Climate risk in Duisburg
North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany
Main risks in Duisburg
Heat, downpours and earthquakes do not put Duisburg in the top quarter of the world's 626 large cities.
Duisburg's hottest day of 2025 reached 37.1 °C. [1]
Higher than 56% of the world's large cities.
For comparison: Bangkok 37.2 °C, Shanghai 37 °C, Washington D.C. 37 °C.
37.1 °C Natural Earth Hottest day of 2025
This week in Duisburg
This week's forecast risk around the city, by day and by hour, and the hazard events near it now. [2] [3]
This week's forecast for the city cannot be shown here right now.
Open the city on the mapThe Earth right now
The Earth's pulse reads the whole world, not this city, so it is the same on every city's page.
Earth's pulse, from 0 to 100. It rises with the number of people in the path of disasters now under way; 90 matches the 2004 tsunami.
Open the live mapDuisburg's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, if emissions level off [4] [5]
By the 2050s, Duisburg is projected to have the climate that Lyon (France) has today.
+1.3 °C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.1 °C
Average daily high, warmest month
+1.0 °C
Average nightly low, coldest month
-1%
Precipitation over the year
If emissions keep rising, the comparison comes out the same.
Share this comparison
Climates are compared on seasonal temperature and rainfall alone, each difference weighed against the city's usual swings from year to year (the method of Mahony et al. 2017); heat waves, the heat of city streets and the rising sea are left out. 2 of the 3 estimates from the climate models, the middle one and the two ends of their range, point to Lyon. [6]
Everything else measured
From the highest among the world's 626 large cities to the lowest.
| Reading | Duisburg | Among 626 large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C [1] | 3 days | higher than 46% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 3 of 10 |
| Earthquake shaking on firm ground, 10% chance in 50 years [7] | moderate shaking, 0.05 g | higher than 43% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 7 of 10 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 [1] | 5 days | higher than 33% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 1 of 10 |
| Warming by 2050, if emissions level off [5] | +1.7 °C | higher than 31% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 10 of 10 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C [1] | 1 night | higher than 14% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 1 of 10 |
| Drought risk [8] | Medium-High | the same grade as 38% of large cities; higher than 12%, lower than 50% | |
| Water stress [8] | Low: under 10% of the available water drawn | lowest grade, like 30% of large cities | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event [9] | Dry at the centre; other districts can flood | like 85% of large cities | |
| Share of land sinking over 1 cm a year, within 15 km [10] | 0% | like 80% of large cities | |
| Land burned in an average year [11] | 0% | like 84% of large cities | |
| Tropical cyclone wind, once in 100 years [12] | No hurricane or typhoon reaches here | ||
| Share of the land around the centre (a 10 km square) that a 100-year flood from the sea puts under 0.5 m of water or more [9] | Far from the sea: no coastal flooding |
- Flood depth is given for one 1 km square at the city centre, in today's climate.
- Earthquake shaking is given for firm ground in g, the acceleration of gravity: around 0.1 g shaking is strong and can cause light damage, on the US Geological Survey's scale. The figure is the typical value over all the land within 15 km of the centre, not that of one point. Soft ground, such as an old lake bed or river silt, shakes harder.
- Land subsidence comes from a model of satellite radar measurements from 2013 to 2019 in 2 km squares, read over all the land within 15 km of the centre rather than at one point.
- Water stress is the share of the available water drawn every year. Drought risk is how often droughts come, against the area's own usual rain, and how many people and how much farmland they would reach. Both are graded on WRI's own scale.
- If emissions level off: the IPCC's SSP2-4.5 scenario.
- Water stress and drought risk have no rank in the country: they are steps of a scale, and many cities share one.
- Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here.
The nearest large cities
Distance from centre to centre.
- Essen · Germany · 19 km
- Düsseldorf · Germany · 23 km
- Cologne · Germany · 57 km
- Amsterdam · Netherlands · 160 km
Large cities in Germany
Sources
- ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics: hottest day, hot days, heavy rain, nights
- Environment and Climate Change Canada: Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS): the week's forecast map
- GDACS - Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System: drought near the city now
- TerraClimate: the 2050s comparison
- NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6): the 2050s comparison, warming
- Mahony, Cannon, Wang and Aitken (2017). A closer look at novel climates: new methods and insights at continental to landscape scales. Global Change Biology 23, 3934-3955: how climates are compared
- GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map: earthquake shaking
- Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework: drought risk, water stress
- Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps: river flood depth, coastal floods
- Global Land Subsidence Mapping Reveals Widespread Loss of Aquifer Storage Capacity: sinking land
- Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500): burned land
- IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset: tropical cyclone wind
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, ECCC, GDACS - Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System, TerraClimate, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, GSHAP, WRI, HydroShare, GFED500, IRIS
APA
Criora. (2026). Duisburg, Germany: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 4, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/DEU/duisburg BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_DEU_duisburg_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Duisburg, Germany: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/DEU/duisburg},
urldate = {2026-11-04}
} The figures may be reused on the terms of their sources, which this page names.
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