Criora

Mauritius

Region Africa Subregion Eastern Africa Income Upper middle income ISO MUS

Mauritius runs low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained, easing recently.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Mauritius, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
34 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Very low
    18 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    34 / 100
    ▼ -2.5 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    20 / 100
  4. Governance
    Medium
    55 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    44 / 100
    ▼ -1.7 5y
Climate futures

Mauritius: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Mauritius is projected to warm +2.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing -44 mm.

Temperature

+2.3 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.5 °C → +2.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.2 °C → +1.6 °C

Hottest month +2.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-44 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-12 mm → -44 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
-103 mm → -54 mm

Driest month -7 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Mauritius: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 1 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.21 m → +0.72 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.18 m → +0.53 m

River flooding

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0% → 0%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Mauritius most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Very low
0.0 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
2.2 / 10
Peers

Mauritius in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Eastern Africa
#1 of 18median 54
  1. 1MauritiusLow 34
  2. 2SeychellesLow 36
  3. 3RwandaMedium 45
  4. 4ComorosMedium 49
  5. 5ZimbabweMedium 51
  6. 6DjiboutiMedium 52
  7. 7TanzaniaMedium 53
  8. 8KenyaMedium 53
  9. 9ZambiaMedium 54
  10. 10EritreaMedium 54
region
Africa
#1 of 54median 53
  1. 1MauritiusLow 34
  2. 2SeychellesLow 36
  3. 3Cabo VerdeLow 38
  4. 4South AfricaMedium 41
  5. 5São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  6. 6BotswanaMedium 44
  7. 7RwandaMedium 45
  8. 8TunisiaMedium 46
  9. 9eSwatiniMedium 46
  10. 10NamibiaMedium 47
income group
Upper middle income
#1 of 53median 44
  1. 1MauritiusLow 34
  2. 2LithuaniaLow 35
  3. 3SeychellesLow 36
  4. 4GrenadaLow 36
  5. 5St. Vin. and Gren.Low 37
  6. 6UruguayLow 37
  7. 7LatviaLow 38
  8. 8DominicaLow 38
  9. 9Saint LuciaLow 38
  10. 10Antigua and Barb.Low 38

Put two countries head to head

Compare Mauritius against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Mauritius?
Mauritius runs low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 34 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Mauritius's risk?
Mauritius's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (44). Its strongest area is climate (18).
How might Mauritius's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 25% of Mauritius's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Mauritius warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Mauritius is on track to warm by +2.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -44 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Mauritius's coast?
Coastal sea level along Mauritius is projected to rise by +0.72 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Mauritius?
The share of Mauritius exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Mauritius's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.