+3.8 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.5 °C → +3.8 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.9 °C → +2.4 °C
Hottest month +4.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Namibia Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Southern Africa
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- NAM
Namibia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Namibia, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 47 / 100
5y
- 42 Climate Medium
- 26 Nature -1.9 Low
- 41 Social Medium
- 63 Governance High
- 62 Adaptation +0.2 High
Which hazards threaten Namibia most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.1FloodMedium
- 2.2DRR capacityLow
Namibia in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
4
Southern Africa
#4 of 5 · median 469
Africa
#9 of 54 · median 5331
Upper middle income
#31 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Namibia: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Namibia is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing -9 mm.
-9 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -7 mm → -9 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1 mm → +1 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
6.2%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 6% → 6.2%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 4.6% → 6%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.2% today.
0.4%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.4% → 0.4%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.3% → 0.4%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.4% today.
Sea level
Namibia: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 3 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.26 m → +0.83 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.23 m → +0.60 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Land Surface Temperature | 34.9 deg C change | 80.7 |
Energy Imports | 60.5 % of energy use | 73.7 |
Renewable Energy Share | 30.0 % of total energy | 68.8 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | 0.12 index | 58.4 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 47.4 % population | 52.6 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 53.5 % of total | 51.6 |
Flood Risk | 5.10 0-10 | 51.0 |
Cooling Degree Days | 2936 degree days | 40.2 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 1.44 kt CO2e per capita | 33.6 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 20.0 ug/m3 | 18.8 |
Energy Intensity | 3.45 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 13.4 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 90.9 % of total | 9.1 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 1.45 metric tons | 4.5 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 692 kg oil eq per capita | 3.8 |
Heating Degree Days | 528 degree days | 3.6 |
Coal Electricity Share | 1.35 % of total | 1.4 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.94 0-1 | 93.8 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.94 0-1 | 93.7 |
Forest Area | 7.89 % of land | 91.7 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.88 0-1 | 87.7 |
Paved Roads | 0.86 0-1 | 86.2 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.85 0-1 | 84.6 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.84 0-1 | 83.8 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.82 0-1 | 82.2 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.76 0-1 | 76.3 |
Protected Areas | 24.5 % of land | 75.3 |
Food Production Index | 101 index | 72.3 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.69 0-1 | 68.9 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.67 0-1 | 66.5 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.66 0-1 | 66.2 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.60 0-1 | 60.5 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.60 0-1 | 60.2 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.56 0-1 | 56.5 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.56 0-1 | 56.4 |
Agricultural Land | 47.1 % of land | 55.5 |
Urban Concentration | 0.51 0-1 | 51.4 |
Rural Population | 0.49 0-1 | 48.6 |
Electricity Access | 0.44 0-1 | 43.7 |
Slum Population | 0.42 0-1 | 41.8 |
Projected Population Change | 0.41 0-1 | 40.6 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 4.58 % of internal resources | 39.5 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.39 0-1 | 39.2 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.36 0-1 | 36.4 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.29 0-1 | 29.5 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.29 0-1 | 29.3 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 7.68 % of GDP | 21.4 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.21 0-1 | 20.6 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.17 0-1 | 17.3 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.14 0-1 | 14.4 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 15.0 count | 7.9 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 3.06 % of GNI | 5.3 |
Forest Depletion | 0.88 % of GNI | 5.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.04 0-1 | 3.9 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.03 0-1 | 2.5 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.02 0-1 | 2.1 |
Population Below 5m | 0.01 0-1 | 1.1 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 4.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Water Stress | 0.86 % | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 10.0 0-10 | 100.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 45.2 % | 68.6 |
Life Expectancy | 67.4 years | 59.5 |
Net Migration | 11675 persons | 55.4 |
Unemployment Rate | 19.4 % | 55.0 |
Food Security | 5.30 0-10 | 53.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.92 0-100 | 50.8 |
Uprooted People | 4.90 0-10 | 49.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 4.70 0-10 | 47.0 |
GDP Growth | 4.44 % annual | 46.4 |
Fertility Rate | 3.21 births per woman | 46.0 |
Access to Electricity | 56.7 % population | 45.8 |
Health Conditions | 4.50 0-10 | 45.0 |
Labor Participation | 60.4 % (15+) | 43.5 |
Undernourishment | 22.2 % population | 40.4 |
Internet Users | 64.4 % population | 40.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 40.7 per 1,000 | 34.7 |
Overweight Adults | 36.5 % adults | 32.3 |
Children Under 5 | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Aid Dependency | 2.60 0-10 | 26.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 134 % gross | 26.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 87.5 ratio F/M | 17.5 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 92.3 % | 12.3 |
Aging Population | 3.57 % population | 5.7 |
Education Expenditure | 25.0 % of govt | 3.6 |
Population Density | 3.51 people/km2 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 8.00 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 220 count | 100.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.65 % of GDP | 89.8 |
Physical Infrastructure | 6.30 0-10 | 63.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 5.00 0-12 | 58.3 |
Healthcare Access | 5.30 0-10 | 53.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.06 -2.5 to +2.5 | 51.2 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.00 0-10 | 50.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.03 -2.5 to +2.5 | 49.4 |
Control of Corruption | 0.11 -2.5 to +2.5 | 47.8 |
Rule of Law | 0.45 -2.5 to +2.5 | 41.1 |
Communication Infrastructure | 4.00 0-10 | 40.0 |
Political Stability | 0.54 -2.5 to +2.5 | 39.1 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.58 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.3 |
Women in Parliament | 44.2 % seats | 27.8 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 2.20 0-10 | 22.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.01 0-1 | 98.6 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.17 0-1 | 82.8 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.25 0-1 | 74.6 |
Doing Business Score | 0.37 0-1 | 63.1 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.44 0-1 | 56.2 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.45 0-1 | 55.0 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.49 0-1 | 50.8 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.60 0-1 | 40.4 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.66 0-1 | 33.6 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Namibia →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Namibia.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Namibia?
Namibia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 47 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Namibia's risk?
Namibia's highest pressures are governance (63, high) and adaptation (62). Its strongest area is nature (26).
How might Namibia's climate change by 2080?
Namibia's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Namibia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Namibia is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -9 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.4 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Namibia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Namibia is projected to rise by +0.83 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.60 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Namibia?
The share of Namibia under high water stress is projected to move from 1.2% today to 6.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Namibia?
The share of Namibia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.4% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Namibia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.