Criora

Benin Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region
Africa
Subregion
Western Africa
Income
Low income
ISO
BEN

Benin: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.


Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Benin, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 54 / 100

5y
  1. 55 Climate Medium
  2. 28 Nature -1.4 Low
  3. 48 Social Medium
  4. 75 Governance High
  5. 66 Adaptation -1.5 High

Which hazards threaten Benin most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

  • 6.7FloodHigh
  • 8.5DRR capacityCritical

Benin: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Benin is projected to warm +2.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +150 mm.

+2.4 °C

Temperature

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.6 °C → +2.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.4 °C → +1.9 °C

Hottest month +3.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+150 mm

Precipitation

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+125 mm → +150 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+125 mm → +148 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

1.8%

Water stress

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.8% → 1.8%
Current path SSP3-7.0
1.8% → 1.8%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0.1% today.

3.2%

River flooding

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
3.4% → 3.2%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
3.3% → 3.1%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.5% today.

Sea level

Benin: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Cotonou, Max depth 0.7 mFlood depth3 mOpen the live map© OpenStreetMap

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.26 m → +0.81 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.23 m → +0.58 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

Coastal Protection Needed
99.9 % coast99.9
Renewable Electricity Share
0.26 % of total99.7
Access to Clean Fuels
6.00 % population94.0
Cooling Degree Days
6271 degree days85.8
Land Surface Temperature
34.3 deg C change79.5
Energy Imports
40.9 % of energy use72.1
Flood Risk
6.70 0-1067.0
PM2.5 Air Pollution
51.0 ug/m357.5
Renewable Energy Share
54.5 % of total energy43.4
Drought Index (SPEI)
-0.95 index37.8
Fossil Fuel Consumption
39.6 % of total37.1
Energy Intensity
4.79 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP21.0
Heat Index
27.8 index20.4
N2O Emissions Per Capita
0.23 kt CO2e per capita5.4
CO2 Emissions Per Capita
0.61 metric tons1.8
Methane Emissions Per Capita
0.31 kt CO2e per capita1.8
Energy Use Per Capita
376 kg oil eq per capita1.8
Heating Degree Days
0.00 degree days0.0
Coal Electricity Share
0.00 % of total0.0

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

Score a site in Benin →

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Benin.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

orpinpoint it on the map →
Map of Benin
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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

  • How risky is Benin?

    Benin: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 54 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

  • What drives Benin's risk?

    Benin's highest pressures are governance (75, high) and adaptation (66). Its strongest area is nature (28).

  • How might Benin's climate change by 2080?

    Benin's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

  • How much will Benin warm by 2080?

    Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Benin is on track to warm by +2.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +150 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

  • How much will sea levels rise along Benin's coast?

    Coastal sea level along Benin is projected to rise by +0.81 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.58 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

  • How will water stress change in Benin?

    The share of Benin under high water stress is projected to move from 0.1% today to 1.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

  • How will river-flood exposure change in Benin?

    The share of Benin exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.5% today to 3.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

  • When was Benin's risk data last updated?

    Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.