+3.0 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.0 °C → +3.0 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.2 °C
Hottest month +3.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Burundi Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Eastern Africa
- Income
- Low income
- ISO
- BDI
Burundi: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Burundi, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 55 / 100
5y
- 29 Climate Low
- 37 Nature -0.8 Low
- 57 Social Medium
- 78 Governance High
- 73 Adaptation -1.4 High
Which hazards threaten Burundi most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 2.6FloodLow
- 2.7DRR capacityLow
Burundi in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
11
Eastern Africa
#11 of 18 · median 5434
Africa
#34 of 54 · median 5317
Low income
#17 of 37 · median 55Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Burundi: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Burundi is projected to warm +3.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing +151 mm.
+151 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +87 mm → +151 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +33 mm → +35 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
1.5%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.4% → 1.5%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.9% → 0.9%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.6% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Access to Clean Fuels | 0.10 % population | 99.9 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | 0.53 index | 72.2 |
Land Surface Temperature | 27.7 deg C change | 65.8 |
Energy Intensity | 7.40 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 50.1 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 61.3 % of total | 38.7 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 29.7 ug/m3 | 30.9 |
Cooling Degree Days | 2078 degree days | 28.5 |
Flood Risk | 2.60 0-10 | 26.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 83.0 % of total energy | 13.1 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.13 kt CO2e per capita | 3.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 25.7 degree days | 0.2 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.06 metric tons | 0.1 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 0.10 kt CO2e per capita | 0.0 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Land | 82.8 % of land | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.98 0-1 | 98.0 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.98 0-1 | 97.6 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.94 0-1 | 93.8 |
Protected Areas | 7.60 % of land | 92.3 |
Rural Population | 0.92 0-1 | 91.8 |
Paved Roads | 0.90 0-1 | 90.3 |
Electricity Access | 0.89 0-1 | 89.3 |
Forest Area | 10.9 % of land | 88.5 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.86 0-1 | 86.2 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.84 0-1 | 83.9 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.81 0-1 | 81.1 |
Forest Depletion | 13.9 % of GNI | 79.3 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.78 0-1 | 78.2 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.76 0-1 | 76.2 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 25.3 % of GDP | 70.5 |
Projected Population Change | 0.67 0-1 | 67.4 |
Food Production Index | 119 index | 54.8 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.54 0-1 | 54.1 |
Earthquake Risk | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.43 0-1 | 43.5 |
Slum Population | 0.37 0-1 | 37.1 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.36 0-1 | 36.4 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.31 0-1 | 30.7 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 2.78 % of internal resources | 29.7 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.25 0-1 | 25.0 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 13.9 % of GNI | 24.3 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.20 0-1 | 20.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.20 0-1 | 19.8 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.20 0-1 | 19.8 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.19 0-1 | 19.4 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.15 0-1 | 15.3 |
Urban Concentration | 0.08 0-1 | 8.2 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 14.0 count | 7.3 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.02 0-1 | 2.4 |
Water Stress | 10.2 % | 0.3 |
Tree Cover Loss | 2272 hectares | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Bodies Extent | 100 % of land | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 11.6 % population | 100.0 |
Internet Users | 11.1 % population | 100.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 9.50 0-10 | 95.0 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 51.0 % population | 90.7 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 51.2 % | 78.0 |
Fertility Rate | 4.88 births per woman | 76.8 |
Life Expectancy | 63.7 years | 70.4 |
Food Security | 6.70 0-10 | 67.0 |
Uprooted People | 6.20 0-10 | 62.0 |
Aid Dependency | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Net Migration | 1995 persons | 55.1 |
Children Under 5 | 5.00 0-10 | 50.0 |
GDP Growth | 2.67 % annual | 49.2 |
Primary School Enrollment | 105 % gross | 48.8 |
Gini Coefficient | 37.5 0-100 | 45.8 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.10 % | 44.4 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 49.2 per 1,000 | 42.2 |
Education Expenditure | 15.7 % of govt | 39.3 |
Health Conditions | 3.80 0-10 | 38.0 |
School Gender Parity | 1.06 ratio | 36.6 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 75.5 % | 33.6 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.39 0-100 | 16.2 |
Labor Participation | 79.7 % (15+) | 13.9 |
Recent Shocks | 0.90 0-10 | 9.0 |
Overweight Adults | 16.3 % adults | 6.8 |
Population Density | 519 people/km2 | 2.8 |
Aging Population | 2.51 % population | 2.7 |
Unemployment Rate | 0.92 % | 2.3 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 103 ratio F/M | 1.4 |
Scientific Articles | 28.0 count | 100.0 |
Patent Applications | 2.00 count | 100.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.21 % of GDP | 95.9 |
Legal Rights Strength | 2.00 0-12 | 83.3 |
Control of Corruption | -1.56 -2.5 to +2.5 | 81.1 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.37 -2.5 to +2.5 | 77.3 |
INFORM Governance Index | 7.70 0-10 | 77.0 |
Rule of Law | -1.25 -2.5 to +2.5 | 75.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -1.20 -2.5 to +2.5 | 74.0 |
Political Stability | -1.17 -2.5 to +2.5 | 73.4 |
Communication Infrastructure | 7.20 0-10 | 72.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.99 -2.5 to +2.5 | 69.7 |
Physical Infrastructure | 6.90 0-10 | 69.0 |
Healthcare Access | 6.60 0-10 | 66.0 |
Women in Parliament | 38.2 % seats | 37.6 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 2.70 0-10 | 27.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.00 0-1 | 99.9 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.04 0-1 | 96.4 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.07 0-1 | 93.3 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.26 0-1 | 73.7 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.28 0-1 | 71.5 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.31 0-1 | 69.1 |
Doing Business Score | 0.32 0-1 | 68.3 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 63.2 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.67 0-1 | 32.8 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Burundi →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Burundi.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Burundi?
Burundi: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 55 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Burundi's risk?
Burundi's highest pressures are governance (78, high) and adaptation (73). Its strongest area is climate (29).
How might Burundi's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 19% of Burundi's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Burundi warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Burundi is on track to warm by +3.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +151 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Burundi?
The share of Burundi under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Burundi?
The share of Burundi exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.6% today to 1.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Burundi's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.