What drives Mauritius's risk?

Mauritius's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (44). Its strongest area is climate (18).

How might Mauritius's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 25% of Mauritius's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Mauritius warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Mauritius is on track to warm by +2.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -44 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Mauritius's coast?

Coastal sea level along Mauritius is projected to rise by +0.72 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Mauritius?

The share of Mauritius exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Mauritius's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Mauritius Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Africa
Subregion: Eastern Africa
Income: Upper middle income
ISO: MUS

Mauritius: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained, easing recently.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Mauritius, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 34 / 100

18 Climate Very low
34 Nature -2.5 Low
20 Social Very low
55 Governance Medium
44 Adaptation -1.7 Medium

Which hazards threaten Mauritius most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

0.0FloodVery low
1.9DRR capacityVery low

Mauritius in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Eastern Africa

#1 of 18 · median 54

Africa

#1 of 54 · median 53

Upper middle income

#1 of 53 · median 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Mauritius: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Mauritius is projected to warm +2.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing -44 mm.

+2.3 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +1.5 °C → +2.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.2 °C → +1.6 °C

Hottest month +2.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-44 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -12 mm → -44 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -103 mm → -54 mm

Driest month -7 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0% → 0%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.

Sea level

Mauritius: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 1 of its largest cities.

Port Louis, Max depth 1.8 mFlood depth3 mOpen the live map© OpenStreetMap

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.21 m → +0.72 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.18 m → +0.53 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Renewable Energy Share	8.60 % of total energy	2021	91.1	+15.7	+60.5
Coastal Protection Needed	91.2 % coast	2020	88.6	+4.3	+5.0
Fossil Fuel Consumption	88.9 % of total	2022	88.5	+15.8	+57.4
Renewable Electricity Share	21.7 % of total	2021	78.3	+3.2	+3.0
Land Surface Temperature	26.7 deg C change	2021	63.6	-1.1	-11.2
Cooling Degree Days	3406 degree days	2020	46.6	-5.2	-19.6
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.86 index	2021	38.9	-7.5	-5.4
Coal Electricity Share	31.5 % of total	2022	32.8	+16.1	+12.5
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	2.94 metric tons	2020	9.3	+1.6	+8.2
Energy Use Per Capita	1096 kg oil eq per capita	2022	6.2	-2.1	+4.1
Energy Intensity	2.15 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	6.0	-10.6	-16.9
PM2.5 Air Pollution	9.15 ug/m3	2020	5.3	-13.9	-28.9
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.18 kt CO2e per capita	2020	4.1	-2.9	-2.3
Access to Clean Fuels	99.0 % population	2022	1.0	-9.3	-87.8
Flood Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-52.0	-47.5
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	-1.8
Heating Degree Days	0.00 degree days	2020	0.0	-1.4	-0.1

