+3.5 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.4 °C → +3.5 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.9 °C → +2.3 °C
Hottest month +3.6 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Chad Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Middle Africa
- Income
- Low income
- ISO
- TCD
Chad: high governance pressure, led by flood exposure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Chad, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
High 66 / 100
5y
- 60 Climate High
- 33 Nature -1.0 Low
- 71 Social High
- 85 Governance Critical
- 81 Adaptation +0.0 Critical
Which hazards threaten Chad most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 8.1FloodCritical
Chad in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
9
Middle Africa
#9 of 9 · median 5553
Africa
#53 of 54 · median 5336
Low income
#36 of 37 · median 55Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Chad: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Chad is projected to warm +3.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +103 mm.
+103 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +72 mm → +103 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +53 mm → +51 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
1.6%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 4.3% → 1.6%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 3.1% → 2.4%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.3% today.
0.8%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.2% → 0.8%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1% → 0.9%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Electricity Share | 4.64 % of total | 95.4 |
Land Surface Temperature | 39.8 deg C change | 90.7 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 9.50 % population | 90.5 |
Cooling Degree Days | 6246 degree days | 85.5 |
Flood Risk | 8.10 0-10 | 81.0 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.07 index | 58.3 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 49.1 ug/m3 | 55.1 |
Energy Imports | -178 % of energy use | 54.6 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 1.61 kt CO2e per capita | 37.6 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 3.45 kt CO2e per capita | 28.2 |
Renewable Energy Share | 70.0 % of total energy | 26.9 |
Energy Intensity | 4.20 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 25.2 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 19.5 % of total | 16.1 |
Heat Index | 8.84 index | 6.5 |
Heating Degree Days | 181 degree days | 1.2 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 199 kg oil eq per capita | 0.8 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.09 metric tons | 0.2 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Paved Roads | 1.00 0-1 | 99.8 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.99 0-1 | 99.3 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 35.0 % of GDP | 97.5 |
Forest Area | 3.25 % of land | 96.6 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.95 0-1 | 95.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.94 0-1 | 93.5 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.93 0-1 | 92.9 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.90 0-1 | 90.1 |
Electricity Access | 0.89 0-1 | 88.9 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.86 0-1 | 86.3 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.84 0-1 | 83.6 |
Slum Population | 0.83 0-1 | 82.7 |
Rural Population | 0.82 0-1 | 81.5 |
Protected Areas | 21.0 % of land | 78.8 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 67.4 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.67 0-1 | 67.2 |
Projected Population Change | 0.67 0-1 | 66.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.62 0-1 | 61.9 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.52 0-1 | 51.8 |
Agricultural Land | 40.0 % of land | 47.5 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.46 0-1 | 46.4 |
Food Production Index | 130 index | 44.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 5.86 % of internal resources | 44.2 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.42 0-1 | 42.4 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.38 0-1 | 38.4 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.32 0-1 | 32.2 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 13.5 % of GNI | 23.6 |
Forest Depletion | 3.96 % of GNI | 22.6 |
Urban Concentration | 0.18 0-1 | 18.5 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.18 0-1 | 18.0 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.13 0-1 | 13.5 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 16.0 count | 8.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.05 0-1 | 5.0 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 5095 hectares | 0.2 |
Water Stress | 4.29 % | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Uprooted People | 10.0 0-10 | 100.0 |
Life Expectancy | 55.1 years | 100.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 0.53 % annual | 100.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 27.3 % | 100.0 |
School Gender Parity | 0.75 ratio | 100.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 6.25 % population | 99.9 |
Fertility Rate | 6.12 births per woman | 99.8 |
Access to Electricity | 12.0 % population | 99.5 |
Development and Deprivation | 9.90 0-10 | 99.0 |
Internet Users | 13.2 % population | 97.6 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 63.4 % | 97.2 |
Sanitation Access | 10.9 % population | 91.6 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 101 per 1,000 | 87.9 |
Food Security | 8.40 0-10 | 84.0 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 44.8 % population | 81.0 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 30.2 % | 76.5 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.59 0-100 | 75.9 |
Net Migration | 496830 persons | 71.9 |
Undernourishment | 35.1 % population | 66.8 |
Children Under 5 | 5.80 0-10 | 58.0 |
Recent Shocks | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 6.90 % | 48.6 |
GDP Growth | 4.12 % annual | 46.9 |
Primary School Enrollment | 91.8 % gross | 46.5 |
Aid Dependency | 4.40 0-10 | 44.0 |
Labor Participation | 60.5 % (15+) | 43.4 |
Gini Coefficient | 37.4 0-100 | 43.3 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 67.3 ratio F/M | 38.3 |
Education Expenditure | 16.5 % of govt | 36.4 |
Health Conditions | 3.10 0-10 | 31.0 |
Overweight Adults | 21.4 % adults | 13.3 |
Unemployment Rate | 1.07 % | 2.7 |
Aging Population | 2.07 % population | 1.4 |
Population Density | 14.7 people/km2 | 0.1 |
Scientific Articles | 28.9 count | 100.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 9.70 0-10 | 97.0 |
Healthcare Access | 8.80 0-10 | 88.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 8.50 0-10 | 85.0 |
Political Stability | -1.56 -2.5 to +2.5 | 81.2 |
Government Effectiveness | -1.48 -2.5 to +2.5 | 79.6 |
Control of Corruption | -1.48 -2.5 to +2.5 | 79.6 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.43 -2.5 to +2.5 | 78.7 |
Rule of Law | -1.35 -2.5 to +2.5 | 77.1 |
INFORM Governance Index | 7.60 0-10 | 76.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -1.16 -2.5 to +2.5 | 73.1 |
Women in Parliament | 25.9 % seats | 57.7 |
Legal Rights Strength | 6.00 0-12 | 50.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.03 0-1 | 97.4 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.08 0-1 | 91.6 |
Doing Business Score | 0.11 0-1 | 89.4 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.24 0-1 | 75.7 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.28 0-1 | 72.4 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.29 0-1 | 70.8 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.30 0-1 | 69.8 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 63.4 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Chad →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Chad.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Chad?
Chad: high governance pressure, led by flood exposure. Its overall risk score is 66 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Chad's risk?
Chad's highest pressures are governance (85, critical) and adaptation (81). Its strongest area is nature (33).
How might Chad's climate change by 2080?
Chad's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 67 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Chad warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Chad is on track to warm by +3.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +103 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Chad?
The share of Chad under high water stress is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Chad?
The share of Chad exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2% today to 0.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Chad's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.