Criora

San Marino

Region Europe Subregion Southern Europe Income High income: nonOECD ISO SMR

San Marino runs low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is San Marino, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
32 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Very low
    10 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    25 / 100
    ▲ + 0.2 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    21 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    68 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Low
    36 / 100
    ▼ -1.9 5y
Climate futures

San Marino: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, San Marino is projected to warm +3.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing -9 mm.

Temperature

+3.6 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+3.1 °C → +3.6 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+2.3 °C → +2.5 °C

Hottest month +6.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-9 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2 mm → -9 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
-7 mm → +5 mm

Driest month -3 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

100%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
100% → 100%
Current path SSP3-7.0
100% → 100%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 100% today.

River flooding

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0% → 0%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside San Marino.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

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Peers

San Marino in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Southern Europe
#1 of 14median 42
  1. 1San MarinoLow 32
  2. 2PortugalLow 36
  3. 3MaltaLow 36
  4. 4AndorraLow 37
  5. 5SloveniaLow 38
  6. 6MontenegroLow 40
  7. 7SpainMedium 41
  8. 8GreeceMedium 43
  9. 9CroatiaMedium 43
  10. 10North MacedoniaMedium 43
region
Europe
#8 of 43median 38
  1. 4NorwayLow 29
  2. 5LuxembourgLow 30
  3. 6FinlandLow 30
  4. 7SwedenLow 31
  5. 8San MarinoLow 32
  6. 9SwitzerlandLow 32
  7. 10United KingdomLow 33
  8. 11MonacoLow 33
  9. 12IrelandLow 35
  10. 13EstoniaLow 35
income group
High income: nonOECD
#3 of 20median 36
  1. 1SingaporeLow 24
  2. 2LiechtensteinLow 28
  3. 3San MarinoLow 32
  4. 4MonacoLow 33
  5. 5BarbadosLow 35
  6. 6St. Kitts and NevisLow 35
  7. 7BahamasLow 35
  8. 8QatarLow 35
  9. 9United Arab EmiratesLow 36
  10. 10BahrainLow 36

Put two countries head to head

Compare San Marino against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is San Marino?
San Marino runs low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 32 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives San Marino's risk?
San Marino's highest pressures are governance (68, high) and adaptation (36). Its strongest area is climate (10).
How might San Marino's climate change by 2080?
San Marino's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will San Marino warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), San Marino is on track to warm by +3.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -9 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.5 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in San Marino?
The share of San Marino under high water stress is projected to move from 100% today to 100% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in San Marino?
The share of San Marino exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was San Marino's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.