Criora

Climate risk in La Paz

La Paz Department, Bolivia · 1.6M people in the urban area

What threatens La Paz most

Earthquake
Moderate GSHAP
Drought
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Water stress
Low WRI Aqueduct

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Bolivia

An earthquake's shaking at La Paz can reach 2.14 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.

Santa Cruz de la Sierra: 1.49 m/s².

2.14 m/s² © OpenStreetMap
0 5 m/s²
See the earthquake hazard around La Paz on the live map

La Paz's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, La Paz's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Toluca (Mexico).

Climate risk in Toluca

+1.5°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.6°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.1°C

Lowest in the coldest month

0%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, La Paz would stay nearest its own climate today.

Its own climate today is 7.4 σ away. How close the match is: 25.2 σ to the climate of Toluca today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Hazards at La Paz

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 0 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 0 days
Hottest day of 2025 19°C Among large cities: above 0% In Bolivia: 3 of 3
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +1.7°C Among large cities: above 31% In Bolivia: 2 of 3
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 2 days Among large cities: above 16% In Bolivia: 3 of 3
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress Low (<10%) Among large cities: above 0% In Bolivia: 1 of 3
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In Bolivia: 1 of 3
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 2.14 m/s² Among large cities: above 82% In Bolivia: 2 of 3
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 0 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around La Paz on the live map

See the hottest days around La Paz on the live map

Large cities near La Paz

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). La Paz, Bolivia: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BOL/la-paz

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_BOL_la_paz_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {La Paz, Bolivia: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BOL/la-paz},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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