Criora

Honduras

Region Americas Subregion Central America Income Lower middle income ISO HND

Honduras sits mid-pack overall, with adaptation the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Honduras, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
57 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    44 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    45 / 100
    ▼ -0.3 5y
  3. Social
    Medium
    47 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    73 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    74 / 100
    ▲ + 1.1 5y
Climate futures

Honduras: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Honduras is projected to warm +3.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing -213 mm.

Temperature

+3.3 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.1 °C → +3.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.8 °C → +2.2 °C

Hottest month +4.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-213 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-91 mm → -213 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
-57 mm → -61 mm

Driest month -4 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Honduras: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.30 m → +0.90 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.30 m → +0.75 m

Water stress

36%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 36%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 32%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

7.2%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
8.7% → 7.2%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
3.8% → 7.9%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.9% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Honduras most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Medium
5.4 / 10
Peers

Honduras in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Central America
#8 of 8median 52
  1. 1Costa RicaMedium 43
  2. 2BelizeMedium 43
  3. 3PanamaMedium 44
  4. 4El SalvadorMedium 51
  5. 5NicaraguaMedium 53
  6. 6MexicoMedium 53
  7. 7GuatemalaMedium 54
  8. 8HondurasMedium 57
region
Americas
#33 of 35median 44
  1. 26BoliviaMedium 51
  2. 27ColombiaMedium 52
  3. 28PeruMedium 52
  4. 29NicaraguaMedium 53
  5. 30MexicoMedium 53
  6. 31GuatemalaMedium 54
  7. 32EcuadorMedium 55
  8. 33HondurasMedium 57
  9. 34VenezuelaMedium 58
  10. 35HaitiHigh 62
income group
Lower middle income
#45 of 53median 49
  1. 41CameroonMedium 55
  2. 42EgyptMedium 55
  3. 43PhilippinesMedium 56
  4. 44CongoMedium 56
  5. 45HondurasMedium 57
  6. 46IndiaMedium 57
  7. 47Papua New GuineaMedium 58
  8. 48IraqMedium 59
  9. 49NigeriaHigh 60
  10. 50SudanHigh 64

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Honduras?
Honduras sits mid-pack overall, with adaptation the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 57 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Honduras's risk?
Honduras's highest pressures are adaptation (74, high) and governance (73). Its strongest area is climate (44).
How might Honduras's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 10% of Honduras's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Honduras warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Honduras is on track to warm by +3.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -213 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Honduras's coast?
Coastal sea level along Honduras is projected to rise by +0.90 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.75 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Honduras?
The share of Honduras under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 36% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Honduras?
The share of Honduras exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.9% today to 7.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Honduras's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.