+3.4 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.2 °C → +3.4 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.8 °C → +2.2 °C
Hottest month +3.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Belize Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Americas
- Subregion
- Central America
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- BLZ
Belize: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Belize, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 44 / 100
5y
- 23 Climate Low
- 31 Nature +1.2 Low
- 32 Social Low
- 69 Governance High
- 66 Adaptation -2.3 High
Which hazards threaten Belize most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 2.2FloodLow
Belize in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
3
Central America
#3 of 8 · median 5218
Americas
#18 of 35 · median 449
Lower middle income
#9 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Belize: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Belize is projected to warm +3.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing -282 mm.
-282 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -118 mm → -282 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -61 mm → -44 mm
Driest month -4 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
0.8%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 14% → 0.8%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 13% → 0.8%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.8% today.
Sea level
Belize: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 2 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.39 m → +1.09 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.37 m → +0.88 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Cooling Degree Days | 5350 degree days | 73.2 |
Renewable Energy Share | 30.8 % of total energy | 68.4 |
Land Surface Temperature | 28.0 deg C change | 66.5 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.73 index | 43.0 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 28.7 ug/m3 | 29.6 |
Energy Intensity | 4.29 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 25.9 |
Flood Risk | 2.20 0-10 | 22.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 82.5 % population | 17.5 |
Heat Index | 22.6 index | 16.6 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.53 kt CO2e per capita | 12.3 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 1.32 kt CO2e per capita | 10.2 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 92.9 % of total | 7.1 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 1.76 metric tons | 5.5 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.44 degree days | 0.0 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 23.0 % coast | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.98 0-1 | 97.8 |
Dam Capacity | 0.92 0-1 | 92.4 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.89 0-1 | 89.2 |
Paved Roads | 0.84 0-1 | 83.7 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.79 0-1 | 79.4 |
Protected Areas | 21.1 % of land | 78.7 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.77 0-1 | 76.8 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.76 0-1 | 76.3 |
Food Production Index | 102 index | 70.7 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.9 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.7 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.62 0-1 | 62.4 |
Rural Population | 0.58 0-1 | 57.5 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.45 0-1 | 44.5 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.43 0-1 | 43.3 |
Urban Concentration | 0.42 0-1 | 42.5 |
Forest Area | 55.0 % of land | 41.8 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.41 0-1 | 40.6 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.40 0-1 | 40.3 |
Projected Population Change | 0.38 0-1 | 37.7 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.36 0-1 | 35.6 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.31 0-1 | 30.5 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Tsunami Risk | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.30 0-1 | 29.8 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.30 0-1 | 29.5 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.28 0-1 | 27.9 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 8.10 % of GDP | 22.5 |
Earthquake Risk | 2.10 0-10 | 21.0 |
Water Bodies Extent | 79.0 % of land | 21.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.20 0-1 | 20.4 |
Slum Population | 0.16 0-1 | 15.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.15 0-1 | 15.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 0.66 % of internal resources | 9.9 |
Agricultural Land | 7.98 % of land | 8.2 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.07 0-1 | 7.4 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 10.0 count | 5.2 |
Forest Depletion | 0.25 % of GNI | 1.4 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.40 % of GNI | 0.7 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.01 0-1 | 0.6 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.4 |
Tree Cover Loss | 9290 hectares | 0.3 |
Water Stress | 1.26 % | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.03 per 1,000 | 93.8 |
Overweight Adults | 72.8 % adults | 77.9 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 5.80 % | 62.0 |
Net Migration | 595 persons | 55.1 |
Gini Coefficient | 39.9 0-100 | 52.2 |
GDP Growth | 1.15 % annual | 51.6 |
School Gender Parity | 0.99 ratio | 44.2 |
Aid Dependency | 4.40 0-10 | 44.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 97.0 % gross | 42.6 |
Development and Deprivation | 4.10 0-10 | 41.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 65.6 ratio F/M | 40.0 |
Labor Participation | 65.0 % (15+) | 36.4 |
Life Expectancy | 73.6 years | 36.2 |
Uprooted People | 3.10 0-10 | 31.0 |
Internet Users | 72.4 % population | 31.0 |
Education Expenditure | 18.5 % of govt | 28.4 |
Fertility Rate | 2.01 births per woman | 23.8 |
Unemployment Rate | 8.27 % | 23.3 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 15.9 % | 22.9 |
Food Security | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.36 0-100 | 18.1 |
Children Under 5 | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 12.7 per 1,000 | 10.0 |
Aging Population | 4.84 % population | 9.4 |
Health Conditions | 0.80 0-10 | 8.0 |
Undernourishment | 4.60 % population | 4.3 |
Recent Shocks | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Access to Electricity | 99.6 % population | 0.5 |
Population Density | 17.7 people/km2 | 0.1 |
Scientific Articles | 17.7 count | 100.0 |
Women in Parliament | 15.6 % seats | 74.5 |
Legal Rights Strength | 4.00 0-12 | 66.7 |
Rule of Law | -0.64 -2.5 to +2.5 | 62.7 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.43 -2.5 to +2.5 | 58.6 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.38 -2.5 to +2.5 | 57.5 |
Control of Corruption | -0.23 -2.5 to +2.5 | 54.5 |
Healthcare Access | 5.30 0-10 | 53.0 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.30 0-10 | 53.0 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.54 -2.5 to +2.5 | 39.2 |
Political Stability | 0.59 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.3 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.40 0-10 | 34.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.02 0-1 | 98.3 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.14 0-1 | 86.5 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.24 0-1 | 76.1 |
Doing Business Score | 0.34 0-1 | 66.1 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 62.7 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.38 0-1 | 61.6 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.42 0-1 | 58.1 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.48 0-1 | 51.5 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.67 0-1 | 32.9 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Belize →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Belize.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Belize?
Belize: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 44 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Belize's risk?
Belize's highest pressures are governance (69, high) and adaptation (66). Its strongest area is climate (23).
How might Belize's climate change by 2080?
Belize's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Belize warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Belize is on track to warm by +3.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -282 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Belize's coast?
Coastal sea level along Belize is projected to rise by +1.09 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.88 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Belize?
The share of Belize under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Belize?
The share of Belize exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.8% today to 0.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Belize's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.