Criora

Latvia

Region Europe Subregion Northern Europe Income Upper middle income ISO LVA

Latvia runs low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Latvia, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
38 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    47 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    20 / 100
    ▼ -0.5 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    26 / 100
  4. Governance
    Medium
    52 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    42 / 100
    ▼ -2.1 5y
Climate futures

Latvia: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Latvia is projected to warm +4.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +42 mm.

Temperature

+4.4 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+3.7 °C → +4.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+2.5 °C → +3.6 °C

Hottest month +4.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+42 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+25 mm → +42 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+49 mm → +36 mm

Driest month +3 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Latvia: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.25 m → +0.76 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.24 m → +0.55 m

Water stress

0.3%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.3% → 0.3%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0.3% → 0.3%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0.3% today.

River flooding

0.1%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.5% → 0.1%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.8% → 0.6%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.9% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Latvia.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Latvia most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
High
6.6 / 10
Peers

Latvia in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Northern Europe
#10 of 10median 32
  1. 1DenmarkLow 25
  2. 2IcelandLow 27
  3. 3NorwayLow 29
  4. 4FinlandLow 30
  5. 5SwedenLow 31
  6. 6United KingdomLow 33
  7. 7IrelandLow 35
  8. 8EstoniaLow 35
  9. 9LithuaniaLow 35
  10. 10LatviaLow 38
region
Europe
#21 of 43median 38
  1. 17MaltaLow 36
  2. 18AndorraLow 37
  3. 19CzechiaLow 37
  4. 20GermanyLow 37
  5. 21LatviaLow 38
  6. 22NetherlandsLow 38
  7. 23BelgiumLow 38
  8. 24FranceLow 38
  9. 25SloveniaLow 38
  10. 26PolandLow 39
income group
Upper middle income
#7 of 53median 44
  1. 3SeychellesLow 36
  2. 4GrenadaLow 36
  3. 5St. Vin. and Gren.Low 37
  4. 6UruguayLow 37
  5. 7LatviaLow 38
  6. 8DominicaLow 38
  7. 9Saint LuciaLow 38
  8. 10Antigua and Barb.Low 38
  9. 11PalauLow 39
  10. 12MontenegroLow 40

Put two countries head to head

Compare Latvia against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare ↗ Score a site here
Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Latvia?
Latvia runs low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 38 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Latvia's risk?
Latvia's highest pressures are governance (52, medium) and climate (47). Its strongest area is nature (20).
How might Latvia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 98% of Latvia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Latvia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Latvia is on track to warm by +4.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +42 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Latvia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Latvia is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.55 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Latvia?
The share of Latvia under high water stress is projected to move from 0.3% today to 0.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Latvia?
The share of Latvia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.9% today to 0.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Latvia's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.