Criora

Bolivia

Region Americas Subregion South America Income Lower middle income ISO BOL

Bolivia sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Bolivia, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
51 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    44 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    33 / 100
    ▲ + 0.7 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    35 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    73 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    72 / 100
    ▲ + 0.1 5y
Climate futures

Bolivia: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Bolivia is projected to warm +3.7 °C, with annual rainfall changing -36 mm.

Temperature

+3.7 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.4 °C → +3.7 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.8 °C → +2.3 °C

Hottest month +5.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-36 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-35 mm → -36 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
-14 mm → -20 mm

Driest month -3 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

5.9%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
5.8% → 5.9%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
3.8% → 5.7%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 4.2% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Bolivia most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Medium
5.5 / 10
DRR capacity
Medium
5.3 / 10
Peers

Bolivia in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
South America
#8 of 12median 50
  1. 3ParaguayMedium 45
  2. 4BrazilMedium 48
  3. 5ArgentinaMedium 49
  4. 6GuyanaMedium 50
  5. 7SurinameMedium 50
  6. 8BoliviaMedium 51
  7. 9ColombiaMedium 52
  8. 10PeruMedium 52
  9. 11EcuadorMedium 55
  10. 12VenezuelaMedium 58
region
Americas
#26 of 35median 44
  1. 22ArgentinaMedium 49
  2. 23GuyanaMedium 50
  3. 24SurinameMedium 50
  4. 25El SalvadorMedium 51
  5. 26BoliviaMedium 51
  6. 27ColombiaMedium 52
  7. 28PeruMedium 52
  8. 29NicaraguaMedium 53
  9. 30MexicoMedium 53
  10. 31GuatemalaMedium 54
income group
Lower middle income
#32 of 53median 49
  1. 28UzbekistanMedium 50
  2. 29GuyanaMedium 50
  3. 30El SalvadorMedium 51
  4. 31VietnamMedium 51
  5. 32BoliviaMedium 51
  6. 33DjiboutiMedium 52
  7. 34LaosMedium 52
  8. 35Côte d'IvoireMedium 53
  9. 36NicaraguaMedium 53
  10. 37SenegalMedium 53

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Bolivia?
Bolivia sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 51 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bolivia's risk?
Bolivia's highest pressures are governance (73, high) and adaptation (72). Its strongest area is nature (33).
How might Bolivia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 12% of Bolivia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 73 to 73 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Bolivia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Bolivia is on track to warm by +3.7 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -36 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Bolivia?
The share of Bolivia under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bolivia?
The share of Bolivia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 4.2% today to 5.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bolivia's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.