+2.6 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.9 °C → +2.6 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.5 °C → +1.8 °C
Hottest month +2.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Jamaica Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Americas
- Subregion
- Caribbean
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- JAM
Jamaica: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Jamaica, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 42 / 100
5y
- 19 Climate Very low
- 38 Nature -0.9 Low
- 30 Social Low
- 61 Governance High
- 59 Adaptation -0.9 Medium
Which hazards threaten Jamaica most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 0.0FloodVery low
- 3.7DRR capacityLow
Jamaica in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
9
Caribbean
#9 of 13 · median 3812
Americas
#12 of 35 · median 4416
Upper middle income
#16 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Jamaica: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Jamaica is projected to warm +2.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing -96 mm.
-96 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -39 mm → -96 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -40 mm → -12 mm
Driest month -7 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
0%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0% → 0%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.
Sea level
Jamaica: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 3 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.25 m → +0.79 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.23 m → +0.61 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 92.1 % of total | 91.7 |
Renewable Energy Share | 10.5 % of total energy | 89.1 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 12.8 % of total | 87.2 |
Energy Imports | 113 % of energy use | 77.8 |
Cooling Degree Days | 5305 degree days | 72.6 |
Land Surface Temperature | 27.4 deg C change | 65.3 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | 0.08 index | 57.5 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 48.3 % coast | 32.9 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 72.8 % population | 27.2 |
Energy Intensity | 3.85 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 15.7 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 17.4 ug/m3 | 15.6 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 2.06 metric tons | 6.5 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 969 kg oil eq per capita | 5.4 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.14 kt CO2e per capita | 3.4 |
Heat Index | 0.78 index | 0.6 |
Flood Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 0.00 degree days | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Protected Areas | 1.60 % of land | 98.4 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.95 0-1 | 95.3 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.95 0-1 | 94.6 |
Earthquake Risk | 7.90 0-10 | 79.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.78 0-1 | 77.6 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.70 0-1 | 70.5 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Food Production Index | 113 index | 60.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 12.4 % of internal resources | 55.8 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.55 0-1 | 55.4 |
Population Below 5m | 0.55 0-1 | 55.3 |
Urban Concentration | 0.54 0-1 | 54.1 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.52 0-1 | 52.1 |
Rural Population | 0.46 0-1 | 45.9 |
Agricultural Land | 38.5 % of land | 45.2 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.45 0-1 | 44.7 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.6 |
Water Bodies Extent | 57.2 % of land | 42.8 |
Forest Area | 55.8 % of land | 40.9 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.41 0-1 | 40.6 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.33 0-1 | 32.9 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.32 0-1 | 32.4 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.31 0-1 | 31.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.31 0-1 | 30.9 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.27 0-1 | 27.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.27 0-1 | 26.9 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 9.02 % of GDP | 25.1 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.22 0-1 | 21.7 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.13 0-1 | 13.2 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.11 0-1 | 11.4 |
Projected Population Change | 0.11 0-1 | 10.6 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.11 0-1 | 10.6 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.07 0-1 | 7.5 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.04 0-1 | 4.2 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 7.00 count | 3.7 |
Electricity Access | 0.02 0-1 | 2.3 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.32 % of GNI | 0.6 |
Forest Depletion | 0.06 % of GNI | 0.4 |
Water Stress | 12.4 % | 0.3 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1485 hectares | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 10.0 0-10 | 100.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.68 per 1,000 | 89.3 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 5.70 % | 63.4 |
Overweight Adults | 61.1 % adults | 63.2 |
Net Migration | -10003 persons | 54.7 |
Primary School Enrollment | 84.5 % gross | 52.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 39.9 0-100 | 51.0 |
Education Expenditure | 16.9 % of govt | 49.6 |
GDP Growth | 2.60 % annual | 49.3 |
Life Expectancy | 71.5 years | 46.7 |
Aid Dependency | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 3.70 0-10 | 37.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 2.27 % annual | 31.8 |
Food Security | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Labor Participation | 71.9 % (15+) | 25.9 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.27 0-100 | 25.1 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 81.7 ratio F/M | 23.5 |
Internet Users | 83.4 % population | 18.7 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 16.7 % population | 18.1 |
Aging Population | 7.86 % population | 18.1 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 19.3 per 1,000 | 15.8 |
Unemployment Rate | 4.40 % | 12.2 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 8.97 % | 12.0 |
Fertility Rate | 1.36 births per woman | 11.8 |
Children Under 5 | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Undernourishment | 7.30 % population | 9.8 |
Health Conditions | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 7.00 % | 3.4 |
Access to Electricity | 97.7 % population | 2.4 |
Population Density | 262 people/km2 | 1.4 |
Uprooted People | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 16.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 168 count | 100.0 |
Rule of Law | -0.17 -2.5 to +2.5 | 53.5 |
Women in Parliament | 28.6 % seats | 53.4 |
Control of Corruption | -0.11 -2.5 to +2.5 | 52.2 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.20 0-10 | 52.0 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.10 -2.5 to +2.5 | 48.0 |
Healthcare Access | 4.50 0-10 | 45.0 |
Political Stability | 0.38 -2.5 to +2.5 | 42.3 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.41 -2.5 to +2.5 | 41.9 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.56 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.7 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 3.70 0-10 | 37.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 9.00 0-12 | 25.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.80 0-10 | 18.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.03 0-1 | 97.3 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.16 0-1 | 84.3 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.40 0-1 | 60.1 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.40 0-1 | 59.7 |
Doing Business Score | 0.43 0-1 | 57.3 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.47 0-1 | 52.5 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.52 0-1 | 47.6 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.55 0-1 | 44.8 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.64 0-1 | 36.4 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Jamaica →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Jamaica.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Jamaica?
Jamaica: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 42 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Jamaica's risk?
Jamaica's highest pressures are governance (61, high) and adaptation (59). Its strongest area is climate (19).
How might Jamaica's climate change by 2080?
Jamaica's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Jamaica warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Jamaica is on track to warm by +2.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -96 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Jamaica's coast?
Coastal sea level along Jamaica is projected to rise by +0.79 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.61 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Jamaica?
The share of Jamaica under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Jamaica?
The share of Jamaica exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Jamaica's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.