+2.6 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.6 °C → +2.6 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.4 °C → +1.9 °C
Hottest month +2.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Gabon Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Middle Africa
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- GAB
Gabon: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Gabon, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 47 / 100
5y
- 42 Climate Medium
- 20 Nature -0.1 Low
- 29 Social Low
- 74 Governance High
- 71 Adaptation +0.4 High
Which hazards threaten Gabon most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.6FloodMedium
Gabon in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
2
Middle Africa
#2 of 9 · median 5511
Africa
#11 of 54 · median 5334
Upper middle income
#34 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Gabon: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Gabon is projected to warm +2.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing +188 mm.
+188 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +166 mm → +188 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +145 mm → +144 mm
Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
4.9%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 4.6% → 4.9%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 4.9% → 4.6%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 4.8% today.
Sea level
Gabon: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 3 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.27 m → +0.84 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.23 m → +0.59 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Electricity Share | 33.2 % of total | 66.8 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 71.5 % coast | 62.9 |
Land Surface Temperature | 26.2 deg C change | 62.7 |
Cooling Degree Days | 4565 degree days | 62.5 |
Flood Risk | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Energy Imports | -188 % of energy use | 53.8 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.75 index | 41.1 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 30.0 ug/m3 | 31.2 |
Energy Intensity | 6.47 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 30.5 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 22.8 % of total | 19.6 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 2096 kg oil eq per capita | 12.2 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 90.9 % population | 9.1 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 2.30 metric tons | 7.3 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.23 kt CO2e per capita | 5.3 |
Renewable Energy Share | 91.3 % of total energy | 5.2 |
Heat Index | 0.06 index | 0.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.00 degree days | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.98 0-1 | 97.7 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.95 0-1 | 94.9 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.92 0-1 | 91.7 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.90 0-1 | 90.3 |
Urban Concentration | 0.90 0-1 | 90.3 |
Paved Roads | 0.89 0-1 | 88.7 |
Protected Areas | 25.1 % of land | 74.7 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.74 0-1 | 74.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.72 0-1 | 72.3 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.72 0-1 | 71.8 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.67 0-1 | 67.4 |
Food Production Index | 106 index | 67.4 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Population Below 5m | 0.58 0-1 | 57.5 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.56 0-1 | 56.3 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.48 0-1 | 48.2 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.45 0-1 | 44.8 |
Slum Population | 0.45 0-1 | 44.7 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.44 0-1 | 43.9 |
Projected Population Change | 0.42 0-1 | 42.2 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.41 0-1 | 40.6 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.28 0-1 | 28.3 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.26 0-1 | 26.4 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 14.4 % of GNI | 25.2 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.25 0-1 | 25.1 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.25 0-1 | 24.6 |
Forest Depletion | 3.14 % of GNI | 17.9 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 6.31 % of GDP | 17.5 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.14 0-1 | 14.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.12 0-1 | 11.8 |
Rural Population | 0.10 0-1 | 9.7 |
Agricultural Land | 8.36 % of land | 9.4 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 18.0 count | 9.4 |
Water Bodies Extent | 93.6 % of land | 6.4 |
Electricity Access | 0.06 0-1 | 6.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 0.08 % of internal resources | 4.1 |
Forest Area | 91.2 % of land | 3.5 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.02 0-1 | 1.6 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.01 0-1 | 1.2 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 18318 hectares | 0.3 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.00 0-1 | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Stress | 0.50 % | 0.0 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 33.4 % | 100.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 46.3 % | 70.4 |
Unemployment Rate | 20.3 % | 57.6 |
Life Expectancy | 68.3 years | 56.5 |
Net Migration | 987 persons | 55.1 |
Food Security | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
Labor Participation | 53.3 % (15+) | 54.4 |
Fertility Rate | 3.65 births per woman | 54.1 |
Health Conditions | 5.10 0-10 | 51.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.93 0-100 | 50.6 |
GDP Growth | 2.45 % annual | 49.6 |
Education Expenditure | 13.6 % of govt | 47.6 |
Development and Deprivation | 4.70 0-10 | 47.0 |
Overweight Adults | 46.9 % adults | 45.3 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 69.4 ratio F/M | 36.2 |
Undernourishment | 20.1 % population | 36.1 |
Primary School Enrollment | 99.9 % gross | 36.1 |
Internet Users | 71.9 % population | 31.6 |
School Gender Parity | 1.02 ratio | 29.7 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 33.2 per 1,000 | 28.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 85.7 % | 19.7 |
Children Under 5 | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Uprooted People | 0.90 0-10 | 9.0 |
Aging Population | 4.04 % population | 7.1 |
Access to Electricity | 94.1 % population | 6.2 |
Aid Dependency | 0.50 0-10 | 5.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Population Density | 9.43 people/km2 | 0.0 |
Scientific Articles | 95.1 count | 100.0 |
Control of Corruption | -1.02 -2.5 to +2.5 | 70.3 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.92 -2.5 to +2.5 | 68.4 |
Rule of Law | -0.87 -2.5 to +2.5 | 67.5 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.70 0-10 | 67.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.78 -2.5 to +2.5 | 65.6 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.70 -2.5 to +2.5 | 64.1 |
Healthcare Access | 6.40 0-10 | 64.0 |
Women in Parliament | 24.5 % seats | 60.0 |
Political Stability | -0.34 -2.5 to +2.5 | 56.7 |
Physical Infrastructure | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 6.00 0-12 | 50.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.60 0-10 | 26.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.09 0-1 | 91.3 |
Doing Business Score | 0.19 0-1 | 81.2 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.19 0-1 | 80.8 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.34 0-1 | 66.2 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 63.5 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.44 0-1 | 56.0 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.45 0-1 | 54.6 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 48.8 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Gabon →But what about your location?
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Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Gabon?
Gabon: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 47 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Gabon's risk?
Gabon's highest pressures are governance (74, high) and adaptation (71). Its strongest area is nature (20).
How might Gabon's climate change by 2080?
Gabon's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Gabon warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Gabon is on track to warm by +2.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +188 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Gabon's coast?
Coastal sea level along Gabon is projected to rise by +0.84 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Gabon?
The share of Gabon under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Gabon?
The share of Gabon exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 4.8% today to 4.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Gabon's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.