What drives Côte d'Ivoire's risk?

Côte d'Ivoire's highest pressures are governance (74, high) and adaptation (68). Its strongest area is nature (29).

How might Côte d'Ivoire's climate change by 2080?

Côte d'Ivoire's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Côte d'Ivoire warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Côte d'Ivoire is on track to warm by +2.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +10 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Côte d'Ivoire's coast?

Coastal sea level along Côte d'Ivoire is projected to rise by +0.80 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Côte d'Ivoire?

The share of Côte d'Ivoire under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Côte d'Ivoire?

The share of Côte d'Ivoire exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.9% today to 3.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Côte d'Ivoire's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Côte d'Ivoire Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Africa
Subregion: Western Africa
Income: Lower middle income
ISO: CIV

Côte d'Ivoire: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Côte d'Ivoire, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 53 / 100

41 Climate Medium
29 Nature +0.5 Low
50 Social Medium
74 Governance High
68 Adaptation -2.3 High

Which hazards threaten Côte d'Ivoire most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

4.8FloodMedium
7.1DRR capacityHigh

Côte d'Ivoire in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Western Africa

#5 of 16 · median 54

Africa

#24 of 54 · median 53

Lower middle income

#36 of 53 · median 49

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Côte d'Ivoire: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Côte d'Ivoire is projected to warm +2.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing +10 mm.

+2.6 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +1.7 °C → +2.6 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.5 °C → +2.0 °C

Hottest month +3.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+10 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +31 mm → +10 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +61 mm → +72 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

3.3%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 3.3% → 3.3%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 3.2% → 3.2%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.9% today.

