Climate risk in Maracay
Aragua, Venezuela · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Maracay most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Venezuela
In an average year, fire burns 2% of the land around Maracay.
Caracas: 0%.
The highest of the 5 large cities in Venezuela.
2% © OpenStreetMap Maracay's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Maracay's climate comes closest to that of Barquisimeto (Venezuela) today, though no large city matches it well.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. Venezuela: the place on the map
+1.2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-14%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Port-au-Prince (Haiti), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 2.0 σ to the climate of Barquisimeto today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Maracay stands out
254 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Caracas: 301 days.
Higher than in 83% of the world's 630 large cities
19 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
Caracas: 7 days.
Higher than in 82% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Maracay
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Maracay | Among large cities | In Venezuela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 254 days | Among large cities: above 83% | In Venezuela: 5 of 5 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 31.6°C | Among large cities: above 14% | In Venezuela: 5 of 5 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 20% | In Venezuela: 4 of 5 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 19 days | Among large cities: above 82% | In Venezuela: 2 of 5 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 2.09 m/s² | Among large cities: above 81% | In Venezuela: 5 of 5 |
| Land burned in an average year | 2% | Among large cities: above 93% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Maracay on the live map
See the tropical nights around Maracay on the live map
254 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Maracay
- Valencia · Venezuela
- Caracas · Venezuela
- Barquisimeto · Venezuela
- Maracaibo · Venezuela
Large cities in Venezuela
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Maracay, Venezuela: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/VEN/maracay BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_VEN_maracay_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Maracay, Venezuela: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/VEN/maracay},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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