Criora

Congo

Region Africa Subregion Middle Africa Income Lower middle income ISO COG

Congo sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

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Standing risk

How risky is Congo, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
56 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    54 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    24 / 100
    ▲ + 1.1 5y
  3. Social
    Medium
    47 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    80 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    76 / 100
    ▼ -2.1 5y
Climate futures

Congo: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Congo is projected to warm +2.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing +119 mm.

Temperature

+2.3 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.5 °C → +2.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.3 °C → +1.9 °C

Hottest month +2.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+119 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+118 mm → +119 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+91 mm → +90 mm

Driest month -2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Congo: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 1 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.26 m → +0.83 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.23 m → +0.58 m

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
3.5% → 3.5%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

5%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
4.1% → 5%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
4.1% → 4.2%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 4.2% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Congo most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
High
7.6 / 10
Peers

Congo in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Middle Africa
#6 of 9median 55
  1. 1São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  2. 2GabonMedium 48
  3. 3Eq. GuineaMedium 49
  4. 4AngolaMedium 51
  5. 5CameroonMedium 55
  6. 6CongoMedium 56
  7. 7Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  8. 8Central African Rep.High 64
  9. 9ChadHigh 66
region
Africa
#41 of 54median 53
  1. 37UgandaMedium 55
  2. 38CameroonMedium 55
  3. 39EgyptMedium 55
  4. 40EthiopiaMedium 56
  5. 41CongoMedium 56
  6. 42MauritaniaMedium 57
  7. 43MadagascarMedium 57
  8. 44LiberiaMedium 59
  9. 45MozambiqueMedium 59
  10. 46MaliMedium 60
income group
Lower middle income
#44 of 53median 49
  1. 40GuatemalaMedium 54
  2. 41CameroonMedium 55
  3. 42EgyptMedium 55
  4. 43PhilippinesMedium 56
  5. 44CongoMedium 56
  6. 45HondurasMedium 57
  7. 46IndiaMedium 57
  8. 47Papua New GuineaMedium 58
  9. 48IraqMedium 59
  10. 49NigeriaHigh 60

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Congo?
Congo sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 56 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Congo's risk?
Congo's highest pressures are governance (80, high) and adaptation (76). Its strongest area is nature (24).
How might Congo's climate change by 2080?
Congo's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Congo warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Congo is on track to warm by +2.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +119 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Congo's coast?
Coastal sea level along Congo is projected to rise by +0.83 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.58 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Congo?
The share of Congo under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Congo?
The share of Congo exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 4.2% today to 5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Congo's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.