+3.8 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.4 °C → +3.8 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.9 °C → +2.4 °C
Hottest month +4.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Botswana Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Southern Africa
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- BWA
Botswana: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Botswana, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 45 / 100
5y
- 39 Climate Low
- 25 Nature +0.8 Low
- 36 Social Low
- 66 Governance High
- 57 Adaptation -0.5 Medium
Which hazards threaten Botswana most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 3.6FloodLow
- 6.8DRR capacityHigh
Botswana in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
2
Southern Africa
#2 of 5 · median 466
Africa
#6 of 54 · median 5329
Upper middle income
#29 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Botswana: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Botswana is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing +3 mm.
+3 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -1 mm → +3 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +8 mm → +11 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
5.8%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 10% → 5.8%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 7.6% → 8.9%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.4% today.
1.1%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.6% → 1.1%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.6% → 0.6%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.5% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Coal Electricity Share | 96.2 % of total | 100.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 0.25 % of total | 99.7 |
Land Surface Temperature | 32.1 deg C change | 74.8 |
Renewable Energy Share | 27.4 % of total energy | 71.5 |
Energy Imports | 23.7 % of energy use | 70.7 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 66.7 % of total | 65.3 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.05 index | 58.8 |
Cooling Degree Days | 3043 degree days | 41.7 |
Flood Risk | 3.60 0-10 | 36.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 66.0 % population | 34.0 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 1.25 kt CO2e per capita | 29.3 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 18.9 ug/m3 | 17.5 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 1.45 kt CO2e per capita | 11.4 |
Energy Intensity | 2.68 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 9.0 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 2.44 metric tons | 7.7 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 1165 kg oil eq per capita | 6.6 |
Heating Degree Days | 623 degree days | 4.3 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.95 0-1 | 95.0 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.95 0-1 | 95.0 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.89 0-1 | 89.2 |
Dam Capacity | 0.89 0-1 | 88.5 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.84 0-1 | 83.5 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.81 0-1 | 80.6 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.80 0-1 | 80.4 |
Food Production Index | 96.9 index | 75.8 |
Forest Area | 26.5 % of land | 72.0 |
Urban Concentration | 0.71 0-1 | 70.8 |
Protected Areas | 29.1 % of land | 70.7 |
Paved Roads | 0.68 0-1 | 67.9 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 66.0 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.65 0-1 | 65.2 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.54 0-1 | 54.5 |
Agricultural Land | 45.6 % of land | 54.4 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.54 0-1 | 54.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 9.73 % of internal resources | 51.7 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.49 0-1 | 48.7 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.7 |
Slum Population | 0.40 0-1 | 40.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.39 0-1 | 39.4 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.36 0-1 | 36.4 |
Projected Population Change | 0.32 0-1 | 32.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.30 0-1 | 30.2 |
Rural Population | 0.29 0-1 | 29.2 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.25 0-1 | 25.4 |
Electricity Access | 0.24 0-1 | 24.2 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.24 0-1 | 23.7 |
Water Bodies Extent | 78.0 % of land | 22.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.21 0-1 | 21.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.16 0-1 | 15.6 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.14 0-1 | 13.7 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.11 0-1 | 11.2 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.08 0-1 | 8.3 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 11.0 count | 5.8 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 1.66 % of GDP | 4.6 |
Forest Depletion | 0.31 % of GNI | 1.8 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.86 % of GNI | 1.5 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Water Stress | 2.44 % | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 9.10 0-10 | 91.0 |
Hospital Beds | 2.22 per 1,000 | 85.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 44.9 % | 68.2 |
Primary School Enrollment | 96.9 % gross | 66.8 |
Unemployment Rate | 23.4 % | 66.5 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.82 0-100 | 58.9 |
Net Migration | -6487 persons | 54.8 |
Development and Deprivation | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Life Expectancy | 69.2 years | 51.4 |
GDP Growth | 3.21 % annual | 48.4 |
Food Security | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Undernourishment | 24.3 % population | 44.7 |
Education Expenditure | 21.5 % of govt | 42.4 |
Overweight Adults | 42.0 % adults | 39.1 |
Fertility Rate | 2.73 births per woman | 37.2 |
School Gender Parity | 1.02 ratio | 36.2 |
Health Conditions | 3.40 0-10 | 34.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 39.6 per 1,000 | 33.7 |
Labor Participation | 70.6 % (15+) | 27.8 |
Access to Electricity | 76.0 % population | 27.1 |
Children Under 5 | 2.60 0-10 | 26.0 |
Internet Users | 81.4 % population | 20.9 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 86.7 ratio F/M | 18.4 |
Aid Dependency | 1.70 0-10 | 17.0 |
Uprooted People | 1.20 0-10 | 12.0 |
Aging Population | 3.97 % population | 6.9 |
Population Density | 4.31 people/km2 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 3.00 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 393 count | 100.0 |
Women in Parliament | 11.1 % seats | 81.9 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 6.80 0-10 | 68.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 5.00 0-12 | 58.3 |
Physical Infrastructure | 4.70 0-10 | 47.0 |
Healthcare Access | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
INFORM Governance Index | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
Rule of Law | 0.39 -2.5 to +2.5 | 42.2 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.43 -2.5 to +2.5 | 41.4 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.50 -2.5 to +2.5 | 40.1 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.50 -2.5 to +2.5 | 39.9 |
Control of Corruption | 0.69 -2.5 to +2.5 | 36.3 |
Political Stability | 1.04 -2.5 to +2.5 | 29.2 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.70 0-10 | 27.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.01 0-1 | 99.4 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.13 0-1 | 87.0 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.21 0-1 | 79.1 |
Doing Business Score | 0.46 0-1 | 54.5 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.48 0-1 | 51.9 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.58 0-1 | 41.7 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.59 0-1 | 41.4 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.60 0-1 | 39.7 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.75 0-1 | 25.1 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Botswana →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Botswana.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Botswana?
Botswana: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 45 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Botswana's risk?
Botswana's highest pressures are governance (66, high) and adaptation (57). Its strongest area is nature (25).
How might Botswana's climate change by 2080?
Botswana's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Botswana warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Botswana is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +3 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.4 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Botswana?
The share of Botswana under high water stress is projected to move from 1.4% today to 5.8% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Botswana?
The share of Botswana exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.5% today to 1.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Botswana's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.