+2.3 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.3 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.4 °C → +1.6 °C
Hottest month +2.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Cabo Verde Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Western Africa
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- CPV
Cabo Verde: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Cabo Verde, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 39 / 100
5y
- 16 Climate Very low
- 29 Nature -0.6 Low
- 33 Social Low
- 62 Governance High
- 55 Adaptation -1.7 Medium
Which hazards threaten Cabo Verde most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 0.0FloodVery low
- 5.1DRR capacityMedium
Cabo Verde in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
1
Western Africa
#1 of 16 · median 543
Africa
#3 of 54 · median 532
Lower middle income
#2 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Cabo Verde: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Cabo Verde is projected to warm +2.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing -24 mm.
-24 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -20 mm → -24 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -7 mm → -18 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0% → 0%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.
Sea level
Cabo Verde: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 1 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.26 m → +0.82 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.23 m → +0.61 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Electricity Share | 18.3 % of total | 81.7 |
Renewable Energy Share | 21.8 % of total energy | 77.9 |
Land Surface Temperature | 33.2 deg C change | 77.1 |
Cooling Degree Days | 3661 degree days | 50.1 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 42.3 ug/m3 | 46.7 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.67 index | 44.3 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 83.0 % population | 17.0 |
Energy Intensity | 2.17 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 9.4 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 1.21 metric tons | 3.8 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.12 kt CO2e per capita | 2.7 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 0.18 kt CO2e per capita | 0.7 |
Flood Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.00 degree days | 0.0 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Protected Areas | 0.00 % of land | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.99 0-1 | 99.1 |
Food Production Index | 74.8 index | 96.5 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.93 0-1 | 92.6 |
Forest Area | 11.5 % of land | 87.8 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 57.2 % of internal resources | 83.7 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.83 0-1 | 83.4 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.77 0-1 | 76.9 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.7 |
Urban Concentration | 0.65 0-1 | 65.5 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.65 0-1 | 64.6 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.59 0-1 | 59.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.49 0-1 | 49.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.49 0-1 | 48.7 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.46 0-1 | 46.1 |
Population Below 5m | 0.39 0-1 | 39.0 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.38 0-1 | 38.2 |
Rural Population | 0.35 0-1 | 34.5 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.32 0-1 | 31.9 |
Paved Roads | 0.31 0-1 | 31.2 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.30 0-1 | 30.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.27 0-1 | 27.4 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.26 0-1 | 26.0 |
Projected Population Change | 0.25 0-1 | 24.7 |
Agricultural Land | 19.6 % of land | 22.5 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 4.63 % of GDP | 12.9 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.10 0-1 | 9.9 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.05 0-1 | 4.6 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 4.00 count | 2.1 |
Forest Depletion | 0.30 % of GNI | 1.7 |
Water Stress | 57.2 % | 1.5 |
Electricity Access | 0.01 0-1 | 1.4 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.83 % of GNI | 1.4 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 0.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 10.0 0-10 | 100.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.97 per 1,000 | 86.4 |
Net Migration | -1226 persons | 55.0 |
Aid Dependency | 5.10 0-10 | 51.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Overweight Adults | 46.7 % adults | 45.0 |
GDP Growth | 5.39 % annual | 44.9 |
Education Expenditure | 14.7 % of govt | 43.2 |
Labor Participation | 62.3 % (15+) | 40.6 |
Primary School Enrollment | 96.4 % gross | 38.6 |
Unemployment Rate | 12.0 % | 33.9 |
School Gender Parity | 1.01 ratio | 32.2 |
Internet Users | 73.5 % population | 29.8 |
Food Security | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Life Expectancy | 76.1 years | 27.6 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 78.3 ratio F/M | 27.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.29 0-100 | 23.3 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 15.8 % | 22.8 |
Undernourishment | 12.6 % population | 20.7 |
Fertility Rate | 1.52 births per woman | 14.8 |
Aging Population | 6.58 % population | 14.4 |
Health Conditions | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 91.0 % | 12.4 |
Uprooted People | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 11.6 per 1,000 | 9.0 |
Children Under 5 | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Access to Electricity | 98.6 % population | 1.6 |
Population Density | 129 people/km2 | 0.7 |
Patent Applications | 1.00 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 22.0 count | 100.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 1.00 0-12 | 91.7 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 5.10 0-10 | 51.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.01 -2.5 to +2.5 | 49.7 |
Healthcare Access | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.24 -2.5 to +2.5 | 45.1 |
Rule of Law | 0.40 -2.5 to +2.5 | 42.0 |
INFORM Governance Index | 4.00 0-10 | 40.0 |
Women in Parliament | 41.7 % seats | 32.0 |
Political Stability | 0.90 -2.5 to +2.5 | 31.9 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.96 -2.5 to +2.5 | 30.8 |
Control of Corruption | 0.98 -2.5 to +2.5 | 30.3 |
Physical Infrastructure | 2.50 0-10 | 25.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 2.40 0-10 | 24.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.01 0-1 | 99.1 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.12 0-1 | 88.0 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.43 0-1 | 56.7 |
Doing Business Score | 0.46 0-1 | 54.1 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.49 0-1 | 51.3 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.55 0-1 | 44.7 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.59 0-1 | 41.2 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.65 0-1 | 34.8 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.73 0-1 | 27.5 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Cabo Verde →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Cabo Verde.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Cabo Verde?
Cabo Verde: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 39 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Cabo Verde's risk?
Cabo Verde's highest pressures are governance (62, high) and adaptation (55). Its strongest area is climate (16).
How might Cabo Verde's climate change by 2080?
Cabo Verde's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Cabo Verde warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Cabo Verde is on track to warm by +2.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Cabo Verde's coast?
Coastal sea level along Cabo Verde is projected to rise by +0.82 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.61 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Cabo Verde?
The share of Cabo Verde exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Cabo Verde's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.