+2.5 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.5 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.4 °C → +1.8 °C
Hottest month +2.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Timor-Leste Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Asia
- Subregion
- South-Eastern Asia
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- TLS
Timor-Leste: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Timor-Leste, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 47 / 100
5y
- 20 Climate Very low
- 43 Nature -1.9 Medium
- 40 Social Medium
- 72 Governance High
- 62 Adaptation -0.5 High
Which hazards threaten Timor-Leste most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 0.0FloodVery low
Timor-Leste in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
4
South-Eastern Asia
#4 of 11 · median 5225
Asia
#25 of 48 · median 4721
Lower middle income
#21 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Timor-Leste: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Timor-Leste is projected to warm +2.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +13 mm.
+13 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -3 mm → +13 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -32 mm → -10 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
1.7%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 1.7%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0% → 1.7%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.
Sea level
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.24 m → +0.81 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.21 m → +0.59 m
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Electricity Share | 0.37 % of total | 99.6 |
Renewable Energy Share | 11.4 % of total energy | 88.9 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 17.7 % population | 82.3 |
Land Surface Temperature | 28.7 deg C change | 67.8 |
Cooling Degree Days | 4465 degree days | 61.1 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 17.4 ug/m3 | 15.6 |
Energy Intensity | 2.42 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 11.3 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.21 kt CO2e per capita | 4.8 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.34 metric tons | 1.0 |
Heat Index | 0.27 index | 0.2 |
Flood Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.00 degree days | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 57.3 % of GNI | 100.0 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 99.5 |
Protected Areas | 5.20 % of land | 94.8 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.93 0-1 | 93.3 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.92 0-1 | 92.0 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.85 0-1 | 85.4 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.81 0-1 | 81.2 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.75 0-1 | 74.6 |
Rural Population | 0.73 0-1 | 72.8 |
Food Production Index | 102 index | 71.2 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.63 0-1 | 62.9 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.61 0-1 | 61.3 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.59 0-1 | 59.5 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 14.3 % of internal resources | 58.1 |
Earthquake Risk | 5.80 0-10 | 58.0 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 16.9 % of GDP | 46.9 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.45 0-1 | 44.5 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.41 0-1 | 41.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.39 0-1 | 39.4 |
Tsunami Risk | 3.90 0-10 | 39.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.38 0-1 | 38.0 |
Forest Area | 61.8 % of land | 34.7 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.34 0-1 | 34.3 |
Slum Population | 0.34 0-1 | 34.2 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.33 0-1 | 32.8 |
Urban Concentration | 0.27 0-1 | 27.2 |
Agricultural Land | 23.0 % of land | 26.8 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.25 0-1 | 25.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.18 0-1 | 17.9 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.12 0-1 | 12.2 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.12 0-1 | 11.9 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.12 0-1 | 11.8 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 5.00 count | 2.6 |
Water Stress | 28.3 % | 0.7 |
Forest Depletion | 0.10 % of GNI | 0.6 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1431 hectares | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Education Expenditure | 7.47 % of govt | 87.8 |
GDP Growth | -18.1 % annual | 82.1 |
Internet Users | 34.0 % population | 74.2 |
Development and Deprivation | 7.40 0-10 | 74.0 |
Aid Dependency | 6.20 0-10 | 62.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 40.1 % | 60.7 |
Life Expectancy | 67.7 years | 58.5 |
Net Migration | -5620 persons | 54.9 |
Children Under 5 | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Food Security | 5.30 0-10 | 53.0 |
School Gender Parity | 1.03 ratio | 46.1 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 69.9 % | 43.6 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 50.0 per 1,000 | 42.9 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.08 0-100 | 39.6 |
Fertility Rate | 2.71 births per woman | 36.7 |
Labor Participation | 66.2 % (15+) | 34.6 |
Health Conditions | 3.30 0-10 | 33.0 |
Undernourishment | 15.9 % population | 27.5 |
Primary School Enrollment | 123 % gross | 22.6 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 85.2 ratio F/M | 19.9 |
Aging Population | 5.33 % population | 10.8 |
Overweight Adults | 14.4 % adults | 4.4 |
Unemployment Rate | 1.52 % | 4.0 |
Population Density | 92.1 people/km2 | 0.5 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Uprooted People | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 0.00 0-12 | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 13.9 count | 100.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.84 -2.5 to +2.5 | 66.8 |
Rule of Law | -0.83 -2.5 to +2.5 | 66.7 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.20 0-10 | 62.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.49 -2.5 to +2.5 | 59.8 |
Healthcare Access | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Control of Corruption | -0.23 -2.5 to +2.5 | 54.5 |
Physical Infrastructure | 4.50 0-10 | 45.0 |
Political Stability | 0.26 -2.5 to +2.5 | 44.8 |
Communication Infrastructure | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.43 -2.5 to +2.5 | 41.3 |
Women in Parliament | 36.9 % seats | 39.7 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.18 0-1 | 81.6 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.34 0-1 | 65.6 |
Doing Business Score | 0.37 0-1 | 63.4 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.68 0-1 | 32.1 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Timor-Leste →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Timor-Leste.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Timor-Leste?
Timor-Leste: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 47 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Timor-Leste's risk?
Timor-Leste's highest pressures are governance (72, high) and adaptation (62). Its strongest area is climate (20).
How might Timor-Leste's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 7% of Timor-Leste's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Timor-Leste warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Timor-Leste is on track to warm by +2.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +13 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Timor-Leste's coast?
Coastal sea level along Timor-Leste is projected to rise by +0.81 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Timor-Leste?
The share of Timor-Leste under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Timor-Leste?
The share of Timor-Leste exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 1.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Timor-Leste's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.