What drives Myanmar's risk?

Myanmar's highest pressures are governance (80, critical) and adaptation (75). Its strongest area is social (48).

How might Myanmar's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 34% of Myanmar's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Myanmar warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Myanmar is on track to warm by +3.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +172 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Myanmar's coast?

Coastal sea level along Myanmar is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.54 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Myanmar?

The share of Myanmar under high water stress is projected to move from 7.5% today to 11% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Myanmar?

The share of Myanmar exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.9% today to 8.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Myanmar's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Myanmar Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Asia
Subregion: South-Eastern Asia
Income: Low income
ISO: MMR

Myanmar: high governance pressure, led by flood exposure, rising over five years.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Myanmar, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

High 64 / 100

61 Climate High
53 Nature +1.4 Medium
48 Social Medium
80 Governance Critical
75 Adaptation +6.0 High

Which hazards threaten Myanmar most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

8.8FloodCritical
4.4DRR capacityMedium

Myanmar in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

South-Eastern Asia

#11 of 11 · median 52

Asia

#43 of 48 · median 47

Low income

#33 of 37 · median 55

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Myanmar: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Myanmar is projected to warm +3.1 °C, with annual rainfall changing +172 mm.

+3.1 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +2.0 °C → +3.1 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.5 °C → +2.0 °C

Hottest month +2.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+172 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +51 mm → +172 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +66 mm → +95 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

11%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 9.9% → 11%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 13% → 11%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 7.5% today.

8.9%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 8% → 8.9%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 5.8% → 6.5%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.9% today.

Sea level

Myanmar: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.22 m → +0.76 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.19 m → +0.54 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Coastal Protection Needed	91.9 % coast	2020	89.4	+5.1	-0.9
Flood Risk	8.80 0-10	2026	88.0	+36.0	+22.5
Energy Imports	-19.0 % of energy use	2022	67.3	-3.8	-3.4
Land Surface Temperature	27.4 deg C change	2021	65.1	+0.4	-2.4
Cooling Degree Days	4062 degree days	2020	55.6	+3.8	+4.6
Access to Clean Fuels	50.7 % population	2022	49.3	+39.0	+40.6
Fossil Fuel Consumption	45.1 % of total	2022	42.9	-29.8	-43.9
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.90 index	2021	38.3	-8.1	+1.9
Renewable Electricity Share	62.1 % of total	2021	37.9	-37.2	-45.1
Renewable Energy Share	62.9 % of total energy	2021	34.7	-40.7	-55.9
PM2.5 Air Pollution	32.3 ug/m3	2020	34.2	+15.0	+8.0
Heat Index	24.8 index	2020	18.2	+18.1	+16.1
Energy Intensity	4.17 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	17.5	+0.9	-0.9
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.43 kt CO2e per capita	2020	10.1	+3.1	+4.0
Heating Degree Days	335 degree days	2020	2.3	+0.8	-5.3
Energy Use Per Capita	400 kg oil eq per capita	2022	2.0	-6.3	-6.9
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	0.64 metric tons	2020	1.9	-5.8	-9.0
Coal Electricity Share	0.51 % of total	2022	0.5	-16.2	-31.4

