+4.1 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.9 °C → +4.1 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.1 °C → +2.7 °C
Hottest month +4.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Mauritania Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Western Africa
- Income
- Low income
- ISO
- MRT
Mauritania: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Mauritania, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 57 / 100
5y
- 53 Climate Medium
- 38 Nature +2.1 Low
- 53 Social Medium
- 78 Governance High
- 65 Adaptation -0.4 High
Which hazards threaten Mauritania most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 6.1FloodHigh
Mauritania in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
12
Western Africa
#12 of 16 · median 5442
Africa
#42 of 54 · median 5323
Low income
#23 of 37 · median 55Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Mauritania: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Mauritania is projected to warm +4.1 °C, with annual rainfall changing +3 mm.
+3 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +5 mm → +3 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +4 mm → +3 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
5.3%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 3.2% → 5.3%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 2.7% → 4.9%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 2.5% today.
0.4%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.4% → 0.4%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.3% → 0.3%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.3% today.
Sea level
Mauritania: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 3 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.24 m → +0.77 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.22 m → +0.57 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Cooling Degree Days | 6814 degree days | 93.3 |
Land Surface Temperature | 38.7 deg C change | 88.4 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 70.8 ug/m3 | 82.2 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 19.4 % of total | 80.6 |
Renewable Energy Share | 19.6 % of total energy | 80.2 |
Flood Risk | 6.10 0-10 | 61.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 48.9 % population | 51.1 |
Heat Index | 45.8 index | 33.6 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -1.46 index | 27.2 |
Energy Intensity | 3.74 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 21.6 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.71 kt CO2e per capita | 16.6 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.84 metric tons | 2.6 |
Heating Degree Days | 143 degree days | 1.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Population Below 5m | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Forest Area | 0.29 % of land | 99.7 |
Agricultural Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 99.6 |
Protected Areas | 1.10 % of land | 98.9 |
Dam Capacity | 0.97 0-1 | 97.4 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.96 0-1 | 96.5 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 337 % of internal resources | 94.8 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.94 0-1 | 94.1 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.82 0-1 | 81.5 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.80 0-1 | 79.8 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.77 0-1 | 77.3 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.77 0-1 | 76.9 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.72 0-1 | 72.2 |
Paved Roads | 0.66 0-1 | 65.9 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.63 0-1 | 62.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.58 0-1 | 57.8 |
Food Production Index | 117 index | 57.3 |
Slum Population | 0.57 0-1 | 56.5 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.56 0-1 | 56.2 |
Urban Concentration | 0.54 0-1 | 54.4 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 18.7 % of GDP | 52.1 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.52 0-1 | 51.8 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.51 0-1 | 50.6 |
Electricity Access | 0.50 0-1 | 50.2 |
Projected Population Change | 0.47 0-1 | 47.5 |
Rural Population | 0.46 0-1 | 45.6 |
Agricultural Land | 38.5 % of land | 45.3 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.40 0-1 | 40.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.34 0-1 | 33.6 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.28 0-1 | 28.5 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.15 0-1 | 15.0 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 7.29 % of GNI | 12.7 |
Tsunami Risk | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.10 0-1 | 9.6 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 18.0 count | 9.4 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.09 0-1 | 9.0 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.40 0-10 | 4.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.65 % of GNI | 3.7 |
Water Stress | 13.2 % | 0.3 |
Tree Cover Loss | 0.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 31.1 % | 91.8 |
Development and Deprivation | 8.30 0-10 | 83.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 52.7 % | 80.5 |
Uprooted People | 7.60 0-10 | 76.0 |
Fertility Rate | 4.70 births per woman | 73.5 |
Labor Participation | 42.0 % (15+) | 71.7 |
Internet Users | 37.4 % population | 70.4 |
Education Expenditure | 9.53 % of govt | 63.2 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 45.9 ratio F/M | 60.4 |
Life Expectancy | 68.5 years | 56.1 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.85 0-100 | 56.1 |
Net Migration | 2999 persons | 55.1 |
Access to Electricity | 50.3 % population | 52.5 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 67.0 % | 52.4 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 31.8 % population | 50.2 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -0.08 % annual | 46.9 |
Overweight Adults | 47.2 % adults | 45.7 |
GDP Growth | 6.51 % annual | 43.2 |
Aid Dependency | 4.10 0-10 | 41.0 |
Children Under 5 | 3.90 0-10 | 39.0 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.80 % | 32.9 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 37.8 per 1,000 | 32.1 |
School Gender Parity | 1.07 ratio | 32.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 112 % gross | 31.3 |
Unemployment Rate | 10.4 % | 29.5 |
Gini Coefficient | 32.0 0-100 | 29.0 |
Food Security | 2.40 0-10 | 24.0 |
Undernourishment | 9.30 % population | 13.9 |
Health Conditions | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Aging Population | 3.22 % population | 4.7 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Population Density | 4.73 people/km2 | 0.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.01 % of GDP | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 26.5 count | 100.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 2.00 0-12 | 83.3 |
Regulatory Quality | -1.00 -2.5 to +2.5 | 69.9 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.80 0-10 | 68.0 |
Control of Corruption | -0.82 -2.5 to +2.5 | 66.5 |
Healthcare Access | 6.60 0-10 | 66.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.76 -2.5 to +2.5 | 65.3 |
Physical Infrastructure | 6.40 0-10 | 64.0 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.66 -2.5 to +2.5 | 63.1 |
Rule of Law | -0.64 -2.5 to +2.5 | 62.8 |
Women in Parliament | 23.3 % seats | 62.0 |
Political Stability | -0.50 -2.5 to +2.5 | 60.1 |
Communication Infrastructure | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.03 0-1 | 96.6 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.24 0-1 | 76.4 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.31 0-1 | 69.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.35 0-1 | 64.5 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.38 0-1 | 61.7 |
Doing Business Score | 0.43 0-1 | 56.8 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.45 0-1 | 55.2 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 51.7 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Mauritania →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Mauritania.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Mauritania?
Mauritania: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 57 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Mauritania's risk?
Mauritania's highest pressures are governance (78, high) and adaptation (65). Its strongest area is nature (38).
How might Mauritania's climate change by 2080?
Mauritania's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Mauritania warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Mauritania is on track to warm by +4.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +3 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.7 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Mauritania's coast?
Coastal sea level along Mauritania is projected to rise by +0.77 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.57 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Mauritania?
The share of Mauritania under high water stress is projected to move from 2.5% today to 5.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Mauritania?
The share of Mauritania exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.3% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Mauritania's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.