+2.8 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.9 °C → +2.8 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.6 °C → +2.1 °C
Hottest month +3.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Burkina Faso Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Western Africa
- Income
- Low income
- ISO
- BFA
Burkina Faso: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Burkina Faso, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 54 / 100
5y
- 29 Climate Low
- 28 Nature +0.1 Low
- 62 Social High
- 78 Governance High
- 73 Adaptation +2.5 High
Which hazards threaten Burkina Faso most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 2.2FloodLow
- 6.6DRR capacityHigh
Burkina Faso in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
9
Western Africa
#9 of 16 · median 5430
Africa
#30 of 54 · median 5314
Low income
#14 of 37 · median 55Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Burkina Faso: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Burkina Faso is projected to warm +2.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing +202 mm.
+202 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +141 mm → +202 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +91 mm → +104 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
33%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 22% → 33%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 24% → 40%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 4.6% today.
0.2%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.6% → 0.2%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.8% → 0.4%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Cooling Degree Days | 7009 degree days | 96.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 14.0 % of total | 86.0 |
Land Surface Temperature | 37.4 deg C change | 85.8 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 17.2 % population | 82.8 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 58.5 ug/m3 | 66.8 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.93 index | 38.2 |
Energy Intensity | 5.40 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 34.5 |
Heat Index | 45.5 index | 33.4 |
Renewable Energy Share | 71.4 % of total energy | 25.4 |
Flood Risk | 2.20 0-10 | 22.0 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 24.0 % of total | 20.9 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.47 kt CO2e per capita | 10.9 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 0.72 kt CO2e per capita | 5.2 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 313 kg oil eq per capita | 1.5 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.25 metric tons | 0.7 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.02 degree days | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.99 0-1 | 99.2 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.99 0-1 | 98.8 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.96 0-1 | 96.5 |
Dam Capacity | 0.94 0-1 | 94.0 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.91 0-1 | 91.3 |
Protected Areas | 16.4 % of land | 83.5 |
Paved Roads | 0.80 0-1 | 80.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.79 0-1 | 79.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.77 0-1 | 77.1 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.77 0-1 | 76.7 |
Forest Area | 22.4 % of land | 76.3 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.76 0-1 | 75.7 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.76 0-1 | 75.7 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.74 0-1 | 74.1 |
Rural Population | 0.73 0-1 | 72.7 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.73 0-1 | 72.6 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.69 0-1 | 69.2 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.69 0-1 | 69.0 |
Agricultural Land | 53.2 % of land | 63.7 |
Projected Population Change | 0.60 0-1 | 60.3 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.55 0-1 | 55.3 |
Food Production Index | 119 index | 55.1 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.47 0-1 | 47.5 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 6.54 % of internal resources | 46.5 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 16.3 % of GDP | 45.4 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.38 0-1 | 38.4 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.35 0-1 | 35.2 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.32 0-1 | 32.1 |
Urban Concentration | 0.27 0-1 | 27.3 |
Slum Population | 0.27 0-1 | 26.8 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.26 0-1 | 26.2 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 12.6 % of GNI | 22.0 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.22 0-1 | 21.8 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.20 0-1 | 19.6 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.18 0-1 | 17.6 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.07 0-1 | 7.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.06 0-1 | 5.6 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 9.00 count | 4.7 |
Water Bodies Extent | 97.7 % of land | 2.3 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Water Stress | 7.82 % | 0.2 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 0.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 0.20 per 1,000 | 100.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -1.10 % annual | 100.0 |
Uprooted People | 9.80 0-10 | 98.0 |
Internet Users | 17.0 % population | 93.4 |
Sanitation Access | 9.75 % population | 92.8 |
Development and Deprivation | 9.10 0-10 | 91.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 34.5 % | 90.1 |
Access to Electricity | 21.7 % population | 88.6 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 54.1 % | 82.6 |
Life Expectancy | 61.1 years | 79.2 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 77.3 per 1,000 | 66.9 |
Fertility Rate | 4.19 births per woman | 64.0 |
Labor Participation | 48.6 % (15+) | 61.7 |
Primary School Enrollment | 72.3 % gross | 61.2 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.85 0-100 | 56.5 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 43.2 % population | 56.3 |
Net Migration | -24957 persons | 54.2 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 21.0 % | 48.8 |
GDP Growth | 2.96 % annual | 48.8 |
Children Under 5 | 4.80 0-10 | 48.0 |
Aid Dependency | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 37.4 0-100 | 42.9 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.30 % | 40.8 |
Health Conditions | 3.20 0-10 | 32.0 |
School Gender Parity | 1.04 ratio | 31.1 |
Food Security | 2.90 0-10 | 29.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 76.8 ratio F/M | 28.5 |
Undernourishment | 15.4 % population | 26.4 |
Education Expenditure | 20.3 % of govt | 21.6 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.35 % | 14.9 |
Overweight Adults | 21.7 % adults | 13.6 |
Aging Population | 2.62 % population | 3.0 |
Population Density | 82.3 people/km2 | 0.4 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Scientific Articles | 411 count | 100.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.25 % of GDP | 96.3 |
Political Stability | -2.04 -2.5 to +2.5 | 90.7 |
Physical Infrastructure | 8.70 0-10 | 87.0 |
Women in Parliament | 16.9 % seats | 72.4 |
Communication Infrastructure | 6.80 0-10 | 68.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.83 -2.5 to +2.5 | 66.5 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.81 -2.5 to +2.5 | 66.2 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 6.60 0-10 | 66.0 |
Rule of Law | -0.74 -2.5 to +2.5 | 64.8 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.30 0-10 | 63.0 |
Healthcare Access | 6.20 0-10 | 62.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.49 -2.5 to +2.5 | 59.7 |
Control of Corruption | -0.17 -2.5 to +2.5 | 53.4 |
Legal Rights Strength | 6.00 0-12 | 50.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.00 0-1 | 99.9 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.06 0-1 | 94.0 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.22 0-1 | 78.0 |
Doing Business Score | 0.26 0-1 | 73.6 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.30 0-1 | 69.8 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.36 0-1 | 63.7 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.39 0-1 | 61.4 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.41 0-1 | 59.1 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.50 0-1 | 50.0 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Burkina Faso →But what about your location?
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Where exactly?
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Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Burkina Faso?
Burkina Faso: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 54 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Burkina Faso's risk?
Burkina Faso's highest pressures are governance (78, high) and adaptation (73). Its strongest area is nature (28).
How might Burkina Faso's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 5% of Burkina Faso's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 70 to 70 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Burkina Faso warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Burkina Faso is on track to warm by +2.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +202 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Burkina Faso?
The share of Burkina Faso under high water stress is projected to move from 4.6% today to 33% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Burkina Faso?
The share of Burkina Faso exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1% today to 0.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Burkina Faso's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.