+3.0 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.0 °C → +3.0 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.5 °C → +1.8 °C
Hottest month +4.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Guyana Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Americas
- Subregion
- South America
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- GUY
Guyana: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Guyana, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 50 / 100
5y
- 54 Climate Medium
- 26 Nature -3.1 Low
- 34 Social Low
- 68 Governance High
- 66 Adaptation -3.2 High
Which hazards threaten Guyana most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 6.9FloodHigh
- 6.3DRR capacityHigh
Guyana in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
6
South America
#6 of 12 · median 5023
Americas
#23 of 35 · median 4428
Lower middle income
#28 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Guyana: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Guyana is projected to warm +3.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing -231 mm.
-231 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -142 mm → -231 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -38 mm → +1 mm
Driest month -17 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
2.1%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 2.1% → 2.1%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 2.1% → 2.1%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 2.2% today.
4.8%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 6.7% → 4.8%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 3.7% → 3.9%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.1% today.
Sea level
Guyana: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 3 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.25 m → +0.81 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.23 m → +0.60 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Drought Index (SPEI) | 2.24 index | 100.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 7.11 % of total | 92.9 |
Renewable Energy Share | 12.1 % of total energy | 88.1 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 90.0 % coast | 87.0 |
Flood Risk | 6.90 0-10 | 69.0 |
Cooling Degree Days | 4828 degree days | 66.1 |
Land Surface Temperature | 26.2 deg C change | 62.7 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 25.5 ug/m3 | 25.6 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.70 kt CO2e per capita | 16.4 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 3.43 metric tons | 10.8 |
Energy Intensity | 2.06 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 8.5 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.02 degree days | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Population Below 5m | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.96 0-1 | 95.6 |
Protected Areas | 5.20 % of land | 94.8 |
Paved Roads | 0.94 0-1 | 93.8 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.84 0-1 | 84.5 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.84 0-1 | 83.6 |
Rural Population | 0.78 0-1 | 78.5 |
Dam Capacity | 0.75 0-1 | 75.1 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.75 0-1 | 74.9 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Food Production Index | 112 index | 61.8 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.59 0-1 | 59.2 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.58 0-1 | 57.6 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.56 0-1 | 56.4 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.53 0-1 | 53.3 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.53 0-1 | 53.0 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 29.5 % of GNI | 51.5 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.40 0-1 | 40.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.39 0-1 | 38.8 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.37 0-1 | 37.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.34 0-1 | 33.8 |
Water Bodies Extent | 67.8 % of land | 32.2 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 9.74 % of GDP | 27.1 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.27 0-1 | 26.9 |
Tsunami Risk | 2.50 0-10 | 25.0 |
Urban Concentration | 0.22 0-1 | 21.5 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.18 0-1 | 17.6 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.16 0-1 | 16.4 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.16 0-1 | 15.5 |
Projected Population Change | 0.14 0-1 | 13.5 |
Forest Depletion | 2.34 % of GNI | 13.3 |
Slum Population | 0.12 0-1 | 12.3 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.11 0-1 | 11.1 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.11 0-1 | 10.7 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 0.60 % of internal resources | 8.7 |
Agricultural Land | 5.30 % of land | 5.8 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 11.0 count | 5.8 |
Electricity Access | 0.01 0-1 | 1.1 |
Forest Area | 93.5 % of land | 1.1 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.00 0-1 | 0.5 |
Tree Cover Loss | 9537 hectares | 0.1 |
Water Stress | 3.30 % | 0.1 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 2.59 per 1,000 | 82.0 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 30.5 % | 74.4 |
Uprooted People | 6.00 0-10 | 60.0 |
Overweight Adults | 56.4 % adults | 57.3 |
Sanitation Access | 44.2 % population | 57.3 |
Education Expenditure | 16.2 % of govt | 55.8 |
Net Migration | -6161 persons | 54.8 |
Labor Participation | 53.4 % (15+) | 54.3 |
Life Expectancy | 70.2 years | 50.7 |
Primary School Enrollment | 99.0 % gross | 41.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 67.0 ratio F/M | 38.6 |
Health Conditions | 3.50 0-10 | 35.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.14 0-100 | 34.6 |
Unemployment Rate | 12.0 % | 34.0 |
Fertility Rate | 2.41 births per woman | 31.3 |
Development and Deprivation | 2.90 0-10 | 29.0 |
Aid Dependency | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 17.4 % | 25.2 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 25.7 per 1,000 | 21.4 |
Internet Users | 81.7 % population | 20.6 |
Children Under 5 | 2.00 0-10 | 20.0 |
Aging Population | 6.48 % population | 14.1 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 90.0 % | 13.7 |
Food Security | 0.40 0-10 | 4.0 |
Access to Electricity | 98.9 % population | 1.2 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Population Density | 4.17 people/km2 | 0.0 |
GDP Growth | 33.8 % annual | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 40.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 28.9 count | 100.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 3.00 0-12 | 75.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 6.30 0-10 | 63.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.56 -2.5 to +2.5 | 61.3 |
Control of Corruption | -0.38 -2.5 to +2.5 | 57.7 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.70 0-10 | 57.0 |
Rule of Law | -0.34 -2.5 to +2.5 | 56.8 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.29 -2.5 to +2.5 | 55.9 |
Political Stability | -0.06 -2.5 to +2.5 | 51.1 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.15 -2.5 to +2.5 | 47.0 |
Women in Parliament | 36.6 % seats | 40.2 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.90 0-10 | 39.0 |
Healthcare Access | 3.30 0-10 | 33.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.30 0-10 | 23.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.07 0-1 | 93.1 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.23 0-1 | 76.5 |
Doing Business Score | 0.28 0-1 | 71.7 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.34 0-1 | 66.4 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.34 0-1 | 66.3 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.39 0-1 | 60.7 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.44 0-1 | 55.8 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.53 0-1 | 46.5 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.56 0-1 | 44.0 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Guyana →But what about your location?
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Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Guyana?
Guyana: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 50 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Guyana's risk?
Guyana's highest pressures are governance (68, high) and adaptation (66). Its strongest area is nature (26).
How might Guyana's climate change by 2080?
Guyana's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Guyana warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Guyana is on track to warm by +3.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -231 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Guyana's coast?
Coastal sea level along Guyana is projected to rise by +0.81 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.60 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Guyana?
The share of Guyana under high water stress is projected to move from 2.2% today to 2.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Guyana?
The share of Guyana exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.1% today to 4.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Guyana's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.