Climate risk in Valencia
Carabobo, Venezuela · 1.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Valencia most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Venezuela
Valencia had 292 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.
Caracas: 301 days.
Valencia's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Valencia is projected to have the climate that Barquisimeto (Venezuela) has today.
+1.3°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-13%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Barquisimeto (Venezuela), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 1.1 σ to the climate of Barquisimeto today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Valencia stands out
20 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
Caracas: 7 days.
The highest of the 5 large cities in Venezuela.
Higher than in 85% of the world's 630 large cities
2.34 m/s²
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years
Caracas: 2.58 m/s².
Higher than in 84% of the world's 627 large cities
Hazards at Valencia
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Valencia | Among large cities | In Venezuela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 292 days | Among large cities: above 86% | In Venezuela: 4 of 5 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 31.7°C | Among large cities: above 15% | In Venezuela: 4 of 5 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 21% | In Venezuela: 3 of 5 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 20 days | Among large cities: above 85% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Venezuela: 1 of 5 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 2.34 m/s² | Among large cities: above 84% | In Venezuela: 3 of 5 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Venezuela: 2 of 5 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Valencia on the live map
See the heavy rain days around Valencia on the live map
20 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Valencia
- Maracay · Venezuela
- Caracas · Venezuela
- Barquisimeto · Venezuela
- Maracaibo · Venezuela
Large cities in Venezuela
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Valencia, Venezuela: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/VEN/valencia BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_VEN_valencia_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Valencia, Venezuela: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/VEN/valencia},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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