Qatar: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 35 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

What drives Qatar's risk?

Qatar's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (46). Its strongest area is social (17).

How might Qatar's climate change by 2080?

Qatar's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Qatar warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Qatar is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +2 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Qatar's coast?

Coastal sea level along Qatar is projected to rise by +0.75 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.50 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Qatar?

The share of Qatar under high water stress is projected to move from 96% today to 97% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Qatar?

The share of Qatar exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Qatar's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Qatar Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Asia
Subregion: Western Asia
Income: High income, non-OECD
ISO: QAT

Qatar: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Qatar, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 35 / 100

32 Climate Low
27 Nature -0.7 Low
17 Social Very low
55 Governance Medium
46 Adaptation -4.6 Medium

Which hazards threaten Qatar most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

0.0FloodVery low
0.3DRR capacityVery low

Qatar in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Western Asia

#3 of 18 · median 43

Asia

#4 of 48 · median 47

High income: nonOECD

#8 of 20 · median 36

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Qatar: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Qatar is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing +2 mm.

+3.8 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +2.8 °C → +3.8 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +2.2 °C → +2.6 °C

Hottest month +4.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+2 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +3 mm → +2 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +2 mm → +2 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

97%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 97% → 97%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 97% → 97%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 96% today.

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0% → 1.8%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.

Sea level

Qatar: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 1 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.23 m → +0.75 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.19 m → +0.50 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	31.3 metric tons	2020	100.0	+92.3	+89.1
Renewable Energy Share	0.00 % of total energy	2021	100.0	+24.6	+9.4
Energy Use Per Capita	16684 kg oil eq per capita	2022	100.0	+91.7	+91.1
Fossil Fuel Consumption	99.9 % of total	2022	99.9	+27.2	+13.1
Renewable Electricity Share	0.28 % of total	2021	99.7	+24.6	+16.7
Heat Index	128 index	2020	94.3	+94.3	+92.2
Coastal Protection Needed	95.3 % coast	2020	93.8	+9.5	+3.5
Land Surface Temperature	40.4 deg C change	2021	92.0	+27.3	+24.5
Cooling Degree Days	6470 degree days	2020	88.6	+36.8	+37.6
PM2.5 Air Pollution	75.7 ug/m3	2020	88.2	+69.0	+62.0
Energy Imports	-396 % of energy use	2022	37.1	-34.0	-33.6
Energy Intensity	7.20 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	34.7	+18.1	+16.3
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.22 kt CO2e per capita	2020	5.0	-2.0	-1.1
Heating Degree Days	112 degree days	2020	0.8	-0.6	-6.8
Flood Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-52.0	-65.5
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2022	0.0	-10.3	-8.7
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	-5.8

