Climate risk in Cochabamba
Cochabamba, Bolivia · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Cochabamba most
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
- Drought
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Bolivia
An earthquake's shaking at Cochabamba can reach 2.18 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
Santa Cruz de la Sierra: 1.49 m/s².
The highest of the 3 large cities in Bolivia.
Cochabamba's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Cochabamba is projected to have a climate no large city has today. The nearest, Ciudad Nezahualcoyotl (Mexico), is far from it.
No place on Earth matches it well today either. Mexico: the place on the map
Climate risk in Ciudad Nezahualcoyotl
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.7°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.2°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Ciudad Nezahualcoyotl (Mexico).
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How close the match is: 4.2 σ to the climate of Ciudad Nezahualcoyotl today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Cochabamba
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Cochabamba | Among large cities | In Bolivia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 0 days | ||
| Hottest day of 2025 | 27.3°C | Among large cities: above 2% | In Bolivia: 2 of 3 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.7°C | Among large cities: above 32% | In Bolivia: 1 of 3 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 10 days | Among large cities: above 51% | In Bolivia: 2 of 3 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Bolivia: 1 of 3 |
| Drought risk | Low-Medium | Among large cities: above 1% | In Bolivia: 1 of 3 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 2.18 m/s² | Among large cities: above 82% | In Bolivia: 1 of 3 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Cochabamba on the live map
See the hottest days around Cochabamba on the live map
27.3°C © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Cochabamba
- La Paz · Bolivia
- Santa Cruz de la Sierra · Bolivia
- Arequipa · Peru
- Asunción · Paraguay
Large cities in Bolivia
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Cochabamba, Bolivia: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BOL/cochabamba BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BOL_cochabamba_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Cochabamba, Bolivia: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BOL/cochabamba},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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