+3.5 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.3 °C → +3.5 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.8 °C → +2.3 °C
Hottest month +4.7 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Zimbabwe Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Eastern Africa
- Income
- Low income
- ISO
- ZWE
Zimbabwe: mid-pack overall, with adaptation the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Zimbabwe, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 51 / 100
5y
- 36 Climate Low
- 31 Nature -1.3 Low
- 53 Social Medium
- 58 Governance Medium
- 78 Adaptation -0.6 High
Which hazards threaten Zimbabwe most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 3.6FloodLow
- 3.6DRR capacityLow
Zimbabwe in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
5
Eastern Africa
#5 of 18 · median 5419
Africa
#19 of 54 · median 546
Low income
#6 of 37 · median 55Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Zimbabwe: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Zimbabwe is projected to warm +3.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing -1 mm.
-1 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -5 mm → -1 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -1 mm → +6 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
19%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 21% → 19%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 20% → 24%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 9.7% today.
2.1%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.9% → 2.1%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.9% → 1.9%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Flood Risk | 3.60 0-10 | 36.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.95 0-1 | 94.9 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.93 0-1 | 92.8 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.90 0-1 | 90.2 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.84 0-1 | 83.8 |
Paved Roads | 0.82 0-1 | 81.7 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.79 0-1 | 78.7 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.76 0-1 | 76.5 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.75 0-1 | 74.5 |
Rural Population | 0.73 0-1 | 72.7 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.71 0-1 | 70.6 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.69 0-1 | 69.0 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.69 0-1 | 68.8 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.63 0-1 | 62.6 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.55 0-1 | 54.8 |
Projected Population Change | 0.44 0-1 | 44.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.44 0-1 | 44.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.5 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.39 0-1 | 38.7 |
Electricity Access | 0.38 0-1 | 38.4 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.36 0-1 | 36.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.34 0-1 | 34.3 |
Urban Concentration | 0.27 0-1 | 27.3 |
Slum Population | 0.22 0-1 | 21.8 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.22 0-1 | 21.5 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.21 0-1 | 20.5 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.20 0-1 | 20.0 |
Earthquake Risk | 1.80 0-10 | 18.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.17 0-1 | 17.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.12 0-1 | 12.0 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.08 0-1 | 8.4 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 10.0 0-10 | 100.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 6.90 0-10 | 69.0 |
Food Security | 5.10 0-10 | 51.0 |
Aid Dependency | 4.80 0-10 | 48.0 |
Uprooted People | 4.00 0-10 | 40.0 |
Children Under 5 | 3.60 0-10 | 36.0 |
Health Conditions | 3.30 0-10 | 33.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 7.60 0-10 | 76.0 |
INFORM Governance Index | 7.50 0-10 | 75.0 |
Healthcare Access | 6.40 0-10 | 64.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 3.60 0-10 | 36.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.00 0-1 | 99.7 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.06 0-1 | 94.3 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.14 0-1 | 86.5 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.24 0-1 | 76.0 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.26 0-1 | 74.2 |
Doing Business Score | 0.26 0-1 | 74.0 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.36 0-1 | 63.6 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.41 0-1 | 59.1 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Zimbabwe →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Zimbabwe.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Zimbabwe: ask your AI assistant
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- Zimbabwe: how will flood and heat risk change by 2050?
- Eastern Africa: which countries are most at risk?
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Zimbabwe?
Zimbabwe: mid-pack overall, with adaptation the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 51 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Zimbabwe's risk?
Zimbabwe's highest pressures are adaptation (78, high) and governance (58). Its strongest area is nature (31).
How might Zimbabwe's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 26% of Zimbabwe's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 66 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Zimbabwe warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Zimbabwe is on track to warm by +3.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -1 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Zimbabwe?
The share of Zimbabwe under high water stress is projected to move from 9.7% today to 19% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Zimbabwe?
The share of Zimbabwe exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2% today to 2.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Zimbabwe's risk data last updated?
Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.