Criora

Eq. Guinea

Region Africa Subregion Middle Africa Income High income: nonOECD ISO GNQ

Eq. Guinea sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Eq. Guinea, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
49 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    32 / 100
  2. Nature
    Very low
    20 / 100
    ▼ -0.4 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    35 / 100
  4. Governance
    Critical
    81 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    74 / 100
    ▼ -1.1 5y
Climate futures

Eq. Guinea: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Eq. Guinea is projected to warm +2.7 °C, with annual rainfall changing +163 mm.

Temperature

+2.7 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.7 °C → +2.7 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.5 °C → +1.9 °C

Hottest month +2.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+163 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+172 mm → +163 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+139 mm → +141 mm

Driest month -2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Eq. Guinea: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.27 m → +0.85 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.24 m → +0.61 m

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

4.3%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
3.5% → 4.3%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
4.2% → 3.5%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 4.2% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Eq. Guinea.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Eq. Guinea most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Low
2.0 / 10
Peers

Eq. Guinea in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Middle Africa
#3 of 9median 55
  1. 1São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  2. 2GabonMedium 48
  3. 3Eq. GuineaMedium 49
  4. 4AngolaMedium 51
  5. 5CameroonMedium 55
  6. 6CongoMedium 56
  7. 7Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  8. 8Central African Rep.High 64
  9. 9ChadHigh 66
region
Africa
#14 of 54median 53
  1. 10NamibiaMedium 47
  2. 11MoroccoMedium 48
  3. 12GabonMedium 48
  4. 13LesothoMedium 48
  5. 14Eq. GuineaMedium 49
  6. 15ComorosMedium 49
  7. 16GhanaMedium 49
  8. 17AlgeriaMedium 49
  9. 18TogoMedium 50
  10. 19ZimbabweMedium 51
income group
High income: nonOECD
#20 of 20median 36
  1. 11MaltaLow 36
  2. 12AndorraLow 37
  3. 13CyprusLow 37
  4. 14BruneiLow 39
  5. 15Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  6. 16OmanMedium 41
  7. 17Trinidad and TobagoMedium 42
  8. 18CroatiaMedium 43
  9. 19KuwaitMedium 44
  10. 20Eq. GuineaMedium 49

Put two countries head to head

Compare Eq. Guinea against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Eq. Guinea?
Eq. Guinea sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 49 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Eq. Guinea's risk?
Eq. Guinea's highest pressures are governance (81, critical) and adaptation (74). Its strongest area is nature (20).
How might Eq. Guinea's climate change by 2080?
Eq. Guinea's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Eq. Guinea warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Eq. Guinea is on track to warm by +2.7 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +163 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Eq. Guinea's coast?
Coastal sea level along Eq. Guinea is projected to rise by +0.85 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.61 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Eq. Guinea?
The share of Eq. Guinea under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Eq. Guinea?
The share of Eq. Guinea exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 4.2% today to 4.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Eq. Guinea's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.