		Year		vs world	vs region
Forest Area	0.00 % of land	2022	100.0	+33.7	+15.1
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+92.5	+72.5
Urban Concentration	0.99 0-1	2023	99.3	+41.9	+43.9
Freshwater Withdrawal	446 % of internal resources	2021	95.3	+45.0	+19.7
Protected Areas	5.80 % of land	2023	94.2	+5.3	+1.0
Agricultural Capacity	0.87 0-1	2023	87.1	-4.7	-1.4
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.85 0-1	2023	85.4	+9.1	+5.2
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.85 0-1	2023	84.6	+71.1	+68.6
Natural Capital Dependency	0.80 0-1	2023	80.3	+58.5	+54.5
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.69 0-1	2023	68.8	-15.4	-13.0
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.61 0-1	2023	61.4	-25.1	-16.4
Projected Warm Period Change	0.58 0-1	2023	58.0	-9.8	-7.3
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.45 0-1	2023	44.7	-12.9	-10.6
Projected Hydropower Change	0.44 0-1	2023	43.7	0.0	0.0
Projected Population Change	0.41 0-1	2023	41.3	+19.0	+17.6
Population Below 5m	0.41 0-1	2023	40.8	+26.0	+23.0
Protected Biome Areas	0.40 0-1	2023	40.4	-0.6	-4.5
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.31 0-1	2023	30.8	-31.3	-30.2
Food Production Index	146 index	2022	29.9	-37.2	-30.1
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.30 0-1	2023	29.6	-7.6	-7.1
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.26 0-1	2023	26.0	+7.6	+13.9
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.21 0-1	2023	21.2	-9.1	0.0
Food Import Dependency	0.17 0-1	2023	17.3	-4.4	-2.1
Natural Resource Depletion	8.75 % of GNI	2021	15.3	+13.2	+12.7
Water Stress	431 %	2021	11.2	+10.9	+9.8
Paved Roads	0.10 0-1	2023	10.1	-44.9	-16.6
Agricultural Land	6.44 % of land	2022	7.1	-40.2	-33.2
Child Malnutrition	0.07 0-1	2023	6.6	-7.2	-11.2
Age Dependency Ratio	0.05 0-1	2023	5.0	-47.8	-40.6
Water Dependency Ratio	0.03 0-1	2023	3.4	-3.5	-3.6
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.03 0-1	2023	3.4	-17.0	-24.5
Threatened Mammal Species	4.00 count	2018	2.1	-3.1	-4.7
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	-66.5
Agriculture GDP Share	0.29 % of GDP	2023	0.8	-18.1	-21.3
Rural Population	0.01 0-1	2023	0.7	-41.9	-43.9
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.00 0-1	2023	0.1	-39.1	-33.1
Tsunami Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-11.0	-25.0
Tree Cover Loss	0.00 hectares	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-39.6	-27.6
Projected Groundwater Change	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-26.2	-28.6
Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.8	-3.9
Energy Import Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-25.7	-20.7
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Disaster Preparedness	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-30.0	-25.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Hospital Beds	1.12 per 1,000	2019	92.5	+11.6	+8.3
Overweight Adults	76.6 % adults	2022	82.7	+26.7	+28.0
Education Expenditure	9.32 % of govt	2020	82.7	+11.5	+9.8
Primary School Enrollment	95.0 % gross	2022	69.0	+5.4	+4.8
Net Migration	39995 persons	2023	56.4	+1.4	+1.5
GDP Growth	1.19 % annual	2023	51.6	+2.7	+3.8
Gender Labor Ratio	66.2 ratio F/M	2023	39.5	+12.5	-0.3
ESG Performance Score	2.20 0-100	2018	30.2	+5.2	+3.8
Fertility Rate	1.73 births per woman	2023	18.6	-4.7	-4.6
Uprooted People	1.80 0-10	2026	18.0	-41.0	-35.5
Life Expectancy	82.4 years	2023	12.5	-27.0	-20.7
Food Security	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-10.0	-10.0
Aid Dependency	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	-19.0	-15.0
Communicable Disease Deaths	4.95 %	2019	5.7	-10.4	-8.5
Children Under 5	0.50 0-10	2026	5.0	-6.0	-8.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	6.00 per 1,000	2023	4.1	-8.1	-6.4
Safe Drinking Water	96.7 % population	2022	3.6	-17.9	-26.6
Development and Deprivation	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-27.0	-22.5
Health Conditions	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-5.0	-1.0
Population Density	231 people/km2	2022	1.2	+0.7	+0.6
Internet Users	99.7 % population	2023	0.3	-20.6	-16.1
Labor Participation	88.6 % (15+)	2023	0.3	-29.8	-30.9
Sanitation Access	99.9 % population	2022	0.1	-39.9	-34.3
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	-3.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Aging Population	1.57 % population	2023	0.0	-16.4	-13.8
Unemployment Rate	0.13 %	2023	0.0	-14.2	-11.6

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	47.0 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Scientific Articles	2650 count	2022	99.7	-0.2	-0.1
Women in Parliament	4.44 % seats	2023	92.7	+34.5	+23.5
Legal Rights Strength	1.00 0-12	2019	91.7	+41.7	+41.7
R&D Expenditure	0.68 % of GDP	2021	88.9	+2.1	-5.6
Voice and Accountability	-0.97 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	69.4	+20.6	+3.9
Control of Corruption	0.70 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	36.0	-19.6	-22.3
INFORM Governance Index	3.40 0-10	2026	34.0	-22.0	-23.5
Rule of Law	0.93 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	31.3	-21.7	-21.8
Regulatory Quality	0.98 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	30.5	-22.3	-24.1
Political Stability	0.99 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	30.1	-19.7	-25.5
Government Effectiveness	1.20 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	26.1	-25.6	-24.6
Communication Infrastructure	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-12.0	-6.5
Healthcare Access	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-29.0	-25.0
Disaster Risk Reduction	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-38.5	-33.0
Physical Infrastructure	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-28.0	-27.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.09 0-1	2023	91.0	-3.7	-3.3
Education (Readiness)	0.21 0-1	2023	79.0	+6.0	+6.1
ICT Infrastructure	0.58 0-1	2023	42.2	-5.5	-3.3
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.59 0-1	2023	41.3	-23.0	-26.5
Doing Business Score	0.66 0-1	2023	34.3	-24.1	-16.8
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.69 0-1	2023	30.8	-21.2	-21.0
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.70 0-1	2023	30.2	-22.4	-23.3
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.74 0-1	2023	25.9	-17.2	-22.4

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Qatar?
Qatar: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 35 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Qatar's risk?
Qatar's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (46). Its strongest area is social (17).
How might Qatar's climate change by 2080?
Qatar's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Qatar warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Qatar is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +2 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Qatar's coast?
Coastal sea level along Qatar is projected to rise by +0.75 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.50 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Qatar?
The share of Qatar under high water stress is projected to move from 96% today to 97% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Qatar?
The share of Qatar exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Qatar's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.