Criora

Belize

Region Americas Subregion Central America Income Lower middle income ISO BLZ

Belize sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Belize, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
43 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    23 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    31 / 100
    ▲ + 1.2 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    28 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    69 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    66 / 100
    ▼ -2.3 5y
Climate futures

Belize: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Belize is projected to warm +3.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing -282 mm.

Temperature

+3.4 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.2 °C → +3.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.8 °C → +2.2 °C

Hottest month +3.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-282 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-118 mm → -282 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
-61 mm → -44 mm

Driest month -4 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Belize: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.39 m → +1.09 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.37 m → +0.88 m

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

0.8%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
14% → 0.8%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
13% → 0.8%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.8% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Belize.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Belize most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Low
2.2 / 10
Peers

Belize in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Central America
#2 of 8median 52
  1. 1Costa RicaMedium 43
  2. 2BelizeMedium 43
  3. 3PanamaMedium 44
  4. 4El SalvadorMedium 51
  5. 5NicaraguaMedium 53
  6. 6MexicoMedium 53
  7. 7GuatemalaMedium 54
  8. 8HondurasMedium 57
region
Americas
#16 of 35median 44
  1. 12United States of AmericaMedium 40
  2. 13Trinidad and TobagoMedium 42
  3. 14CubaMedium 43
  4. 15Costa RicaMedium 43
  5. 16BelizeMedium 43
  6. 17ChileMedium 44
  7. 18PanamaMedium 44
  8. 19ParaguayMedium 45
  9. 20BrazilMedium 48
  10. 21Dominican Rep.Medium 48
income group
Lower middle income
#8 of 53median 49
  1. 4BhutanMedium 41
  2. 5GeorgiaMedium 42
  3. 6SamoaMedium 42
  4. 7NauruMedium 42
  5. 8BelizeMedium 43
  6. 9São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  7. 10ArmeniaMedium 44
  8. 11ParaguayMedium 45
  9. 12AlbaniaMedium 45
  10. 13MongoliaMedium 45

Put two countries head to head

Compare Belize against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Belize?
Belize sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 43 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Belize's risk?
Belize's highest pressures are governance (69, high) and adaptation (66). Its strongest area is climate (23).
How might Belize's climate change by 2080?
Belize's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Belize warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Belize is on track to warm by +3.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -282 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Belize's coast?
Coastal sea level along Belize is projected to rise by +1.09 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.88 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Belize?
The share of Belize under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Belize?
The share of Belize exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.8% today to 0.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Belize's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.