+3.0 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.9 °C → +3.0 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.6 °C → +2.0 °C
Hottest month +3.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Djibouti Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Eastern Africa
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- DJI
Djibouti: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Djibouti, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 52 / 100
5y
- 23 Climate Low
- 43 Nature +1.1 Medium
- 54 Social Medium
- 75 Governance High
- 68 Adaptation +1.0 High
Which hazards threaten Djibouti most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 0.0FloodVery low
Djibouti in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
6
Eastern Africa
#6 of 18 · median 5422
Africa
#22 of 54 · median 5334
Lower middle income
#34 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Djibouti: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Djibouti is projected to warm +3.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing +36 mm.
+36 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +30 mm → +36 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +18 mm → +20 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
0%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0% → 0%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.
Sea level
Djibouti: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 3 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.23 m → +0.77 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.20 m → +0.54 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Coastal Protection Needed | 98.2 % coast | 97.7 |
Land Surface Temperature | 41.2 deg C change | 93.6 |
Cooling Degree Days | 6793 degree days | 93.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 10.3 % population | 89.7 |
Renewable Energy Share | 26.9 % of total energy | 72.5 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 35.4 % of total | 64.6 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 35.9 ug/m3 | 38.7 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -1.08 index | 34.6 |
Heat Index | 41.5 index | 30.5 |
Energy Intensity | 2.03 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 8.3 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.23 kt CO2e per capita | 5.5 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.39 metric tons | 1.1 |
Flood Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.00 degree days | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Forest Area | 0.26 % of land | 99.7 |
Protected Areas | 1.20 % of land | 98.8 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.98 0-1 | 98.1 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.97 0-1 | 97.4 |
Agricultural Land | 73.5 % of land | 86.9 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.87 0-1 | 86.6 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.86 0-1 | 85.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.85 0-1 | 85.4 |
Urban Concentration | 0.77 0-1 | 76.9 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.74 0-1 | 73.6 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.69 0-1 | 69.2 |
Population Below 5m | 0.67 0-1 | 66.9 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.61 0-1 | 61.5 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.61 0-1 | 61.2 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.61 0-1 | 61.1 |
Paved Roads | 0.55 0-1 | 55.4 |
Earthquake Risk | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.51 0-1 | 51.3 |
Tsunami Risk | 5.00 0-10 | 50.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.50 0-1 | 50.0 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.50 0-1 | 49.6 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 6.33 % of internal resources | 45.3 |
Food Production Index | 133 index | 41.8 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.37 0-1 | 37.4 |
Electricity Access | 0.35 0-1 | 35.2 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.27 0-1 | 27.1 |
Projected Population Change | 0.25 0-1 | 25.0 |
Rural Population | 0.23 0-1 | 23.1 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.19 0-1 | 19.1 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.08 0-1 | 7.9 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 2.49 % of GDP | 6.9 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 11.0 count | 5.8 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.05 0-1 | 5.4 |
Forest Depletion | 0.28 % of GNI | 1.6 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.28 % of GNI | 0.5 |
Water Stress | 6.33 % | 0.2 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 0.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.42 per 1,000 | 90.8 |
Labor Participation | 33.6 % (15+) | 84.7 |
Development and Deprivation | 7.70 0-10 | 77.0 |
Unemployment Rate | 26.2 % | 74.4 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 40.7 ratio F/M | 65.7 |
Life Expectancy | 66.0 years | 63.9 |
Sanitation Access | 39.6 % population | 62.1 |
Uprooted People | 6.20 0-10 | 62.0 |
Education Expenditure | 14.5 % of govt | 61.4 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 37.4 % | 56.5 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.86 0-100 | 56.0 |
Net Migration | 500 persons | 55.1 |
Aid Dependency | 5.20 0-10 | 52.0 |
School Gender Parity | 0.97 ratio | 47.9 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 50.4 per 1,000 | 43.2 |
GDP Growth | 7.37 % annual | 41.8 |
Food Security | 4.10 0-10 | 41.0 |
Internet Users | 65.0 % population | 39.4 |
Children Under 5 | 3.90 0-10 | 39.0 |
Access to Electricity | 65.2 % population | 36.8 |
Fertility Rate | 2.61 births per woman | 34.9 |
Health Conditions | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Overweight Adults | 29.8 % adults | 23.8 |
Undernourishment | 12.9 % population | 21.3 |
Aging Population | 4.74 % population | 9.1 |
Population Density | 49.1 people/km2 | 0.3 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 3.00 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 13.2 count | 100.0 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.27 -2.5 to +2.5 | 75.5 |
Rule of Law | -1.13 -2.5 to +2.5 | 72.5 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.93 -2.5 to +2.5 | 68.7 |
Healthcare Access | 6.60 0-10 | 66.0 |
Control of Corruption | -0.78 -2.5 to +2.5 | 65.6 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.50 0-10 | 65.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.73 -2.5 to +2.5 | 64.6 |
Political Stability | -0.52 -2.5 to +2.5 | 60.3 |
Women in Parliament | 26.2 % seats | 57.3 |
Physical Infrastructure | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 4.80 0-10 | 48.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 8.00 0-12 | 33.3 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.01 0-1 | 98.7 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.03 0-1 | 97.0 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.25 0-1 | 75.4 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.29 0-1 | 71.2 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.32 0-1 | 68.0 |
Doing Business Score | 0.41 0-1 | 59.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.42 0-1 | 58.5 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.45 0-1 | 55.2 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 51.9 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Djibouti →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Djibouti.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Djibouti?
Djibouti: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 52 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Djibouti's risk?
Djibouti's highest pressures are governance (75, high) and adaptation (68). Its strongest area is climate (23).
How might Djibouti's climate change by 2080?
Djibouti's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Djibouti warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Djibouti is on track to warm by +3.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +36 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Djibouti's coast?
Coastal sea level along Djibouti is projected to rise by +0.77 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.54 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Djibouti?
The share of Djibouti under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Djibouti?
The share of Djibouti exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Djibouti's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.