+3.0 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.5 °C → +3.0 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.6 °C → +2.2 °C
Hottest month +3.8 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Denmark Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Northern Europe
- Income
- High income, OECD
- ISO
- DNK
Denmark: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Denmark, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 25 / 100
5y
- 14 Climate Very low
- 26 Nature +0.4 Low
- 23 Social Low
- 38 Governance Low
- 24 Adaptation -0.1 Low
Which hazards threaten Denmark most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 0.0FloodVery low
Denmark in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
1
Northern Europe
#1 of 10 · median 331
Europe
#1 of 43 · median 381
High income: OECD
#1 of 31 · median 36Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Denmark: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Denmark is projected to warm +3.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing +29 mm.
+29 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +17 mm → +29 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +34 mm → +21 mm
Driest month +4 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
0%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0% → 0%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.
Sea level
Denmark: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 7 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.25 m → +0.74 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.23 m → +0.54 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Drought Index (SPEI) | 1.73 index | 86.1 |
Energy Imports | 43.8 % of energy use | 67.5 |
Renewable Energy Share | 39.5 % of total energy | 59.0 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 61.9 % coast | 57.7 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 0.00 % of total | 50.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 5588 degree days | 40.7 |
Land Surface Temperature | 11.8 deg C change | 33.0 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.94 kt CO2e per capita | 22.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 79.0 % of total | 21.0 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 4.69 metric tons | 14.9 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 2502 kg oil eq per capita | 12.7 |
Coal Electricity Share | 4.96 % of total | 8.7 |
Energy Intensity | 1.83 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 6.7 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 9.07 ug/m3 | 5.2 |
Cooling Degree Days | 55.0 degree days | 0.7 |
Flood Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Heat Index | 0.00 days | 0.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Disaster Preparedness | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Dam Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 99.9 |
Urban Concentration | 0.88 0-1 | 87.6 |
Forest Area | 15.8 % of land | 83.3 |
Protected Areas | 17.7 % of land | 82.2 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.78 0-1 | 77.7 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.76 0-1 | 76.1 |
Population Below 5m | 0.76 0-1 | 75.9 |
Agricultural Land | 65.5 % of land | 75.6 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.74 0-1 | 73.6 |
Water Bodies Extent | 29.3 % of land | 70.7 |
Food Production Index | 104 index | 69.2 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 15.6 % of internal resources | 60.2 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.55 0-1 | 55.0 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.52 0-1 | 51.8 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.45 0-1 | 44.7 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.44 0-1 | 44.4 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.6 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.37 0-1 | 37.1 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.37 0-1 | 37.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.35 0-1 | 35.5 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.30 0-1 | 30.3 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.23 0-1 | 23.1 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.21 0-1 | 21.1 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.15 0-1 | 14.5 |
Projected Population Change | 0.14 0-1 | 14.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.14 0-1 | 13.9 |
Rural Population | 0.12 0-1 | 12.4 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.08 0-1 | 8.1 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.03 0-1 | 3.1 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.03 0-1 | 3.0 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 0.93 % of GDP | 2.1 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.01 0-1 | 1.2 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 2.00 count | 0.9 |
Water Stress | 25.3 % | 0.7 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.23 % of GNI | 0.4 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.00 0-1 | 0.1 |
Tree Cover Loss | 3645 hectares | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Slum Population | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.01 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 2.43 per 1,000 | 77.9 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 0.42 % annual | 74.5 |
Uprooted People | 6.50 0-10 | 65.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 99.8 % gross | 64.0 |
School Gender Parity | 1.00 ratio | 59.5 |
Education Expenditure | 14.2 % of govt | 57.2 |
Aging Population | 20.9 % population | 55.6 |
Net Migration | 25639 persons | 53.1 |
GDP Growth | 2.50 % annual | 49.5 |
Overweight Adults | 44.9 % adults | 42.8 |
Gini Coefficient | 29.9 0-100 | 19.8 |
Aid Dependency | 1.80 0-10 | 18.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 87.9 ratio F/M | 16.0 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 9.10 % | 15.7 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.36 % | 15.1 |
Fertility Rate | 1.47 births per woman | 13.7 |
Life Expectancy | 82.3 years | 13.3 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 12.4 % population | 11.7 |
Labor Participation | 82.1 % (15+) | 10.6 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 9.08 % | 10.2 |
Children Under 5 | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 4.00 per 1,000 | 2.4 |
Food Security | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 4.91 0-100 | 1.6 |
Sanitation Access | 98.9 % population | 1.2 |
Health Conditions | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Population Density | 149 people/km2 | 0.8 |
Internet Users | 99.8 % population | 0.3 |
Safe Drinking Water | 99.9 % population | 0.1 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 1090 count | 99.9 |
Scientific Articles | 16126 count | 98.2 |
R&D Expenditure | 3.05 % of GDP | 52.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 8.00 0-12 | 33.3 |
Political Stability | 0.85 -2.5 to +2.5 | 33.0 |
Women in Parliament | 45.3 % seats | 29.0 |
Voice and Accountability | 1.66 -2.5 to +2.5 | 16.7 |
Regulatory Quality | 1.84 -2.5 to +2.5 | 13.2 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Rule of Law | 1.91 -2.5 to +2.5 | 11.8 |
INFORM Governance Index | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 2.02 -2.5 to +2.5 | 9.7 |
Control of Corruption | 2.38 -2.5 to +2.5 | 2.5 |
Healthcare Access | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 49.3 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.68 0-1 | 32.1 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.70 0-1 | 29.9 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.72 0-1 | 28.4 |
Doing Business Score | 0.74 0-1 | 25.9 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.87 0-1 | 13.1 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.88 0-1 | 11.6 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.89 0-1 | 11.0 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.97 0-1 | 2.9 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Denmark →But what about your location?
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Where exactly?
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Denmark: ask your AI assistant
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- Denmark: how will flood and heat risk change by 2050?
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Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Denmark?
Denmark: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 25 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Denmark's risk?
Denmark's highest pressures are governance (38, low) and nature (26). Its strongest area is climate (14).
How might Denmark's climate change by 2080?
Denmark's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Denmark warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Denmark is on track to warm by +3.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +29 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Denmark's coast?
Coastal sea level along Denmark is projected to rise by +0.74 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.54 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Denmark?
The share of Denmark under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Denmark?
The share of Denmark exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Denmark's risk data last updated?
Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.