+3.8 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.1 °C → +3.8 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.3 °C → +2.6 °C
Hottest month +6.8 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Montenegro Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Southern Europe
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- MNE
Montenegro: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Montenegro, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 40 / 100
5y
- 23 Climate Low
- 37 Nature -0.1 Low
- 30 Social Low
- 57 Governance Medium
- 53 Adaptation -0.5 Medium
Which hazards threaten Montenegro most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 1.3FloodVery low
- 2.6DRR capacityLow
Montenegro in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
6
Southern Europe
#6 of 14 · median 4227
Europe
#27 of 43 · median 3812
Upper middle income
#12 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Montenegro: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Montenegro is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing -37 mm.
-37 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -2 mm → -37 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -10 mm → -7 mm
Driest month -12 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
2.2%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 2.2% → 2.2%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 2.2% → 2.2%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
2.1%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 2.1% → 2.1%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 2.1% → 2.1%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.3% today.
Sea level
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.23 m → +0.71 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.20 m → +0.52 m
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Energy Imports | 29.6 % of energy use | 71.2 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 72.2 % of total | 71.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 39.6 % of total energy | 58.9 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | 0.02 index | 56.2 |
Coal Electricity Share | 46.7 % of total | 48.5 |
Land Surface Temperature | 14.9 deg C change | 39.5 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 61.8 % of total | 38.2 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 62.6 % population | 37.4 |
Heating Degree Days | 5411 degree days | 37.2 |
Energy Intensity | 3.43 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 19.2 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 18.0 ug/m3 | 16.3 |
Flood Risk | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 4.03 metric tons | 12.8 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 1674 kg oil eq per capita | 9.7 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.24 kt CO2e per capita | 5.6 |
Cooling Degree Days | 404 degree days | 5.5 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Protected Areas | 9.20 % of land | 90.7 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.74 0-1 | 74.3 |
Food Production Index | 101 index | 72.3 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.72 0-1 | 72.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.69 0-1 | 68.7 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.68 0-1 | 67.9 |
Urban Concentration | 0.66 0-1 | 66.1 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.65 0-1 | 64.7 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.64 0-1 | 64.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 6.10 0-10 | 61.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.58 0-1 | 57.8 |
Earthquake Risk | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.53 0-1 | 53.3 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.43 0-1 | 43.1 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.38 0-1 | 38.2 |
Forest Area | 61.5 % of land | 35.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.34 0-1 | 34.2 |
Rural Population | 0.34 0-1 | 33.9 |
Paved Roads | 0.30 0-1 | 29.8 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.28 0-1 | 28.4 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.28 0-1 | 27.8 |
Population Below 5m | 0.27 0-1 | 26.6 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.24 0-1 | 23.8 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.23 0-1 | 22.5 |
Agricultural Land | 18.9 % of land | 21.9 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.21 0-1 | 21.4 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 5.47 % of GDP | 15.2 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.15 0-1 | 15.1 |
Water Bodies Extent | 88.1 % of land | 11.9 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.09 0-1 | 9.3 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.09 0-1 | 9.1 |
Slum Population | 0.09 0-1 | 8.9 |
Projected Population Change | 0.08 0-1 | 8.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.07 0-1 | 6.7 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.06 0-1 | 6.1 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.04 0-1 | 4.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 6.00 count | 3.1 |
Forest Depletion | 0.13 % of GNI | 0.8 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.19 % of GNI | 0.3 |
Tree Cover Loss | 508 hectares | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 3.81 per 1,000 | 71.2 |
Uprooted People | 6.00 0-10 | 60.0 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 6.20 % | 56.3 |
Net Migration | 12000 persons | 55.5 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 21.0 % | 53.9 |
Overweight Adults | 50.0 % adults | 49.2 |
Aging Population | 17.5 % population | 45.7 |
Labor Participation | 59.8 % (15+) | 44.4 |
Sanitation Access | 57.4 % population | 43.8 |
GDP Growth | 6.34 % annual | 43.4 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 1.31 % annual | 42.3 |
Aid Dependency | 4.20 0-10 | 42.0 |
Unemployment Rate | 14.6 % | 41.5 |
School Gender Parity | 1.01 ratio | 38.3 |
Primary School Enrollment | 106 % gross | 35.6 |
Gini Coefficient | 34.3 0-100 | 32.9 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 74.7 ratio F/M | 30.7 |
Life Expectancy | 77.6 years | 27.5 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 20.3 % population | 23.3 |
Fertility Rate | 1.74 births per woman | 18.8 |
Development and Deprivation | 1.70 0-10 | 17.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.39 0-100 | 16.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 85.1 % population | 15.9 |
Internet Users | 89.8 % population | 11.5 |
Children Under 5 | 0.50 0-10 | 5.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 99.0 % | 1.6 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 2.60 per 1,000 | 1.1 |
Food Security | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 1.41 % | 0.2 |
Population Density | 46.4 people/km2 | 0.2 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 5.00 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 295 count | 100.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.36 % of GDP | 94.2 |
Women in Parliament | 21.0 % seats | 65.7 |
Control of Corruption | -0.08 -2.5 to +2.5 | 51.6 |
Rule of Law | -0.04 -2.5 to +2.5 | 50.8 |
INFORM Governance Index | 4.90 0-10 | 49.0 |
Political Stability | 0.07 -2.5 to +2.5 | 48.6 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.25 -2.5 to +2.5 | 45.1 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.34 -2.5 to +2.5 | 43.2 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.37 -2.5 to +2.5 | 42.5 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 2.60 0-10 | 26.0 |
Healthcare Access | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 12.0 0-12 | 0.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.04 0-1 | 96.2 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.33 0-1 | 67.0 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.41 0-1 | 59.3 |
Doing Business Score | 0.47 0-1 | 52.9 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.50 0-1 | 49.9 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.58 0-1 | 42.1 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.58 0-1 | 41.8 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.62 0-1 | 38.1 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.65 0-1 | 34.8 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Montenegro →But what about your location?
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Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Montenegro?
Montenegro: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 40 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Montenegro's risk?
Montenegro's highest pressures are governance (57, medium) and adaptation (53). Its strongest area is climate (23).
How might Montenegro's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 50% of Montenegro's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 73 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Montenegro warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Montenegro is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -37 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Montenegro's coast?
Coastal sea level along Montenegro is projected to rise by +0.71 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.52 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Montenegro?
The share of Montenegro under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 2.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Montenegro?
The share of Montenegro exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.3% today to 2.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Montenegro's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.