+3.7 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.4 °C → +3.7 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.8 °C → +2.3 °C
Hottest month +5.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Bolivia Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Americas
- Subregion
- South America
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- BOL
Bolivia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Bolivia, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 51 / 100
5y
- 44 Climate Medium
- 33 Nature +0.7 Low
- 33 Social Low
- 73 Governance High
- 72 Adaptation +0.1 High
Which hazards threaten Bolivia most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.5FloodMedium
- 5.2DRR capacityMedium
Bolivia in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
8
South America
#8 of 12 · median 5026
Americas
#26 of 35 · median 4431
Lower middle income
#31 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Bolivia: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Bolivia is projected to warm +3.7 °C, with annual rainfall changing -36 mm.
-36 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -35 mm → -36 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -14 mm → -20 mm
Driest month -3 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
5.9%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 5.8% → 5.9%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 3.8% → 5.7%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 4.2% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Energy Share | 12.8 % of total energy | 86.7 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 84.8 % of total | 84.2 |
Land Surface Temperature | 27.9 deg C change | 66.1 |
Energy Imports | -67.3 % of energy use | 63.4 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 38.3 % of total | 61.7 |
Flood Risk | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.54 index | 47.3 |
Cooling Degree Days | 3401 degree days | 46.6 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 22.9 ug/m3 | 22.4 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.83 kt CO2e per capita | 19.4 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 2.25 kt CO2e per capita | 18.1 |
Energy Intensity | 3.89 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 15.9 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 89.1 % population | 10.9 |
Heating Degree Days | 1554 degree days | 10.7 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 1.56 metric tons | 4.9 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 798 kg oil eq per capita | 4.4 |
Heat Index | 4.38 index | 3.2 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.99 0-1 | 98.8 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.98 0-1 | 97.9 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.91 0-1 | 91.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.91 0-1 | 90.8 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.90 0-1 | 90.3 |
Paved Roads | 0.89 0-1 | 89.1 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.84 0-1 | 84.2 |
Earthquake Risk | 7.20 0-10 | 72.0 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.70 0-1 | 70.0 |
Urban Concentration | 0.69 0-1 | 68.9 |
Protected Areas | 30.9 % of land | 68.9 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.67 0-1 | 67.4 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.7 |
Food Production Index | 115 index | 58.3 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.58 0-1 | 57.9 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.53 0-1 | 53.1 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.53 0-1 | 52.9 |
Forest Area | 46.5 % of land | 50.8 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.47 0-1 | 47.1 |
Slum Population | 0.47 0-1 | 47.0 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.43 0-1 | 43.4 |
Agricultural Land | 35.8 % of land | 42.4 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.39 0-1 | 38.9 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 13.5 % of GDP | 37.5 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.36 0-1 | 36.4 |
Rural Population | 0.31 0-1 | 31.1 |
Projected Population Change | 0.30 0-1 | 29.7 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.26 0-1 | 26.3 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.23 0-1 | 22.7 |
Tree Cover Loss | 558393 hectares | 18.7 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.16 0-1 | 16.3 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 6.95 % of GNI | 12.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 21.0 count | 11.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 0.73 % of internal resources | 11.0 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.11 0-1 | 10.8 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.08 0-1 | 8.3 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.01 0-1 | 0.6 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.2 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Water Stress | 1.24 % | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 10.0 0-10 | 100.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.35 per 1,000 | 92.0 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 5.20 % | 70.5 |
Overweight Adults | 65.1 % adults | 68.2 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 37.7 % population | 66.9 |
School Gender Parity | 0.99 ratio | 60.5 |
Food Security | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 42.1 0-100 | 55.8 |
Net Migration | -3008 persons | 54.9 |
Life Expectancy | 68.6 years | 53.4 |
GDP Growth | 3.08 % annual | 48.6 |
Development and Deprivation | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
Uprooted People | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
Undernourishment | 23.0 % population | 42.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 98.9 % gross | 41.1 |
Education Expenditure | 23.1 % of govt | 34.8 |
Fertility Rate | 2.55 births per woman | 33.7 |
Internet Users | 70.2 % population | 33.5 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.20 0-100 | 30.7 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 18.6 % | 27.1 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 84.7 ratio F/M | 20.4 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 23.1 per 1,000 | 19.1 |
Labor Participation | 80.3 % (15+) | 13.0 |
Aging Population | 5.55 % population | 11.4 |
Aid Dependency | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Children Under 5 | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 94.0 % | 8.7 |
Unemployment Rate | 3.02 % | 8.3 |
Health Conditions | 0.80 0-10 | 8.0 |
Access to Electricity | 99.8 % population | 0.2 |
Population Density | 11.1 people/km2 | 0.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 1.60 % annual | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 5.00 count | 100.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 0.00 0-12 | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 188 count | 100.0 |
Rule of Law | -1.22 -2.5 to +2.5 | 74.4 |
Regulatory Quality | -1.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 73.5 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.70 0-10 | 67.0 |
Control of Corruption | -0.84 -2.5 to +2.5 | 66.8 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.64 -2.5 to +2.5 | 62.8 |
Healthcare Access | 5.70 0-10 | 57.0 |
Political Stability | -0.31 -2.5 to +2.5 | 56.3 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.27 -2.5 to +2.5 | 55.3 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 5.20 0-10 | 52.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Women in Parliament | 46.2 % seats | 24.6 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.10 0-10 | 21.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.00 0-1 | 99.8 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.23 0-1 | 76.8 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.25 0-1 | 75.4 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.27 0-1 | 73.1 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.27 0-1 | 72.8 |
Doing Business Score | 0.29 0-1 | 71.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.48 0-1 | 51.6 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.52 0-1 | 48.4 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Bolivia →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Bolivia.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Bolivia?
Bolivia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 51 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bolivia's risk?
Bolivia's highest pressures are governance (73, high) and adaptation (72). Its strongest area is social (33).
How might Bolivia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 12% of Bolivia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 73 to 73 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Bolivia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Bolivia is on track to warm by +3.7 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -36 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Bolivia?
The share of Bolivia under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bolivia?
The share of Bolivia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 4.2% today to 5.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bolivia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.