Criora

Burundi

Region Africa Subregion Eastern Africa Income Low income ISO BDI

Burundi sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Burundi, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
55 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    29 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    37 / 100
    ▼ -0.8 5y
  3. Social
    Medium
    56 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    78 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    73 / 100
    ▼ -1.4 5y
Climate futures

Burundi: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Burundi is projected to warm +3.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing +151 mm.

Temperature

+3.0 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.0 °C → +3.0 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.7 °C → +2.2 °C

Hottest month +3.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+151 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+87 mm → +151 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+33 mm → +35 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

1.5%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.4% → 1.5%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.9% → 0.9%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.6% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Burundi most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Low
2.6 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
2.7 / 10
Peers

Burundi in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Eastern Africa
#12 of 18median 54
  1. 8KenyaMedium 53
  2. 9ZambiaMedium 54
  3. 10EritreaMedium 54
  4. 11MalawiMedium 54
  5. 12BurundiMedium 55
  6. 13UgandaMedium 55
  7. 14EthiopiaMedium 56
  8. 15MadagascarMedium 57
  9. 16MozambiqueMedium 59
  10. 17S. SudanHigh 63
region
Africa
#36 of 54median 53
  1. 32EritreaMedium 54
  2. 33BeninMedium 54
  3. 34MalawiMedium 54
  4. 35Sierra LeoneMedium 54
  5. 36BurundiMedium 55
  6. 37UgandaMedium 55
  7. 38CameroonMedium 55
  8. 39EgyptMedium 55
  9. 40EthiopiaMedium 56
  10. 41CongoMedium 56
income group
Low income
#19 of 37median 55
  1. 15EritreaMedium 54
  2. 16BeninMedium 54
  3. 17MalawiMedium 54
  4. 18Sierra LeoneMedium 54
  5. 19BurundiMedium 55
  6. 20UgandaMedium 55
  7. 21CambodiaMedium 55
  8. 22EthiopiaMedium 56
  9. 23MauritaniaMedium 57
  10. 24MadagascarMedium 57

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Burundi?
Burundi sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 55 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Burundi's risk?
Burundi's highest pressures are governance (78, high) and adaptation (73). Its strongest area is climate (29).
How might Burundi's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 19% of Burundi's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Burundi warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Burundi is on track to warm by +3.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +151 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Burundi?
The share of Burundi under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Burundi?
The share of Burundi exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.6% today to 1.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Burundi's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.