Sea level

Côte d'Ivoire: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.25 m → +0.80 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.22 m → +0.59 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Renewable Electricity Share	22.8 % of total	2021	77.2	+2.1	+1.9
Cooling Degree Days	5599 degree days	2020	76.6	+24.8	+10.4
Energy Imports	14.4 % of energy use	2022	70.0	-1.1	+0.4
Land Surface Temperature	29.3 deg C change	2021	69.2	+4.5	-5.6
Access to Clean Fuels	42.6 % population	2022	57.4	+47.1	-31.4
PM2.5 Air Pollution	49.5 ug/m3	2020	55.6	+36.4	+21.4
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.25 index	2021	50.9	+4.5	+6.6
Flood Risk	4.80 0-10	2026	48.0	-4.0	+0.5
Renewable Energy Share	58.2 % of total energy	2021	39.6	-35.8	+9.0
Fossil Fuel Consumption	37.6 % of total	2022	35.0	-37.7	+3.9
Energy Intensity	3.30 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	12.5	-4.1	-10.4
Heat Index	4.18 index	2020	3.1	+3.1	+1.3
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.12 kt CO2e per capita	2020	2.9	-4.1	-3.5
Energy Use Per Capita	472 kg oil eq per capita	2022	2.4	-5.9	+0.3
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	0.38 metric tons	2020	1.1	-6.6	0.0
Heating Degree Days	0.00 degree days	2020	0.0	-1.4	-0.1
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Environmental Treaties Engagement	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+23.7	+19.8
Agricultural Land	84.2 % of land	2022	99.5	+52.2	+44.0
Agricultural Capacity	0.99 0-1	2023	99.0	+7.2	+1.0
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.98 0-1	2023	97.8	+11.3	+4.9
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.97 0-1	2023	97.1	+12.9	+0.9
Paved Roads	0.93 0-1	2023	92.8	+37.8	+12.1
Forest Area	8.21 % of land	2022	91.3	+25.0	+13.9
Protected Areas	14.9 % of land	2023	85.0	-3.9	-3.9
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.84 0-1	2023	83.7	+44.5	+3.7
Age Dependency Ratio	0.74 0-1	2023	73.7	+21.0	+2.4
Projected Warm Period Change	0.73 0-1	2023	73.1	+5.3	+4.0
Dam Capacity	0.69 0-1	2023	69.1	-24.2	-25.7
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.67 0-1	2023	67.4	+1.6	-4.9
Dependency Ratio	0.60 0-1	2023	59.5	+52.7	-6.2
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.57 0-1	2023	56.9	+36.5	-17.6
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.54 0-1	2023	54.1	-8.0	-15.1
Protected Biome Areas	0.54 0-1	2023	53.9	+12.9	-10.7
Slum Population	0.54 0-1	2023	53.7	+37.2	+5.0
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.53 0-1	2023	52.8	+13.2	+17.6
Food Production Index	122 index	2022	52.3	-14.8	-6.7
Ecological Footprint	0.51 0-1	2023	50.6	+28.0	0.0
Projected Population Change	0.51 0-1	2023	50.5	+28.2	+3.0
Rural Population	0.50 0-1	2023	50.5	+7.9	-7.3
Disaster Preparedness	0.50 0-1	2023	50.0	+20.0	+15.0
Urban Concentration	0.50 0-1	2023	49.5	-7.9	+7.3
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.49 0-1	2023	49.4	-8.2	-4.7
Agriculture GDP Share	15.2 % of GDP	2023	42.3	+23.4	-9.0
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.36 0-1	2023	36.4	+6.1	+3.1
Child Malnutrition	0.33 0-1	2023	33.5	+19.7	+12.4
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.31 0-1	2023	31.2	-6.1	+1.5
Electricity Access	0.28 0-1	2023	27.9	+27.9	-13.3
Food Import Dependency	0.26 0-1	2023	26.5	+4.8	-3.1
Projected Groundwater Change	0.26 0-1	2023	26.2	0.0	-2.0
Freshwater Withdrawal	1.51 % of internal resources	2021	21.5	-28.8	-20.0
Water Bodies Extent	80.0 % of land	2020	20.0	-1.6	+2.4
Population Below 5m	0.20 0-1	2023	19.7	+4.9	+9.4
Threatened Mammal Species	31.0 count	2018	16.2	+11.0	+7.8
Natural Capital Dependency	0.16 0-1	2023	16.1	-5.7	-3.4
Energy Import Dependency	0.14 0-1	2023	14.4	-11.3	+0.8
Tsunami Risk	0.90 0-10	2026	9.0	-2.0	+9.0
Water Dependency Ratio	0.09 0-1	2023	8.7	+1.8	-11.1
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.09 0-1	2023	8.6	-9.8	-13.2
Natural Resource Depletion	2.42 % of GNI	2021	4.2	+2.1	-3.3
Tree Cover Loss	183248 hectares	2021	2.8	+2.7	+2.7
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.03 0-1	2023	2.6	-10.9	-2.6
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.01 0-1	2023	1.3	-6.2	-3.6
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	0.0
Water Stress	5.09 %	2021	0.1	-0.2	-0.1
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	-9.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Uprooted People	8.80 0-10	2026	88.0	+29.0	+30.0
Sanitation Access	17.2 % population	2022	85.1	+45.1	+0.3
Communicable Disease Deaths	54.3 %	2019	82.9	+66.8	+7.2
