+3.4 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.9 °C → +3.4 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.9 °C → +2.5 °C
Hottest month +5.8 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Germany Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Western Europe
- Income
- High income, OECD
- ISO
- DEU
Germany: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Germany, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 37 / 100
5y
- 59 Climate Medium
- 28 Nature +0.1 Low
- 25 Social Low
- 42 Governance Medium
- 32 Adaptation +0.7 Low
Which hazards threaten Germany most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 7.8FloodHigh
- 2.1DRR capacityLow
Germany in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
6
Western Europe
#6 of 9 · median 3619
Europe
#19 of 43 · median 3818
High income: OECD
#18 of 31 · median 37Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Germany: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Germany is projected to warm +3.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +24 mm.
+24 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +21 mm → +24 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +34 mm → +28 mm
Driest month +1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
49%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 49% → 49%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 30% → 27%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 27% today.
1.5%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.5% → 1.5%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.6% → 1.7%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.7% today.
Sea level
Germany: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 4 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.26 m → +0.78 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.24 m → +0.57 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Coastal Protection Needed | 100 % coast | 100.0 |
Energy Imports | 69.8 % of energy use | 95.7 |
Renewable Energy Share | 17.6 % of total energy | 81.7 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 77.6 % of total | 78.0 |
Flood Risk | 7.80 0-10 | 78.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 39.8 % of total | 60.2 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | 0.07 index | 57.2 |
Coal Electricity Share | 26.6 % of total | 57.2 |
Land Surface Temperature | 14.1 deg C change | 37.7 |
Heating Degree Days | 5363 degree days | 36.8 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 7.26 metric tons | 23.1 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 2925 kg oil eq per capita | 18.4 |
Energy Intensity | 2.47 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 11.7 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.41 kt CO2e per capita | 9.5 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 10.3 ug/m3 | 6.7 |
Cooling Degree Days | 241 degree days | 3.3 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.99 0-1 | 98.8 |
Food Production Index | 92.7 index | 79.7 |
Urban Concentration | 0.76 0-1 | 76.0 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.74 0-1 | 73.7 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.72 0-1 | 72.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 24.1 % of internal resources | 70.9 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.70 0-1 | 69.8 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Forest Area | 32.7 % of land | 65.4 |
Protected Areas | 38.7 % of land | 61.0 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.60 0-1 | 60.0 |
Agricultural Land | 47.5 % of land | 55.9 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.56 0-1 | 55.6 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.49 0-1 | 49.2 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.46 0-1 | 46.0 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.45 0-1 | 45.1 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.44 0-1 | 44.5 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.42 0-1 | 42.5 |
Earthquake Risk | 3.70 0-10 | 37.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.36 0-1 | 35.9 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.33 0-1 | 33.4 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.31 0-1 | 30.5 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.29 0-1 | 29.3 |
Rural Population | 0.24 0-1 | 24.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.21 0-1 | 21.2 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.21 0-1 | 20.6 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.18 0-1 | 17.9 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.13 0-1 | 12.7 |
Population Below 5m | 0.12 0-1 | 12.0 |
Projected Population Change | 0.07 0-1 | 7.3 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.05 0-1 | 4.8 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.04 0-1 | 3.6 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.03 0-1 | 3.1 |
Tree Cover Loss | 202278 hectares | 3.1 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.03 0-1 | 3.0 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 5.00 count | 2.6 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 0.84 % of GDP | 2.3 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.02 0-1 | 2.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.01 0-1 | 0.9 |
Water Stress | 35.4 % | 0.9 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.00 0-1 | 0.1 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.03 % of GNI | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Slum Population | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Uprooted People | 8.90 0-10 | 89.0 |
Education Expenditure | 9.19 % of govt | 80.5 |
Net Migration | 609553 persons | 75.8 |
School Gender Parity | 0.97 ratio | 69.6 |
Primary School Enrollment | 100 % gross | 63.2 |
Aging Population | 22.8 % population | 61.0 |
Overweight Adults | 53.8 % adults | 54.0 |
GDP Growth | -0.27 % annual | 53.9 |
Hospital Beds | 7.80 per 1,000 | 39.3 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.80 % | 34.7 |
Gini Coefficient | 32.4 0-100 | 28.5 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 83.9 ratio F/M | 21.3 |
Life Expectancy | 80.5 years | 18.3 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 14.8 % population | 15.4 |
Labor Participation | 79.9 % (15+) | 13.7 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.42 0-100 | 13.6 |
Fertility Rate | 1.39 births per woman | 12.4 |
Internet Users | 92.5 % population | 8.4 |
Unemployment Rate | 3.07 % | 8.4 |
Food Security | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 4.76 % | 5.4 |
Sanitation Access | 96.9 % population | 3.2 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Children Under 5 | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 3.70 per 1,000 | 2.0 |
Population Density | 240 people/km2 | 1.3 |
Aid Dependency | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 99.9 % population | 0.1 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 2.86 % annual | 0.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 39822 count | 97.2 |
Scientific Articles | 113976 count | 87.3 |
Legal Rights Strength | 6.00 0-12 | 50.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 3.13 % of GDP | 48.2 |
Women in Parliament | 35.2 % seats | 42.5 |
Political Stability | 0.59 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.3 |
Government Effectiveness | 1.19 -2.5 to +2.5 | 26.3 |
INFORM Governance Index | 2.20 0-10 | 22.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 2.10 0-10 | 21.0 |
Regulatory Quality | 1.46 -2.5 to +2.5 | 20.9 |
Voice and Accountability | 1.46 -2.5 to +2.5 | 20.8 |
Rule of Law | 1.55 -2.5 to +2.5 | 19.0 |
Control of Corruption | 1.66 -2.5 to +2.5 | 16.7 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Healthcare Access | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.46 0-1 | 53.6 |
Doing Business Score | 0.57 0-1 | 43.1 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.62 0-1 | 38.1 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.67 0-1 | 32.9 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.73 0-1 | 26.7 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.79 0-1 | 20.7 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.81 0-1 | 19.2 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.81 0-1 | 18.6 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 1.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Germany →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Germany.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Germany?
Germany: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 37 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Germany's risk?
Germany's highest pressures are climate (59, medium) and governance (42). Its strongest area is social (25).
How might Germany's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 20% of Germany's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 75 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Germany warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Germany is on track to warm by +3.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.5 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Germany's coast?
Coastal sea level along Germany is projected to rise by +0.78 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.57 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Germany?
The share of Germany under high water stress is projected to move from 27% today to 49% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Germany?
The share of Germany exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.7% today to 1.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Germany's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.