+3.1 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.9 °C → +3.1 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.2 °C
Hottest month +3.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Guinea Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Western Africa
- Income
- Low income
- ISO
- GIN
Guinea: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Guinea, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 53 / 100
5y
- 44 Climate Medium
- 29 Nature -0.2 Low
- 44 Social Medium
- 76 Governance High
- 69 Adaptation -0.3 High
Which hazards threaten Guinea most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.5FloodMedium
- 3.0DRR capacityLow
Guinea in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
4
Western Africa
#4 of 16 · median 5423
Africa
#23 of 54 · median 538
Low income
#8 of 37 · median 55Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Guinea: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Guinea is projected to warm +3.1 °C, with annual rainfall changing -46 mm.
-46 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +34 mm → -46 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +114 mm → +98 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
2%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 2% → 2%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 2% → 2%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
3.8%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 3.3% → 3.8%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 3.2% → 3.1%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.5% today.
Sea level
Guinea: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 2 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.24 m → +0.78 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.22 m → +0.58 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Access to Clean Fuels | 1.10 % population | 98.9 |
Cooling Degree Days | 5473 degree days | 74.9 |
Land Surface Temperature | 31.3 deg C change | 73.2 |
Flood Risk | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 43.8 ug/m3 | 48.5 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.71 index | 42.0 |
Energy Intensity | 4.95 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 31.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 66.6 % of total energy | 30.5 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.51 kt CO2e per capita | 11.9 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 88.1 % of total | 11.9 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 31.4 % coast | 10.9 |
Heat Index | 4.48 index | 3.3 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.34 metric tons | 1.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.00 degree days | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.99 0-1 | 99.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.99 0-1 | 98.9 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.97 0-1 | 97.2 |
Dam Capacity | 0.97 0-1 | 96.7 |
Paved Roads | 0.91 0-1 | 90.9 |
Agricultural Land | 70.0 % of land | 82.7 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 29.5 % of GDP | 82.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.76 0-1 | 76.1 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.76 0-1 | 75.8 |
Protected Areas | 26.1 % of land | 73.7 |
Forest Area | 24.9 % of land | 73.7 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.71 0-1 | 71.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.68 0-1 | 68.5 |
Rural Population | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.60 0-1 | 60.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.57 0-1 | 56.7 |
Projected Population Change | 0.54 0-1 | 53.9 |
Slum Population | 0.49 0-1 | 49.5 |
Electricity Access | 0.49 0-1 | 49.4 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.47 0-1 | 47.1 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.42 0-1 | 42.1 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.40 0-1 | 40.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.36 0-1 | 36.2 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Urban Concentration | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.33 0-1 | 33.1 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.31 0-1 | 30.9 |
Food Production Index | 145 index | 30.7 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.29 0-1 | 29.3 |
Forest Depletion | 5.12 % of GNI | 29.2 |
Tsunami Risk | 2.70 0-10 | 27.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.26 0-1 | 26.4 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.17 0-1 | 17.2 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 30.0 count | 15.7 |
Population Below 5m | 0.14 0-1 | 14.2 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 5.12 % of GNI | 8.9 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.07 0-1 | 7.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 0.39 % of internal resources | 6.4 |
Tree Cover Loss | 167377 hectares | 2.6 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.00 0-1 | 0.3 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Stress | 1.37 % | 0.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 8.90 0-10 | 89.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 58.0 % | 88.7 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 45.3 % | 86.7 |
Internet Users | 26.5 % population | 82.7 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 95.0 per 1,000 | 82.5 |
School Gender Parity | 0.80 ratio | 81.3 |
Life Expectancy | 60.7 years | 80.3 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 43.7 % population | 69.9 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.72 0-100 | 66.2 |
Fertility Rate | 4.22 births per woman | 64.6 |
Education Expenditure | 10.0 % of govt | 61.3 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 22.1 % | 57.9 |
Net Migration | -3997 persons | 54.9 |
Labor Participation | 53.2 % (15+) | 54.6 |
Health Conditions | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Children Under 5 | 5.20 0-10 | 52.0 |
Access to Electricity | 51.1 % population | 51.7 |
GDP Growth | 5.54 % annual | 44.7 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 66.7 ratio F/M | 38.9 |
Primary School Enrollment | 98.0 % gross | 37.5 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 8.50 % | 23.9 |
Overweight Adults | 28.6 % adults | 22.2 |
Gini Coefficient | 29.6 0-100 | 17.1 |
Aid Dependency | 1.70 0-10 | 17.0 |
Uprooted People | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Undernourishment | 10.3 % population | 16.0 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.24 % | 14.6 |
Food Security | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Aging Population | 3.44 % population | 5.4 |
Population Density | 57.2 people/km2 | 0.3 |
Scientific Articles | 47.2 count | 100.0 |
Healthcare Access | 8.10 0-10 | 81.0 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.15 -2.5 to +2.5 | 72.9 |
Rule of Law | -1.11 -2.5 to +2.5 | 72.3 |
Regulatory Quality | -1.08 -2.5 to +2.5 | 71.5 |
Physical Infrastructure | 7.10 0-10 | 71.0 |
INFORM Governance Index | 7.00 0-10 | 70.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.91 -2.5 to +2.5 | 68.2 |
Control of Corruption | -0.90 -2.5 to +2.5 | 68.0 |
Political Stability | -0.88 -2.5 to +2.5 | 67.6 |
Communication Infrastructure | 6.30 0-10 | 63.0 |
Women in Parliament | 29.6 % seats | 51.6 |
Legal Rights Strength | 6.00 0-12 | 50.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.04 0-1 | 96.1 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.22 0-1 | 78.1 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.29 0-1 | 71.0 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.29 0-1 | 70.8 |
Doing Business Score | 0.31 0-1 | 69.2 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.33 0-1 | 67.5 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.42 0-1 | 58.1 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.57 0-1 | 43.3 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Guinea →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Guinea.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Guinea?
Guinea: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 53 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Guinea's risk?
Guinea's highest pressures are governance (76, high) and adaptation (69). Its strongest area is nature (29).
How might Guinea's climate change by 2080?
Guinea's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Guinea warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Guinea is on track to warm by +3.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -46 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Guinea's coast?
Coastal sea level along Guinea is projected to rise by +0.78 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.58 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Guinea?
The share of Guinea under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Guinea?
The share of Guinea exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.5% today to 3.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Guinea's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.