		Year		vs world	vs region
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+69.7	+78.8
Agricultural Capacity	0.96 0-1	2023	96.2	+4.4	+7.7
Protected Areas	3.90 % of land	2023	96.1	+7.2	+2.9
Disaster Preparedness	0.95 0-1	2023	95.0	+65.0	+70.0
Food Production Index	77.0 index	2022	94.5	+27.4	+34.5
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.94 0-1	2023	94.3	+10.1	+12.5
Dam Capacity	0.93 0-1	2023	92.7	-0.6	-0.9
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.93 0-1	2023	92.6	+6.1	+14.8
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.89 0-1	2023	89.2	+23.4	+23.4
Tsunami Risk	8.30 0-10	2026	83.0	+72.0	+58.0
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.83 0-1	2023	83.0	+6.7	+2.8
Earthquake Risk	8.20 0-10	2026	82.0	+47.0	+14.5
Projected Warm Period Change	0.81 0-1	2023	80.8	+13.0	+15.5
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.77 0-1	2023	77.2	+15.1	+16.2
Rural Population	0.73 0-1	2023	73.2	+30.6	+28.6
Protected Biome Areas	0.69 0-1	2023	68.6	+27.6	+23.7
Agriculture GDP Share	22.7 % of GDP	2023	63.2	+44.3	+41.1
Slum Population	0.59 0-1	2023	58.8	+42.3	+40.0
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.56 0-1	2023	56.3	+16.7	+28.6
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.56 0-1	2023	56.2	+19.0	+19.5
Forest Area	42.8 % of land	2022	54.7	-11.6	-30.2
Paved Roads	0.55 0-1	2023	54.7	-0.3	+28.0
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.53 0-1	2023	52.9	-4.7	-2.4
Dependency Ratio	0.43 0-1	2023	43.3	+36.5	+39.4
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.43 0-1	2023	43.2	+22.8	+15.3
Age Dependency Ratio	0.43 0-1	2023	42.7	-10.0	-2.9
Population Below 5m	0.41 0-1	2023	41.1	+26.4	+23.3
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.40 0-1	2023	39.8	+0.5	+6.6
Freshwater Withdrawal	3.31 % of internal resources	2021	34.3	-16.0	-41.3
Child Malnutrition	0.31 0-1	2023	30.6	+16.8	+12.8
Projected Groundwater Change	0.30 0-1	2023	30.4	+4.2	+1.8
Urban Concentration	0.27 0-1	2023	26.8	-30.6	-28.6
Threatened Mammal Species	49.0 count	2018	25.7	+20.5	+18.9
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.25 0-1	2023	24.8	+11.3	+8.8
Electricity Access	0.23 0-1	2023	23.4	+23.4	+23.4
Agricultural Land	19.9 % of land	2022	23.1	-24.2	-17.2
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.20 0-1	2023	19.8	+1.4	+7.7
Food Import Dependency	0.19 0-1	2023	18.7	-3.0	-0.8
Projected Population Change	0.19 0-1	2023	18.5	-3.8	-5.1
Natural Capital Dependency	0.17 0-1	2023	17.1	-4.7	-8.6
Water Dependency Ratio	0.14 0-1	2023	14.1	+7.2	+7.1
Forest Depletion	2.23 % of GNI	2021	12.7	+12.6	+12.7
Natural Resource Depletion	5.37 % of GNI	2021	9.4	+7.3	+6.8
Tree Cover Loss	304152 hectares	2021	4.7	+4.6	+4.7
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.03 0-1	2023	2.8	-4.7	-24.8
Water Stress	5.80 %	2021	0.1	-0.2	-1.3
Energy Import Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-25.7	-20.7

