What drives Algeria's risk?

Algeria's highest pressures are governance (72, high) and adaptation (65). Its strongest area is social (29).

How might Algeria's climate change by 2080?

Algeria's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Algeria warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Algeria is on track to warm by +4.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -5 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Algeria's coast?

Coastal sea level along Algeria is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.55 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Algeria?

The share of Algeria under high water stress is projected to move from 8% today to 12% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Algeria?

The share of Algeria exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.1% today to 0.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Algeria's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Algeria Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Africa
Subregion: Northern Africa
Income: Upper middle income
ISO: DZA

Algeria: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Algeria, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 49 / 100

37 Climate Low
42 Nature -1.2 Medium
29 Social Low
72 Governance High
65 Adaptation -3.2 High

Which hazards threaten Algeria most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

3.6FloodLow
3.1DRR capacityLow

Algeria in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Northern Africa

#3 of 6 · median 51

Africa

#16 of 54 · median 53

Upper middle income

#38 of 53 · median 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Algeria: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Algeria is projected to warm +4.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing -5 mm.

+4.3 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +3.1 °C → +4.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +2.4 °C → +2.8 °C

Hottest month +5.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-5 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -3 mm → -5 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -2 mm → -3 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

12%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 10% → 12%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 12% → 14%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 8% today.

0.1%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.1% → 0.1%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.1% → 0.1%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.1% today.

Sea level

Algeria: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 6 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.24 m → +0.76 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.22 m → +0.55 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Fossil Fuel Consumption	100 % of total	2022	100.0	+27.3	+68.8
Renewable Energy Share	0.10 % of total energy	2021	99.9	+24.5	+69.3
Renewable Electricity Share	0.91 % of total	2021	99.1	+24.0	+23.8
Land Surface Temperature	38.6 deg C change	2021	88.3	+23.6	+13.5
Cooling Degree Days	5135 degree days	2020	70.3	+18.5	+4.1
Energy Imports	-127 % of energy use	2022	58.6	-12.5	-11.0
Flood Risk	3.60 0-10	2026	36.0	-16.0	-11.5
PM2.5 Air Pollution	25.6 ug/m3	2020	25.7	+6.5	-8.5
Energy Intensity	5.61 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	25.6	+9.0	+2.7
Drought Index (SPEI)	-1.80 index	2021	18.0	-28.4	-26.3
Methane Emissions Per Capita	1.97 kt CO2e per capita	2020	15.7	+7.6	+9.4
Heat Index	16.6 index	2020	12.2	+12.1	+10.4
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	3.67 metric tons	2020	11.6	+3.9	+10.5
Energy Use Per Capita	1500 kg oil eq per capita	2022	8.6	+0.3	+6.5
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.29 kt CO2e per capita	2020	6.7	-0.3	+0.3
Heating Degree Days	911 degree days	2020	6.3	+4.8	+6.2
Access to Clean Fuels	99.7 % population	2022	0.3	-9.9	-88.5
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Forest Area	0.83 % of land	2022	99.1	+32.8	+21.7
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.96 0-1	2023	96.0	+11.8	-0.2
Protected Areas	4.40 % of land	2023	95.6	+6.7	+6.7
Dam Capacity	0.95 0-1	2023	95.2	+1.9	+0.4
Agricultural Capacity	0.94 0-1	2023	93.9	+2.1	-4.1
Freshwater Withdrawal	87.2 % of internal resources	2021	88.4	+38.1	+46.9
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.85 0-1	2023	84.7	-1.8	-8.2
Earthquake Risk	7.90 0-10	2026	79.0	+44.0	+78.0
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.75 0-1	2023	74.7	+67.3	+69.8
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.74 0-1	2023	74.4	+12.3	+5.2
Urban Concentration	0.73 0-1	2023	73.3	+15.9	+31.1
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.70 0-1	2023	70.1	-6.2	-10.1
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	-6.5
Food Production Index	111 index	2022	62.3	-4.8	+3.3
Age Dependency Ratio	0.56 0-1	2023	56.4	+3.6	-14.9
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.51 0-1	2023	50.6	-7.0	-3.5
Projected Hydropower Change	0.44 0-1	2023	43.8	+0.1	+0.1
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.43 0-1	2023	43.2	+6.0	+13.5
Protected Biome Areas	0.40 0-1	2023	40.0	-1.0	-24.6
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.38 0-1	2023	38.0	-1.3	-42.0
Agriculture GDP Share	13.1 % of GDP	2023	36.4	+17.5	-14.9
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.33 0-1	2023	33.3	+3.0	0.0
Food Import Dependency	0.32 0-1	2023	31.9	+10.2	+2.3
Projected Warm Period Change	0.30 0-1	2023	30.5	-37.3	-38.6
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.30 0-1	2023	29.8	+9.4	-44.7
Projected Population Change	0.29 0-1	2023	29.4	+7.1	-18.1
Natural Capital Dependency	0.28 0-1	2023	27.7	+5.9	+8.2
Rural Population	0.27 0-1	2023	26.7	-15.9	-31.1
Disaster Preparedness	0.25 0-1	2023	25.0	-5.0	-10.0
Paved Roads	0.23 0-1	2023	23.1	-31.9	-57.6
Natural Resource Depletion	12.8 % of GNI	2021	22.3	+20.2	+14.8
Agricultural Land	17.3 % of land	2022	19.7	-27.6	-35.8
Ecological Footprint	0.17 0-1	2023	17.3	-5.3	-33.3
Tsunami Risk	1.40 0-10	2026	14.0	+3.0	+14.0
Slum Population	0.13 0-1	2023	13.4	-3.1	-35.3
Child Malnutrition	0.11 0-1	2023	11.2	-2.6	-9.9
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.10 0-1	2023	10.3	-8.1	-11.5
Population Below 5m	0.08 0-1	2023	7.5	-7.3	-2.8
Threatened Mammal Species	14.0 count	2018	7.3	+2.1	-1.1
Water Dependency Ratio	0.04 0-1	2023	3.6	-3.3	-16.2
Water Stress	138 %	2021	3.6	+3.3	+3.4
Dependency Ratio	0.02 0-1	2023	1.5	-5.3	-64.2
Tree Cover Loss	20473 hectares	2021	0.7	+0.6	+0.6
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.00 0-1	2023	0.2	-13.3	-5.0
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-39.6	-35.2
Projected Groundwater Change	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-26.2	-28.2
Energy Import Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-25.7	-13.7
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	-41.2
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	-9.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Gender Labor Ratio	21.1 ratio F/M	2023	85.9	+58.9	+62.0
Labor Participation	44.9 % (15+)	2023	67.2	+37.1	+30.3
Uprooted People	6.10 0-10	2026	61.0	+2.0	+3.0
Overweight Adults	57.6 % adults	2022	58.8	+2.8	+30.1
Net Migration	-25963 persons	2023	54.2	-0.8	-0.7
Education Expenditure	13.3 % of govt	2023	48.8	+1.7	+5.7
GDP Growth	4.10 % annual	2023	47.0	-1.9	+0.2
Sanitation Access	62.4 % population	2022	38.6	-1.4	-46.2
Fertility Rate	2.77 births per woman	2023	37.8	+14.5	-21.9
Primary School Enrollment	109 % gross	2023	33.6	-8.4	-5.4
Unemployment Rate	11.7 %	2023	33.1	+18.9	+17.5
Safe Drinking Water	70.6 % population	2022	31.3	+9.8	-49.8
Adult Literacy Rate	81.4 %	2018	28.4	+16.9	-29.6
Development and Deprivation	2.70 0-10	2026	27.0	-3.0	-50.5
Life Expectancy	76.3 years	2023	26.9	-12.6	-38.5
Internet Users	76.9 % population	2023	26.0	+5.1	-42.8
ESG Performance Score	2.26 0-100	2018	26.0	+1.0	-24.7
Unmet Contraception Need	14.1 %	2019	25.4	-10.2	-27.3
Communicable Disease Deaths	13.0 %	2019	18.3	+2.2	-57.4
Under-5 Mortality Rate	22.0 per 1,000	2023	18.2	+6.0	-21.6
Aging Population	6.38 % population	2023	13.8	-2.6	+9.1
Children Under 5	1.20 0-10	2026	12.0	+1.0	-24.5
Aid Dependency	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	-19.0	-34.5
Health Conditions	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-5.0	-33.0
Food Security	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-16.0	-45.0
Population Density	19.1 people/km2	2022	0.1	-0.4	-0.3
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	-6.0
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2022	0.0	-5.8	-29.5
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	-45.1

