Criora

Namibia

Region Africa Subregion Southern Africa Income Upper middle income ISO NAM

Namibia sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Namibia, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
47 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    42 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    26 / 100
    ▼ -1.9 5y
  3. Social
    Medium
    44 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    63 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    62 / 100
    ▲ + 0.2 5y
Climate futures

Namibia: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Namibia is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing -9 mm.

Temperature

+3.8 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.5 °C → +3.8 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.9 °C → +2.4 °C

Hottest month +4.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-9 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-7 mm → -9 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1 mm → +1 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Namibia: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 3 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.26 m → +0.83 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.23 m → +0.60 m

Water stress

6.2%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
6% → 6.2%
Current path SSP3-7.0
4.6% → 6%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.2% today.

River flooding

0.4%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.4% → 0.4%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.3% → 0.4%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.4% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Namibia most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Medium
5.1 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
3.1 / 10
Peers

Namibia in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Southern Africa
#4 of 5median 46
  1. 1South AfricaMedium 41
  2. 2BotswanaMedium 44
  3. 3eSwatiniMedium 46
  4. 4NamibiaMedium 47
  5. 5LesothoMedium 48
region
Africa
#10 of 54median 53
  1. 6BotswanaMedium 44
  2. 7RwandaMedium 45
  3. 8TunisiaMedium 46
  4. 9eSwatiniMedium 46
  5. 10NamibiaMedium 47
  6. 11MoroccoMedium 48
  7. 12GabonMedium 48
  8. 13LesothoMedium 48
  9. 14Eq. GuineaMedium 49
  10. 15ComorosMedium 49
income group
Upper middle income
#33 of 53median 44
  1. 29MalaysiaMedium 45
  2. 30RussiaMedium 46
  3. 31TunisiaMedium 46
  4. 32SerbiaMedium 47
  5. 33NamibiaMedium 47
  6. 34GabonMedium 48
  7. 35BrazilMedium 48
  8. 36Dominican Rep.Medium 48
  9. 37AzerbaijanMedium 49
  10. 38Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Namibia?
Namibia sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 47 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Namibia's risk?
Namibia's highest pressures are governance (63, high) and adaptation (62). Its strongest area is nature (26).
How might Namibia's climate change by 2080?
Namibia's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Namibia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Namibia is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -9 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.4 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Namibia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Namibia is projected to rise by +0.83 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.60 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Namibia?
The share of Namibia under high water stress is projected to move from 1.2% today to 6.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Namibia?
The share of Namibia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.4% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Namibia's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.