		Year		vs world	vs region
Uprooted People	9.70 0-10	2026	97.0	+38.0	+43.5
Hospital Beds	1.06 per 1,000	2020	93.1	+14.1	+12.5
Education Expenditure	9.82 % of govt	2019	77.6	+11.5	+11.5
Development and Deprivation	7.20 0-10	2026	72.0	+42.0	+46.5
Life Expectancy	66.9 years	2023	61.1	+21.6	+27.9
Net Migration	-34989 persons	2023	53.9	-1.1	-1.0
GDP Growth	0.96 % annual	2023	51.9	+3.0	+4.1
Gender Labor Ratio	58.8 ratio F/M	2023	47.0	+20.0	+7.2
Internet Users	58.5 % population	2023	46.7	+25.8	+30.3
Safe Drinking Water	57.4 % population	2022	45.4	+23.9	+15.2
Labor Participation	59.6 % (15+)	2023	44.7	+14.6	+13.5
Recent Shocks	4.30 0-10	2026	43.0	+42.0	+40.0
Sanitation Access	60.6 % population	2022	40.5	+0.5	+6.1
Health Conditions	3.70 0-10	2026	37.0	+29.0	+33.0
Children Under 5	3.60 0-10	2026	36.0	+25.0	+23.0
ESG Performance Score	2.13 0-100	2018	35.4	+10.4	+9.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	38.7 per 1,000	2023	32.9	+20.7	+22.4
Communicable Disease Deaths	21.6 %	2019	31.8	+15.7	+17.6
Fertility Rate	2.12 births per woman	2023	25.8	+2.5	+2.6
Aid Dependency	2.50 0-10	2026	25.0	0.0	+4.0
Access to Electricity	76.8 % population	2023	24.5	+24.5	+24.5
Primary School Enrollment	119 % gross	2018	21.3	-21.2	-21.3
Overweight Adults	27.0 % adults	2022	20.3	-35.7	-34.4
School Gender Parity	1.01 ratio	2018	19.9	-2.1	+0.1
Food Security	1.80 0-10	2026	18.0	0.0	0.0
Aging Population	7.09 % population	2023	15.9	-0.5	+2.1
Adult Literacy Rate	89.0 %	2019	15.7	+5.0	+10.0
Unemployment Rate	3.03 %	2023	8.3	-5.9	-3.3
Undernourishment	5.30 % population	2022	5.7	-0.1	+0.1
Population Density	82.4 people/km2	2022	0.4	-0.1	-0.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
R&D Expenditure	0.02 % of GDP	2023	100.0	+13.7	+8.3
Scientific Articles	163 count	2022	100.0	+0.1	+0.2
Political Stability	-2.13 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	92.5	+42.7	+36.9
Voice and Accountability	-1.84 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	86.9	+38.1	+21.4
Government Effectiveness	-1.75 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	85.1	+33.4	+34.4
Legal Rights Strength	2.00 0-12	2019	83.3	+33.3	+33.3
INFORM Governance Index	8.30 0-10	2026	83.0	+27.0	+25.5
Rule of Law	-1.62 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	82.3	+29.3	+29.2
Regulatory Quality	-1.44 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	78.7	+26.0	+24.1
Women in Parliament	15.3 % seats	2021	75.0	+13.7	+6.0
Control of Corruption	-1.22 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	74.3	+18.7	+16.0
Healthcare Access	6.10 0-10	2026	61.0	+24.0	+28.0
Physical Infrastructure	5.10 0-10	2026	51.0	+21.0	+21.5
Disaster Risk Reduction	4.40 0-10	2026	44.0	+2.5	+8.0
Communication Infrastructure	3.00 0-10	2026	30.0	+10.0	+15.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Education (Readiness)	0.12 0-1	2023	87.9	+14.9	+15.0
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.15 0-1	2023	85.5	+21.2	+17.7
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.19 0-1	2023	80.9	+29.0	+29.1
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.20 0-1	2023	79.6	+36.5	+31.3
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.22 0-1	2023	78.0	+25.4	+24.5
Doing Business Score	0.30 0-1	2023	70.3	+11.9	+19.2
ICT Infrastructure	0.42 0-1	2023	58.2	+10.5	+12.7

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

Score a site in Myanmar →

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Myanmar.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

orpinpoint it on the map →

Map of Myanmar — Pinpoint on the map Open the map

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Myanmar?
Myanmar: high governance pressure, led by flood exposure, rising over five years. Its overall risk score is 64 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Myanmar's risk?
Myanmar's highest pressures are governance (80, critical) and adaptation (75). Its strongest area is social (48).
How might Myanmar's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 34% of Myanmar's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Myanmar warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Myanmar is on track to warm by +3.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +172 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Myanmar's coast?
Coastal sea level along Myanmar is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.54 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Myanmar?
The share of Myanmar under high water stress is projected to move from 7.5% today to 11% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Myanmar?
The share of Myanmar exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.9% today to 8.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Myanmar's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.