Criora

Chad

Region Africa Subregion Middle Africa Income Low income ISO TCD

Chad carries high governance pressure, led by flood exposure and hazard and exposure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Chad, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
High
66 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    High
    60 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    33 / 100
    ▼ -1.0 5y
  3. Social
    High
    68 / 100
  4. Governance
    Critical
    86 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Critical
    81 / 100
    ▲ + 0.0 5y
Climate futures

Chad: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Chad is projected to warm +3.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +103 mm.

Temperature

+3.5 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.4 °C → +3.5 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.9 °C → +2.3 °C

Hottest month +3.6 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+103 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+72 mm → +103 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+53 mm → +51 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

1.6%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
4.3% → 1.6%
Current path SSP3-7.0
3.1% → 2.4%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.3% today.

River flooding

0.8%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.2% → 0.8%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
1% → 0.9%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Chad most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Critical
8.1 / 10
Peers

Chad in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Middle Africa
#9 of 9median 55
  1. 1São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  2. 2GabonMedium 48
  3. 3Eq. GuineaMedium 49
  4. 4AngolaMedium 51
  5. 5CameroonMedium 55
  6. 6CongoMedium 56
  7. 7Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  8. 8Central African Rep.High 64
  9. 9ChadHigh 66
region
Africa
#53 of 54median 53
  1. 45MozambiqueMedium 59
  2. 46MaliMedium 60
  3. 47NigeriaHigh 60
  4. 48NigerHigh 61
  5. 49Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  6. 50S. SudanHigh 63
  7. 51SudanHigh 64
  8. 52Central African Rep.High 64
  9. 53ChadHigh 66
  10. 54SomaliaHigh 69
income group
Low income
#36 of 37median 55
  1. 28NigerHigh 61
  2. 29Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  3. 30HaitiHigh 62
  4. 31S. SudanHigh 63
  5. 32MyanmarHigh 63
  6. 33Central African Rep.High 64
  7. 34BangladeshHigh 64
  8. 35AfghanistanHigh 64
  9. 36ChadHigh 66
  10. 37SomaliaHigh 69

Put two countries head to head

Compare Chad against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Chad?
Chad carries high governance pressure, led by flood exposure and hazard and exposure. Its overall risk score is 66 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Chad's risk?
Chad's highest pressures are governance (86, critical) and adaptation (81). Its strongest area is nature (33).
How might Chad's climate change by 2080?
Chad's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 67 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Chad warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Chad is on track to warm by +3.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +103 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Chad?
The share of Chad under high water stress is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Chad?
The share of Chad exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2% today to 0.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Chad's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.