Climate risk in Maracaibo
Zulia, Venezuela · 2.1M people in the urban area
What threatens Maracaibo most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Venezuela
Maracaibo had 365 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.
Caracas: 301 days.
The highest of the 5 large cities in Venezuela.
Maracaibo's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Maracaibo's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Barranquilla (Colombia).
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.5°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.3°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-10%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Maracaibo would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 0.5 σ away. How close the match is: 2.4 σ to the climate of Barranquilla today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Maracaibo stands out
250 mm
Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions
Caracas: 234 mm.
Higher than in 83% of the world's 205 large cities
2.09 m/s²
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years
Caracas: 2.58 m/s².
Higher than in 81% of the world's 627 large cities
Hazards at Maracaibo
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Maracaibo | Among large cities | In Venezuela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 10 days | Among large cities: above 58% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 37.5°C | Among large cities: above 60% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.6°C | Among large cities: above 27% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 3 days | Among large cities: above 24% | In Venezuela: 4 of 5 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 250 mm | Among large cities: above 83% | |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In Venezuela: 4 of 5 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 2.09 m/s² | Among large cities: above 81% | In Venezuela: 4 of 5 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Maracaibo on the live map
See the sea level rise around Maracaibo on the live map
250 mm © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Maracaibo
- Barquisimeto · Venezuela
- Barranquilla · Colombia
- Valencia · Venezuela
- Bucaramanga · Colombia
Large cities in Venezuela
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Maracaibo, Venezuela: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/VEN/maracaibo BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_VEN_maracaibo_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Maracaibo, Venezuela: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/VEN/maracaibo},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/VEN/maracaibo" title="Maracaibo, Venezuela: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/VEN/maracaibo?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.