Criora

Myanmar

Region Asia Subregion South-Eastern Asia Income Low income ISO MMR

Myanmar carries high governance pressure, led by flood exposure and hazard and exposure, rising over five years.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Myanmar, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
High
63 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    High
    61 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    53 / 100
    ▲ + 1.4 5y
  3. Social
    Medium
    46 / 100
  4. Governance
    Critical
    82 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    75 / 100
    ▲ + 6.0 5y
Climate futures

Myanmar: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Myanmar is projected to warm +3.1 °C, with annual rainfall changing +172 mm.

Temperature

+3.1 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.0 °C → +3.1 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.5 °C → +2.0 °C

Hottest month +2.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+172 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+51 mm → +172 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+66 mm → +95 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Myanmar: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 8 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.22 m → +0.76 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.19 m → +0.54 m

Water stress

11%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
9.9% → 11%
Current path SSP3-7.0
13% → 11%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 7.5% today.

River flooding

8.9%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
8% → 8.9%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
5.8% → 6.5%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.9% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Myanmar.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

orpinpoint it on the map →
Pinpoint on the map Map of Myanmar Open the map →
Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Myanmar most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Critical
8.8 / 10
DRR capacity
High
6.3 / 10
Peers

Myanmar in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
South-Eastern Asia
#11 of 11median 51
  1. 2BruneiLow 39
  2. 3MalaysiaMedium 45
  3. 4Timor-LesteMedium 47
  4. 5ThailandMedium 50
  5. 6VietnamMedium 51
  6. 7LaosMedium 52
  7. 8IndonesiaMedium 54
  8. 9CambodiaMedium 55
  9. 10PhilippinesMedium 56
  10. 11MyanmarHigh 63
region
Asia
#43 of 48median 47
  1. 39PhilippinesMedium 56
  2. 40IranMedium 56
  3. 41IndiaMedium 57
  4. 42IraqMedium 59
  5. 43MyanmarHigh 63
  6. 44BangladeshHigh 64
  7. 45PakistanHigh 64
  8. 46AfghanistanHigh 64
  9. 47SyriaHigh 65
  10. 48YemenHigh 66
income group
Low income
#32 of 37median 55
  1. 28NigerHigh 61
  2. 29Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  3. 30HaitiHigh 62
  4. 31S. SudanHigh 63
  5. 32MyanmarHigh 63
  6. 33Central African Rep.High 64
  7. 34BangladeshHigh 64
  8. 35AfghanistanHigh 64
  9. 36ChadHigh 66
  10. 37SomaliaHigh 69

Put two countries head to head

Compare Myanmar against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare ↗ Score a site here
Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Myanmar?
Myanmar carries high governance pressure, led by flood exposure and hazard and exposure, rising over five years. Its overall risk score is 63 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Myanmar's risk?
Myanmar's highest pressures are governance (82, critical) and adaptation (75). Its strongest area is social (46).
How might Myanmar's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 34% of Myanmar's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Myanmar warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Myanmar is on track to warm by +3.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +172 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Myanmar's coast?
Coastal sea level along Myanmar is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.54 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Myanmar?
The share of Myanmar under high water stress is projected to move from 7.5% today to 11% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Myanmar?
The share of Myanmar exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.9% today to 8.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Myanmar's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.