12median 50
  1. 1UruguayLow 37
  2. 2ChileMedium 44
  3. 3ParaguayMedium 45
  4. 4BrazilMedium 48
  5. 5ArgentinaMedium 49
  6. 6GuyanaMedium 50
  7. 7SurinameMedium 50
  8. 8BoliviaMedium 51
  9. 9ColombiaMedium 52
  10. 10PeruMedium 52
region
Americas
#19 of 35median 44
  1. 15Costa RicaMedium 43
  2. 16BelizeMedium 43
  3. 17ChileMedium 44
  4. 18PanamaMedium 44
  5. 19ParaguayMedium 45
  6. 20BrazilMedium 48
  7. 21Dominican Rep.Medium 48
  8. 22ArgentinaMedium 49
  9. 23GuyanaMedium 50
  10. 24SurinameMedium 50
income group
Lower middle income
#11 of 53median 49
  1. 7NauruMedium 42
  2. 8BelizeMedium 43
  3. 9São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  4. 10ArmeniaMedium 44
  5. 11ParaguayMedium 45
  6. 12AlbaniaMedium 45
  7. 13MongoliaMedium 45
  8. 14TongaMedium 46
  9. 15KiribatiMedium 46
  10. 16Sri LankaMedium 46

Put two countries head to head

Compare Paraguay against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Paraguay?
Paraguay sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 45 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Paraguay's risk?
Paraguay's highest pressures are governance (70, high) and adaptation (64). Its strongest area is nature (23).
How might Paraguay's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 41% of Paraguay's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 73 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Paraguay warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Paraguay is on track to warm by +3.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +66 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Paraguay?
The share of Paraguay under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Paraguay?
The share of Paraguay exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.4% today to 3.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Paraguay's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.