Criora

Thailand

Region Asia Subregion South-Eastern Asia Income Upper middle income ISO THA

Thailand sits mid-pack overall, with climate the main pressure, easing recently.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Thailand, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
50 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    High
    71 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    41 / 100
    ▼ -0.3 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    27 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    62 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    51 / 100
    ▼ -3.3 5y
Climate futures

Thailand: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Thailand is projected to warm +3.1 °C, with annual rainfall changing +53 mm.

Temperature

+3.1 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.0 °C → +3.1 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.6 °C → +2.1 °C

Hottest month +3.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+53 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+14 mm → +53 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+6 mm → +19 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Thailand: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 8 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.22 m → +0.77 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.19 m → +0.55 m

Water stress

59%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
58% → 59%
Current path SSP3-7.0
59% → 57%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 58% today.

River flooding

6.2%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
4.7% → 6.2%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
3.5% → 7.1%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 4.5% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Thailand.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

orpinpoint it on the map →
Pinpoint on the map Map of Thailand Open the map →
Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Thailand most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Critical
9.8 / 10
DRR capacity
Medium
4.1 / 10
Peers

Thailand in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
South-Eastern Asia
#5 of 11median 51
  1. 1SingaporeLow 24
  2. 2BruneiLow 39
  3. 3MalaysiaMedium 45
  4. 4Timor-LesteMedium 47
  5. 5ThailandMedium 50
  6. 6VietnamMedium 51
  7. 7LaosMedium 52
  8. 8IndonesiaMedium 54
  9. 9CambodiaMedium 55
  10. 10PhilippinesMedium 56
region
Asia
#29 of 48median 47
  1. 25Timor-LesteMedium 47
  2. 26AzerbaijanMedium 49
  3. 27TurkeyMedium 49
  4. 28UzbekistanMedium 50
  5. 29ThailandMedium 50
  6. 30VietnamMedium 51
  7. 31TajikistanMedium 52
  8. 32LaosMedium 52
  9. 33LebanonMedium 53
  10. 34NepalMedium 53
income group
Upper middle income
#43 of 53median 44
  1. 39ArgentinaMedium 49
  2. 40TurkeyMedium 49
  3. 41AlgeriaMedium 49
  4. 42SurinameMedium 50
  5. 43ThailandMedium 50
  6. 44LibyaMedium 51
  7. 45AngolaMedium 51
  8. 46ColombiaMedium 52
  9. 47PeruMedium 52
  10. 48MexicoMedium 53

Put two countries head to head

Compare Thailand against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare ↗ Score a site here
Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Thailand?
Thailand sits mid-pack overall, with climate the main pressure, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 50 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Thailand's risk?
Thailand's highest pressures are climate (71, high) and governance (62). Its strongest area is social (27).
How might Thailand's climate change by 2080?
Thailand's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Thailand warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Thailand is on track to warm by +3.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +53 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Thailand's coast?
Coastal sea level along Thailand is projected to rise by +0.77 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.55 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Thailand?
The share of Thailand under high water stress is projected to move from 58% today to 59% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Thailand?
The share of Thailand exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 4.5% today to 6.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Thailand's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.