Adult Literacy Rate	50.0 %	2021	79.3	+72.8	+23.8
Development and Deprivation	7.70 0-10	2026	77.0	+47.0	-0.5
Life Expectancy	61.9 years	2023	76.6	+37.1	+11.2
Internet Users	40.7 % population	2023	66.7	+45.8	-2.1
Fertility Rate	4.28 births per woman	2023	65.8	+42.5	+6.1
Shared Prosperity Growth	-0.67 % annual	2021	63.8	+13.6	-16.3
ESG Performance Score	1.77 0-100	2018	62.7	+37.7	+12.0
School Gender Parity	0.92 ratio	2021	61.6	+20.6	+25.5
Safe Drinking Water	43.9 % population	2022	59.8	+38.3	-21.3
Under-5 Mortality Rate	67.1 per 1,000	2023	57.9	+45.7	+18.1
Net Migration	6002 persons	2023	55.2	+0.2	+0.3
Unmet Contraception Need	22.4 %	2022	53.1	+5.7	+3.1
Health Conditions	4.90 0-10	2026	49.0	+41.0	+13.0
Poverty Rate (National)	37.5 % population	2021	48.1	+27.5	-9.2
GDP Growth	6.45 % annual	2023	43.2	-5.7	-3.6
Children Under 5	4.00 0-10	2026	40.0	+29.0	+3.5
Primary School Enrollment	102 % gross	2023	39.0	-3.0	0.0
Education Expenditure	15.9 % of govt	2023	38.4	-8.7	-4.7
Income Share Bottom 20%	7.60 %	2021	36.6	-3.5	0.0
Gini Coefficient	35.3 0-100	2021	36.1	+3.4	-0.6
Labor Participation	67.8 % (15+)	2023	32.1	+2.0	-4.8
Overweight Adults	34.5 % adults	2022	29.8	-26.2	+1.1
Access to Electricity	72.4 % population	2023	29.2	+29.2	-15.9
Gender Labor Ratio	79.2 ratio F/M	2023	26.0	-1.0	+2.1
Food Security	2.40 0-10	2026	24.0	+6.0	-23.0
Aid Dependency	1.90 0-10	2026	19.0	-6.0	-21.5
Undernourishment	9.60 % population	2022	14.5	+8.7	-15.0
Unemployment Rate	2.27 %	2023	6.1	-8.1	-9.5
Aging Population	2.57 % population	2023	2.9	-13.5	-1.8
Population Density	95.6 people/km2	2022	0.5	0.0	+0.1
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	-6.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Scientific Articles	298 count	2022	100.0	+0.1	0.0
Women in Parliament	13.7 % seats	2023	77.6	+19.4	+15.6
Healthcare Access	7.10 0-10	2026	71.0	+34.0	+6.0
Disaster Risk Reduction	7.10 0-10	2026	71.0	+29.5	+16.0
Physical Infrastructure	6.80 0-10	2026	68.0	+38.0	+1.0
Political Stability	-0.63 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	62.6	+12.8	+2.3
Rule of Law	-0.46 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	59.2	+6.3	-5.0
Voice and Accountability	-0.38 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	57.5	+8.6	-6.4
Government Effectiveness	-0.36 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	57.2	+5.5	-9.3
Control of Corruption	-0.31 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	56.3	+0.7	-8.7
INFORM Governance Index	5.60 0-10	2026	56.0	0.0	-10.5
Regulatory Quality	-0.12 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	52.3	-0.5	-13.1
Legal Rights Strength	6.00 0-12	2019	50.0	0.0	0.0
Communication Infrastructure	4.40 0-10	2026	44.0	+24.0	-6.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.01 0-1	2023	99.5	+4.8	0.0
Education (Readiness)	0.07 0-1	2023	93.4	+20.4	-0.8
Doing Business Score	0.32 0-1	2023	67.7	+9.3	-1.7
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.35 0-1	2023	64.7	+0.4	-8.3
ICT Infrastructure	0.37 0-1	2023	63.3	+15.6	-1.0
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.39 0-1	2023	61.2	+9.7	+4.9
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.42 0-1	2023	58.2	+6.3	-4.4
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.46 0-1	2023	53.9	+10.8	+2.1
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.48 0-1	2023	51.8	-0.8	-12.4

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Côte d'Ivoire?
Côte d'Ivoire: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 53 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Côte d'Ivoire's risk?
Côte d'Ivoire's highest pressures are governance (74, high) and adaptation (68). Its strongest area is nature (29).
How might Côte d'Ivoire's climate change by 2080?
Côte d'Ivoire's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Côte d'Ivoire warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Côte d'Ivoire is on track to warm by +2.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +10 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Côte d'Ivoire's coast?
Coastal sea level along Côte d'Ivoire is projected to rise by +0.80 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Côte d'Ivoire?
The share of Côte d'Ivoire under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Côte d'Ivoire?
The share of Côte d'Ivoire exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.9% today to 3.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Côte d'Ivoire's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.