+3.6 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.5 °C → +3.6 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.0 °C → +2.4 °C
Hottest month +3.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Sudan Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Northern Africa
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- SDN
Sudan: high governance pressure, led by flood exposure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Sudan, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
High 64 / 100
5y
- 61 Climate High
- 38 Nature -0.3 Low
- 60 Social Medium
- 86 Governance Critical
- 76 Adaptation +2.9 High
Which hazards threaten Sudan most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 8.6FloodCritical
- 7.9DRR capacityHigh
Sudan in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
6
Northern Africa
#6 of 6 · median 5152
Africa
#52 of 54 · median 5350
Lower middle income
#50 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Sudan: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Sudan is projected to warm +3.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing +61 mm.
+61 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +50 mm → +61 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +33 mm → +41 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
11%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 12% → 11%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 11% → 13%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 10% today.
1.8%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.5% → 1.8%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.6% → 1.1%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.9% today.
Sea level
Sudan: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 1 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.23 m → +0.76 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.20 m → +0.53 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Land Surface Temperature | 40.2 deg C change | 91.5 |
Flood Risk | 8.60 0-10 | 86.0 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 88.2 % coast | 84.7 |
Cooling Degree Days | 6070 degree days | 83.1 |
Energy Imports | 18.9 % of energy use | 70.3 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 45.8 ug/m3 | 51.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 58.0 % of total | 42.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 61.0 % of total energy | 36.7 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 65.6 % population | 34.4 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 30.2 % of total | 27.3 |
Energy Intensity | 4.83 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 21.2 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.63 kt CO2e per capita | 14.6 |
Heat Index | 3.78 index | 2.8 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 412 kg oil eq per capita | 2.1 |
Heating Degree Days | 214 degree days | 1.5 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.44 metric tons | 1.3 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Protected Areas | 2.80 % of land | 97.2 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.97 0-1 | 96.7 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 673 % of internal resources | 96.5 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.96 0-1 | 96.2 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.96 0-1 | 96.1 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.96 0-1 | 95.7 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.92 0-1 | 91.9 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.92 0-1 | 91.5 |
Forest Area | 9.64 % of land | 89.8 |
Dam Capacity | 0.89 0-1 | 89.1 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 30.3 % of GDP | 84.2 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.81 0-1 | 81.4 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.78 0-1 | 77.7 |
Slum Population | 0.74 0-1 | 74.4 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.74 0-1 | 73.7 |
Agricultural Land | 60.3 % of land | 71.2 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.70 0-1 | 69.6 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.69 0-1 | 69.2 |
Rural Population | 0.69 0-1 | 68.6 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.67 0-1 | 67.4 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.67 0-1 | 67.2 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Paved Roads | 0.65 0-1 | 64.5 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.60 0-1 | 60.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.58 0-1 | 58.5 |
Food Production Index | 116 index | 57.4 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.55 0-1 | 54.8 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.49 0-1 | 49.2 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.48 0-1 | 47.5 |
Projected Population Change | 0.47 0-1 | 46.7 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.45 0-1 | 45.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.34 0-1 | 34.4 |
Urban Concentration | 0.31 0-1 | 31.4 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.27 0-1 | 26.9 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.20 0-1 | 20.3 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.19 0-1 | 18.9 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.18 0-1 | 18.4 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 5.79 % of GNI | 10.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 16.0 count | 8.4 |
Population Below 5m | 0.03 0-1 | 3.1 |
Water Stress | 119 % | 3.1 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.01 0-1 | 0.6 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 50.0 hectares | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Uprooted People | 10.0 0-10 | 100.0 |
GDP Growth | -29.4 % annual | 100.0 |
Hospital Beds | 0.66 per 1,000 | 96.3 |
Development and Deprivation | 8.50 0-10 | 85.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 23.4 ratio F/M | 83.4 |
Internet Users | 26.4 % population | 79.5 |
Labor Participation | 37.9 % (15+) | 78.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 77.8 % gross | 69.1 |
Fertility Rate | 4.32 births per woman | 66.6 |
Life Expectancy | 66.3 years | 62.8 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.76 0-100 | 62.8 |
Children Under 5 | 6.00 0-10 | 60.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 60.7 % | 60.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 35.5 % | 53.6 |
Aid Dependency | 4.50 0-10 | 45.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 50.1 per 1,000 | 42.9 |
Access to Electricity | 66.0 % population | 35.9 |
Overweight Adults | 38.9 % adults | 35.3 |
Food Security | 3.20 0-10 | 32.0 |
School Gender Parity | 0.96 ratio | 31.3 |
Unemployment Rate | 7.53 % | 21.0 |
Undernourishment | 11.4 % population | 18.2 |
Health Conditions | 1.70 0-10 | 17.0 |
Net Migration | -1349998 persons | 9.2 |
Aging Population | 3.21 % population | 4.7 |
Recent Shocks | 0.40 0-10 | 4.0 |
Population Density | 26.4 people/km2 | 0.1 |
Patent Applications | 153 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 507 count | 99.9 |
Political Stability | -2.47 -2.5 to +2.5 | 99.3 |
Government Effectiveness | -1.98 -2.5 to +2.5 | 89.5 |
INFORM Governance Index | 8.60 0-10 | 86.0 |
Rule of Law | -1.67 -2.5 to +2.5 | 83.5 |
Regulatory Quality | -1.60 -2.5 to +2.5 | 82.1 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.60 -2.5 to +2.5 | 82.1 |
Healthcare Access | 8.10 0-10 | 81.0 |
Control of Corruption | -1.50 -2.5 to +2.5 | 80.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 7.90 0-10 | 79.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 3.00 0-12 | 75.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 6.90 0-10 | 69.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 6.00 0-10 | 60.0 |
Women in Parliament | 30.5 % seats | 50.2 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.02 0-1 | 98.4 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.08 0-1 | 92.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.10 0-1 | 89.8 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.15 0-1 | 85.4 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.18 0-1 | 82.0 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.19 0-1 | 81.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.33 0-1 | 67.4 |
Doing Business Score | 0.33 0-1 | 67.0 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 49.3 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Sudan →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Sudan.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Sudan?
Sudan: high governance pressure, led by flood exposure. Its overall risk score is 64 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Sudan's risk?
Sudan's highest pressures are governance (86, critical) and adaptation (76). Its strongest area is nature (38).
How might Sudan's climate change by 2080?
Sudan's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Sudan warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Sudan is on track to warm by +3.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +61 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.4 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Sudan's coast?
Coastal sea level along Sudan is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Sudan?
The share of Sudan under high water stress is projected to move from 10% today to 11% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Sudan?
The share of Sudan exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.9% today to 1.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Sudan's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.