+3.2 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.1 °C → +3.2 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.6 °C → +1.9 °C
Hottest month +4.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Venezuela Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Americas
- Subregion
- South America
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- VEN
Venezuela: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Venezuela, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 58 / 100
5y
- 45 Climate Medium
- 43 Nature -0.2 Medium
- 36 Social Low
- 83 Governance Critical
- 81 Adaptation -0.7 Critical
Which hazards threaten Venezuela most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.7FloodMedium
Venezuela in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
12
South America
#12 of 12 · median 5034
Americas
#34 of 35 · median 4453
Upper middle income
#53 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Venezuela: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Venezuela is projected to warm +3.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing -182 mm.
-182 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -83 mm → -182 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -9 mm → +12 mm
Driest month -7 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
8.3%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 6.3% → 8.3%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 6.1% → 8.4%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 3.8% today.
5.2%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 8.5% → 5.2%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 7.9% → 6.4%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.9% today.
Sea level
Venezuela: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.26 m → +0.82 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.24 m → +0.62 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 85.9 % of total | 85.3 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 80.5 % coast | 74.7 |
Cooling Degree Days | 5052 degree days | 69.2 |
Land Surface Temperature | 28.2 deg C change | 66.8 |
Renewable Energy Share | 33.7 % of total energy | 65.0 |
Energy Imports | -73.9 % of energy use | 62.9 |
Flood Risk | 5.70 0-10 | 57.0 |
Energy Intensity | 8.32 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 41.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 75.4 % of total | 24.6 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 15.3 ug/m3 | 12.9 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.46 kt CO2e per capita | 10.8 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 1478 kg oil eq per capita | 8.5 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 2.55 metric tons | 8.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 95.0 % population | 5.0 |
Heat Index | 3.52 index | 2.6 |
Heating Degree Days | 23.1 degree days | 0.2 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.98 0-1 | 97.9 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.89 0-1 | 88.7 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.88 0-1 | 88.4 |
Urban Concentration | 0.88 0-1 | 87.5 |
Food Production Index | 89.9 index | 82.3 |
Earthquake Risk | 8.10 0-10 | 81.0 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.74 0-1 | 73.8 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Paved Roads | 0.67 0-1 | 66.5 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.6 |
Protected Areas | 39.0 % of land | 61.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.55 0-1 | 55.5 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.54 0-1 | 54.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.53 0-1 | 52.5 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.52 0-1 | 52.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.45 0-1 | 44.7 |
Forest Area | 52.3 % of land | 44.7 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.43 0-1 | 43.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.39 0-1 | 39.2 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.33 0-1 | 32.9 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.32 0-1 | 32.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 2.81 % of internal resources | 30.8 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.29 0-1 | 29.0 |
Agricultural Land | 24.4 % of land | 28.4 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.28 0-1 | 28.1 |
Slum Population | 0.26 0-1 | 25.9 |
Projected Population Change | 0.25 0-1 | 25.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.25 0-1 | 24.6 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.24 0-1 | 23.8 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.19 0-1 | 19.3 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 35.0 count | 18.3 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.17 0-1 | 16.9 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.16 0-1 | 16.3 |
Rural Population | 0.12 0-1 | 12.5 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.09 0-1 | 8.7 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.02 0-1 | 2.4 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.02 0-1 | 2.3 |
Tree Cover Loss | 64424 hectares | 1.0 |
Water Stress | 7.54 % | 0.2 |
Dam Capacity | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Education Expenditure | 0.01 % of govt | 100.0 |
Hospital Beds | 0.99 per 1,000 | 93.7 |
Sanitation Access | 27.1 % population | 75.0 |
Uprooted People | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Overweight Adults | 53.5 % adults | 53.6 |
Net Migration | -112899 persons | 51.2 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 55.4 ratio F/M | 50.6 |
Labor Participation | 57.4 % (15+) | 48.2 |
Life Expectancy | 72.5 years | 43.4 |
Development and Deprivation | 3.80 0-10 | 38.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 108 % gross | 33.9 |
Aid Dependency | 3.20 0-10 | 32.0 |
Undernourishment | 17.6 % population | 30.9 |
Fertility Rate | 2.08 births per woman | 25.1 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 15.6 % | 22.3 |
Aging Population | 9.33 % population | 22.3 |
Food Security | 2.20 0-10 | 22.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 24.3 per 1,000 | 20.2 |
Children Under 5 | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.49 % | 15.3 |
Health Conditions | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 97.6 % | 3.3 |
Recent Shocks | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Population Density | 32.0 people/km2 | 0.2 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Scientific Articles | 512 count | 99.9 |
Rule of Law | -2.15 -2.5 to +2.5 | 93.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 1.00 0-12 | 91.7 |
Regulatory Quality | -2.03 -2.5 to +2.5 | 90.5 |
INFORM Governance Index | 8.50 0-10 | 85.0 |
Control of Corruption | -1.69 -2.5 to +2.5 | 83.8 |
Government Effectiveness | -1.60 -2.5 to +2.5 | 82.0 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.53 -2.5 to +2.5 | 80.6 |
Political Stability | -1.19 -2.5 to +2.5 | 73.8 |
Healthcare Access | 6.60 0-10 | 66.0 |
Women in Parliament | 22.2 % seats | 63.8 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.60 0-10 | 36.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.40 0-10 | 24.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.01 0-1 | 98.5 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.04 0-1 | 96.3 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.09 0-1 | 91.4 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.10 0-1 | 89.7 |
Doing Business Score | 0.11 0-1 | 88.9 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.31 0-1 | 68.7 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 63.5 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.46 0-1 | 53.6 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.47 0-1 | 52.8 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Venezuela →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Venezuela.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Venezuela?
Venezuela: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 58 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Venezuela's risk?
Venezuela's highest pressures are governance (83, critical) and adaptation (81). Its strongest area is social (36).
How might Venezuela's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 6% of Venezuela's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Venezuela warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Venezuela is on track to warm by +3.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -182 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Venezuela's coast?
Coastal sea level along Venezuela is projected to rise by +0.82 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.62 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Venezuela?
The share of Venezuela under high water stress is projected to move from 3.8% today to 8.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Venezuela?
The share of Venezuela exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.9% today to 5.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Venezuela's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.