Criora

Gabon

Region Africa Subregion Middle Africa Income Upper middle income ISO GAB

Gabon sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Gabon, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
48 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    42 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    20 / 100
    ▼ -0.1 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    31 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    75 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    71 / 100
    ▲ + 0.4 5y
Climate futures

Gabon: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Gabon is projected to warm +2.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing +188 mm.

Temperature

+2.6 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.6 °C → +2.6 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.4 °C → +1.9 °C

Hottest month +2.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+188 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+166 mm → +188 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+145 mm → +144 mm

Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Gabon: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 3 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.27 m → +0.84 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.23 m → +0.59 m

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

4.9%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
4.6% → 4.9%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
4.9% → 4.6%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 4.8% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Gabon most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Medium
5.6 / 10
Peers

Gabon in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Middle Africa
#2 of 9median 55
  1. 1São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  2. 2GabonMedium 48
  3. 3Eq. GuineaMedium 49
  4. 4AngolaMedium 51
  5. 5CameroonMedium 55
  6. 6CongoMedium 56
  7. 7Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  8. 8Central African Rep.High 64
  9. 9ChadHigh 66
region
Africa
#12 of 54median 53
  1. 8TunisiaMedium 46
  2. 9eSwatiniMedium 46
  3. 10NamibiaMedium 47
  4. 11MoroccoMedium 48
  5. 12GabonMedium 48
  6. 13LesothoMedium 48
  7. 14Eq. GuineaMedium 49
  8. 15ComorosMedium 49
  9. 16GhanaMedium 49
  10. 17AlgeriaMedium 49
income group
Upper middle income
#34 of 53median 44
  1. 30RussiaMedium 46
  2. 31TunisiaMedium 46
  3. 32SerbiaMedium 47
  4. 33NamibiaMedium 47
  5. 34GabonMedium 48
  6. 35BrazilMedium 48
  7. 36Dominican Rep.Medium 48
  8. 37AzerbaijanMedium 49
  9. 38Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49
  10. 39ArgentinaMedium 49

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Gabon?
Gabon sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 48 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Gabon's risk?
Gabon's highest pressures are governance (75, high) and adaptation (71). Its strongest area is nature (20).
How might Gabon's climate change by 2080?
Gabon's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Gabon warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Gabon is on track to warm by +2.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +188 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Gabon's coast?
Coastal sea level along Gabon is projected to rise by +0.84 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Gabon?
The share of Gabon under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Gabon?
The share of Gabon exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 4.8% today to 4.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Gabon's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.