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	268 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Scientific Articles	7607 count	2022	99.2	-0.7	-0.8
Women in Parliament	7.86 % seats	2023	87.2	+29.0	+25.2
Legal Rights Strength	2.00 0-12	2019	83.3	+33.3	+33.3
Voice and Accountability	-0.98 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	69.6	+20.7	+5.7
Regulatory Quality	-0.95 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	69.0	+16.3	+3.6
Rule of Law	-0.68 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	63.6	+10.6	-0.6
Government Effectiveness	-0.67 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	63.4	+11.7	-3.1
Control of Corruption	-0.59 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	61.8	+6.2	-3.2
Political Stability	-0.58 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	61.6	+11.8	+1.3
INFORM Governance Index	6.10 0-10	2026	61.0	+5.0	-5.5
Physical Infrastructure	4.20 0-10	2026	42.0	+12.0	-25.0
Healthcare Access	3.90 0-10	2026	39.0	+2.0	-26.0
Disaster Risk Reduction	3.10 0-10	2026	31.0	-10.5	-24.0
Communication Infrastructure	2.60 0-10	2026	26.0	+6.0	-24.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.03 0-1	2023	97.1	+2.4	-2.4
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.29 0-1	2023	71.0	+6.7	-2.0
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.32 0-1	2023	68.3	+15.7	+4.1
Doing Business Score	0.32 0-1	2023	67.6	+9.2	-1.8
Education (Readiness)	0.33 0-1	2023	66.8	-6.3	-27.5
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.38 0-1	2023	62.4	+10.4	-0.2
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.47 0-1	2023	52.9	+9.8	+1.1
ICT Infrastructure	0.52 0-1	2023	48.3	+0.6	-16.0
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.52 0-1	2023	47.8	-3.7	-8.6

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Algeria?
Algeria: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 49 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Algeria's risk?
Algeria's highest pressures are governance (72, high) and adaptation (65). Its strongest area is social (29).
How might Algeria's climate change by 2080?
Algeria's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Algeria warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Algeria is on track to warm by +4.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -5 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Algeria's coast?
Coastal sea level along Algeria is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.55 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Algeria?
The share of Algeria under high water stress is projected to move from 8% today to 12% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Algeria?
The share of Algeria exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.1% today to 0.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Algeria's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.