		Year		vs world	vs region
Protected Areas	0.00 % of land	2023	100.0	+11.1	+11.1
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+62.8	+70.3
Energy Import Dependency	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+74.3	+86.3
Dam Capacity	0.98 0-1	2023	98.2	+4.9	+3.4
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.89 0-1	2023	89.0	+2.5	-3.9
Food Production Index	84.4 index	2022	87.5	+20.4	+28.5
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.87 0-1	2023	86.7	+2.5	-9.5
Forest Area	19.5 % of land	2022	79.4	+13.1	+2.0
Freshwater Withdrawal	22.0 % of internal resources	2021	69.2	+18.9	+27.7
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.67 0-1	2023	66.8	-9.5	-13.4
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	-6.5
Child Malnutrition	0.65 0-1	2023	64.9	+51.1	+43.8
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.64 0-1	2023	64.1	+1.9	-5.1
Rural Population	0.64 0-1	2023	63.7	+21.1	+5.9
Agricultural Land	43.1 % of land	2022	50.7	+3.4	-4.8
Projected Warm Period Change	0.51 0-1	2023	50.7	-17.0	-18.4
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.47 0-1	2023	46.7	+33.2	+41.5
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.46 0-1	2023	45.9	-11.7	-8.2
Tsunami Risk	4.50 0-10	2026	45.0	+34.0	+45.0
Protected Biome Areas	0.39 0-1	2023	39.2	-1.8	-25.4
Urban Concentration	0.36 0-1	2023	36.3	-21.1	-5.9
Food Import Dependency	0.36 0-1	2023	35.6	+13.9	+6.0
Age Dependency Ratio	0.34 0-1	2023	33.7	-19.0	-37.6
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.33 0-1	2023	33.3	+3.0	0.0
Natural Capital Dependency	0.32 0-1	2023	32.4	+10.6	+12.9
Ecological Footprint	0.23 0-1	2023	23.1	+0.5	-27.5
Agricultural Capacity	0.23 0-1	2023	22.8	-69.0	-75.2
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.21 0-1	2023	21.4	+3.0	-0.4
Projected Groundwater Change	0.21 0-1	2023	21.3	-4.9	-6.9
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.19 0-1	2023	18.8	+11.4	+13.9
Agriculture GDP Share	4.01 % of GDP	2023	11.1	-7.8	-40.1
Projected Population Change	0.11 0-1	2023	10.6	-11.7	-36.9
Population Below 5m	0.10 0-1	2023	10.3	-4.4	0.0
Threatened Mammal Species	7.00 count	2018	3.7	-1.5	-4.7
Disaster Preparedness	0.03 0-1	2023	2.5	-27.5	-32.5
Dependency Ratio	0.02 0-1	2023	2.0	-4.8	-63.7
Paved Roads	0.02 0-1	2023	1.9	-53.1	-78.8
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	0.0
Water Stress	22.0 %	2021	0.6	+0.3	+0.4
Tree Cover Loss	0.00 hectares	2021	0.0	-0.1	-0.1
Natural Resource Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-2.1	-7.5
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	-9.2
Water Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.9	-19.8
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	-41.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Hospital Beds	3.71 per 1,000	2021	73.0	-10.9	-14.5
Education Expenditure	12.2 % of govt	2022	68.6	+3.7	+11.2
Net Migration	-2824 persons	2023	54.9	-0.1	0.0
Overweight Adults	51.1 % adults	2022	50.6	-5.4	+21.9
GDP Growth	5.01 % annual	2023	45.5	-3.4	-1.3
Gender Labor Ratio	62.3 ratio F/M	2023	43.4	+16.4	+19.5
Life Expectancy	73.4 years	2023	40.6	+1.1	-24.8
Recent Shocks	3.90 0-10	2026	39.0	+38.0	+33.0
Labor Participation	64.7 % (15+)	2023	36.9	+6.8	0.0
Aging Population	12.9 % population	2023	32.7	+16.3	+28.0
School Gender Parity	1.04 ratio	2021	32.5	-8.5	-3.6
Primary School Enrollment	111 % gross	2023	32.0	-10.0	-7.0
ESG Performance Score	2.20 0-100	2018	30.6	+5.6	-20.1
Internet Users	79.5 % population	2023	23.1	+2.2	-45.7
Development and Deprivation	1.90 0-10	2026	19.0	-11.0	-58.5
Unemployment Rate	5.57 %	2023	15.6	+1.4	0.0
Adult Literacy Rate	92.2 %	2021	12.5	+6.0	-43.0
Fertility Rate	1.39 births per woman	2023	12.4	-10.9	-47.3
Under-5 Mortality Rate	15.2 per 1,000	2023	12.2	0.0	-27.6
Aid Dependency	1.20 0-10	2026	12.0	-13.0	-28.5
Children Under 5	1.20 0-10	2026	12.0	+1.0	-24.5
Food Security	1.00 0-10	2026	10.0	-8.0	-37.0
Uprooted People	1.00 0-10	2026	10.0	-49.0	-48.0
Communicable Disease Deaths	7.26 %	2019	9.4	-6.7	-66.3
Undernourishment	5.90 % population	2022	7.0	+1.2	-22.5
Population Density	632 people/km2	2022	3.4	+2.9	+3.0
Health Conditions	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-6.0	-34.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	-45.1

		Year		vs world	vs region
Scientific Articles	239 count	2022	100.0	+0.1	0.0
Patent Applications	6.00 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
R&D Expenditure	0.23 % of GDP	2023	87.5	+1.2	+33.4
Women in Parliament	20.0 % seats	2023	67.3	+9.1	+5.3
Legal Rights Strength	6.00 0-12	2019	50.0	0.0	0.0
INFORM Governance Index	4.20 0-10	2026	42.0	-14.0	-24.5
Control of Corruption	0.45 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	40.9	-14.7	-24.1
Voice and Accountability	0.62 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	37.7	-11.1	-26.2
Government Effectiveness	0.71 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	35.8	-15.9	-30.7
Political Stability	0.78 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	34.5	-15.3	-25.8
Rule of Law	0.81 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	33.9	-19.1	-30.3
Healthcare Access	3.20 0-10	2026	32.0	-5.0	-33.0
Regulatory Quality	1.06 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	28.7	-24.1	-36.7
Disaster Risk Reduction	1.90 0-10	2026	19.0	-22.5	-36.0
Communication Infrastructure	1.30 0-10	2026	13.0	-7.0	-37.0
Physical Infrastructure	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-29.0	-66.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.02 0-1	2023	97.7	+3.0	-1.8
Education (Readiness)	0.26 0-1	2023	73.6	+0.5	-20.7
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.53 0-1	2023	47.1	-17.2	-25.9
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.55 0-1	2023	44.8	-6.7	-11.6
ICT Infrastructure	0.61 0-1	2023	38.6	-9.1	-25.7
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.67 0-1	2023	33.3	-18.7	-29.3
Doing Business Score	0.67 0-1	2023	32.5	-25.9	-36.9
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.70 0-1	2023	29.7	-13.4	-22.1
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.72 0-1	2023	28.4	-24.2	-35.8

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Mauritius?
Mauritius: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 34 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Mauritius's risk?
Mauritius's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (44). Its strongest area is climate (18).
How might Mauritius's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 25% of Mauritius's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Mauritius warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Mauritius is on track to warm by +2.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -44 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Mauritius's coast?
Coastal sea level along Mauritius is projected to rise by +0.72 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Mauritius?
The share of Mauritius exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Mauritius's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.